QDDresearch

Ballard Power Systems Inc BLDP

IndustrialsRenewable EnergyCanada

Last close 2.11 CAD on Nov 2, 2026, −39.7% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating D Rank 48 of 53 in Industrials
  1. Growth B 15 of 53
  2. Valuation D 52 of 53
  3. Quality D 51 of 53
  4. Revisions A 1 of 53
  5. Momentum D 53 of 53

Wall Street consensus Hold (3.00)Average target 6.30 CAD +198.7%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)136100136111132–
Revenue growth36.0%−26.0%22.2%−16.0%−0.2%0.6%
EPS (basic, normalized)−0.41−1.56−0.80−0.78−0.50–
EPS growth––––––
Gross margin5.5%−31.5%−21.3%−16.3%13.4%−10.0%
Net margin−91.5%−464.0%−140.9%−195.9%−109.5%−200.3%
ROE−14.4%−38.9%−13.4%−12.9%−10.3%−18.0%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)717
Current ratio11.19x
Long-term debt (mil)23.1
Net debt (mil)−689
Total equity (mil)795
Net debt / equity−0.87x
Net debt / EBITDA5.01x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 136+36.0%0.5x −138+45.4%−0.5x −0.41+73.8%−5.2x
2026 156+14.4%0.4x −58.1+57.8%−1.1x −0.23+43.5%−9.1x
2027 214+37.4%0.3x −32.3+44.4%−1.9x −0.12+47.6%−17.4x
2028 262+22.4%0.2x −0.2+99.4%−317.9x −0.04+64.5%−49.1x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
2026156+5.8%+1.2%−3.6%−0.23+2.5%−1.9%+4.6%
2027214+7.4%+7.7%+13.6%−0.12+24.6%+30.6%+42.7%
2028262+27.6%+32.3%+22.4%−0.04+65.0%+71.8%+76.4%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)14.516.014.824.515.417.832.533.619.420.6
Sales mean (mil)16.618.623.630.416.717.623.831.220.225.2
Surprise−13.2%−14.1%−37.4%−19.4%−7.7%+0.9%+36.7%+7.7%−4.0%−18.3%
EPS reported−0.14−0.11−0.68−0.15−0.07−0.08−0.09−0.06−0.04−0.07
EPS mean−0.14−0.13−0.13−0.13−0.10−0.10−0.11−0.08−0.06−0.04
Surprise+1.7%+17.0%−423.1%−16.4%+32.7%+17.0%+18.4%+23.8%+27.7%−60.7%

Peer comparison Renewable Energy

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
BLDP Ballard Power Systems Inc741M5.01x−91.5%0.81x−9.1x−17.4x−1.1x−1.9x
PLUG Plug Power Inc.2.6B−1.05x−229.8%3.15x−3.8x−8.5x−13.2x−29.7x
FCEL Fuelcell Energy Inc1.2B5.87x−120.8%0.81x−3.8x−8.9x−4.7x−12.8x
CWR Ceres Power Holdings PLC1.0B–−145.7%2.92x−73.1x9,064.0x−94.3x116.4x
F3CG SFC Energy AG483M−1.52x−0.4%2.10x19.3x15.5x7.8x7.7x
HPOW H-Power PLC171M–−17,756.0%2.89x−6.7x−5.8x−7.0x−6.2x
Mean2.08x−3,057.4%2.11x−12.9x1,506.5x−18.8x12.2x
Median1.98x−133.2%2.50x−5.3x−7.1x−5.9x−4.1x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−27.7%
  • 3M−43.4%
  • 1Y−57.7%
  • 3Y−56.4%

Financial statements in millions of CAD

Income statement, Ballard Power Systems Inc, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue136100136111132132
Cost of revenue129132165129114106
Gross profit7.5−31.6−28.9−18.017.726.7
Selling, general & administrative expenses37.167.952.749.044.830.9
Research & development77.512812211573.441.1
Depreciation/amortization4.310.111.39.27.45.6
Interest expense (income), operating−0.91.6−1.71.20.7−0.3
Unusual expense (income)42.82434.34.53.20.1
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income−153−482−217−197−112−50.6
Net interest income (expense)27.517.126.5−19.9−29.9−9.9
Gain (loss) on sale of assets0.1––––0
Other non-operating income (expense)0.90−0.3−0.4−3.2−2.3
Net income before taxes−125−465−191−217−145−62.8
Provision for taxes0.10.20.20.1−0.30.2
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items−125−465−191−217−145−63.0
Extraordinary items0−1.0−44.4−17.80.2−2.4
Net income−125−466−235−235−144−65.4
EBIT, normalized−111−237−214−191−108−51.0
EBITDA, normalized−106−220−197−173−95.5−40.8
Basic EPS, normalized−0.41−1.56−0.80−0.78−0.50–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.