QDDresearch

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited FFH

FinancialsInsuranceCanada

Last close 2,501.52 CAD on Nov 1, 2026, −3.6% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A+ Rank 20 of 51 in Financials
  1. Growth B 32 of 51
  2. Valuation B 19 of 51
  3. Quality B 12 of 51
  4. Revisions A 7 of 51
  5. Momentum B 12 of 51

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.44)Average target 2,982.84 CAD +19.2%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)52,75151,77143,06739,36027,436–
Revenue growth1.9%20.2%9.4%43.5%15.2%17.2%
EPS (basic, normalized)292.43227.85233.2358.52155.49–
EPS growth28.3%−2.3%298.6%−62.4%––
Gross margin––––––
Net margin11.4%10.0%12.2%10.6%14.1%11.7%
ROE19.0%16.5%25.7%6.9%22.5%18.1%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Current ratio–
Long-term debt (mil)20,285
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)37,305
Net debt / equity–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)Book value per shareEPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthP/BMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 52,751+1.9%1.3x 1,723.81+10.6%1.5x 292.43+28.3%8.6x
2026 38,252−27.5%1.8x 1,949.52+13.1%1.3x 249.74−14.6%10.0x
2027 39,594+3.5%1.8x 2,232.28+14.5%1.1x 272.02+8.9%9.2x
2028 40,643+2.6%1.7x 2,593.62+16.2%1.0x 296.23+8.9%8.4x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202638,252−13.6%−12.8%−12.9%249.74−7.3%−8.6%−9.2%
202739,594−14.2%−13.2%−13.5%272.02−0.4%+2.2%+0.7%
202840,643−33.8%−33.8%−33.8%296.23+10.9%+20.1%+20.1%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 2 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)–6,0288,918–6,2576,8426,4205,9017,0587,344
Sales mean (mil)–6,5156,3296,4096,4546,7236,8006,5577,0007,006
Surprise–−7.5%+40.9%–−3.1%+1.8%−5.6%−10.0%+0.8%+4.8%
EPS reported30.8237.1842.6250.4242.7061.6152.0457.5731.1163.38
EPS mean41.1631.3334.2738.6830.4953.0243.2754.3848.5786.56
Surprise−25.1%+18.7%+24.4%+30.4%+40.1%+16.2%+20.3%+5.9%−35.9%−26.8%

Peer comparison Insurance

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capROENet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 P/BFY2 P/B
FFH Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited52.0B19.0%11.4%1.47x10.0x9.2x1.3x1.1x
CB Chubb Limited194.6B14.4%17.4%1.90x12.5x12.3x1.8x1.6x
MFC Manulife Financial Corporation103.2B16.5%13.6%1.95x13.9x12.3x1.8x2.0x
TKOMY Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.149.1B–11.8%2.00x17.0x15.6x––
TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc.113.6B20.8%12.8%2.80x10.8x12.7x2.5x2.3x
ALL Allstate Corp91.9B37.2%15.0%1.96x7.2x9.3x1.9x1.7x
Mean21.6%13.6%2.01x11.9x11.9x1.9x1.7x
Median19.0%13.2%1.95x11.7x12.3x1.8x1.7x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+13.2%
  • 3M+2.2%
  • 1Y+8.5%
  • 3Y+131.1%

Financial statements in millions of CAD

Income statement, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Premiums earned52,75151,77143,06739,36027,43623,816
Other revenue6,7393,8904,0523,0112,692876
Total revenue59,49055,66247,11942,37130,12824,692
Losses, benefits and adjustments35,75335,75829,06527,73117,09214,868
Amortization of policy acquisition costs––––––
Selling, general & administrative expenses––––1,5891,581
Depreciation/amortization––––808621
Interest expense (income), operating1,128933675613––
Other operating expenses13,77110,8629,5537,2537,1537,130
Operating income8,8398,1087,8266,7743,486492
Net interest income (expense)–––−1292,064−181
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)000000
Net income before taxes8,8398,1087,8266,6455,550311
Provision for taxes1,5871,9781,0771,480917263
Minority interest−702−558−945−593−335230
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items6,5505,5725,8044,5724,297278
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income6,5505,5725,8044,5724,297278
Basic weighted average shares (mil)21.422.423.223.626.026.4
Diluted weighted average shares (mil)23.124.225.025.327.527.7
Basic EPS, normalized292.43227.85233.2358.52155.49–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.