QDDresearch

First Quantum Minerals Ltd. FM

MaterialsMetals & MiningCanada

Last close 32.38 CAD on Nov 2, 2026, −12.0% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 57 of 154 in Materials
  1. Growth B 27 of 154
  2. Valuation C 90 of 154
  3. Quality B 59 of 154
  4. Revisions B 59 of 154
  5. Momentum C 85 of 154

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.05)Average target 51.20 CAD +58.1%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)7,1876,9058,55110,3329,112–
Revenue growth4.1%−19.2%−17.2%13.4%41.2%2.2%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.01−0.030.512.051.50–
EPS growth––−75.0%36.7%––
Gross margin27.8%28.1%20.0%28.8%35.5%28.1%
Net margin−0.5%0.0%−14.8%13.6%11.5%2.0%
ROE−0.2%0.0%−9.0%9.9%8.8%1.9%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)1,133
Current ratio1.79x
Long-term debt (mil)9,980
Net debt (mil)9,998
Total equity (mil)16,358
Net debt / equity0.61x
Net debt / EBITDA4.40x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 7,187+4.1%5.1x 2,271+9.0%16.2x 0.01+147.4%2,389.7x
2026 9,676+34.6%3.8x 3,154+38.9%11.7x 0.29+2,065.6%110.3x
2027 12,740+31.7%2.9x 5,727+81.6%6.4x 2.39+715.6%13.5x
2028 16,698+31.1%2.2x 8,540+49.1%4.3x 4.22+76.5%7.7x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20269,676+2.9%+3.0%+8.8%0.29+38.3%+48.2%−41.8%
202712,740−1.6%−2.9%−0.6%2.39−2.4%−6.0%−6.1%
202816,698+4.4%+1.0%+8.0%4.22+2.2%−1.5%+9.2%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)1,0361,2311,2791,2561,1901,2261,3461,4751,4041,522
Sales mean (mil)9051,0511,1261,1891,0341,1591,4291,3571,3541,415
Surprise+14.5%+17.1%+13.6%+5.7%+15.1%+5.7%−5.8%+8.7%+3.7%+7.5%
EPS reported−0.20−0.020.140.040.000.02−0.020.01−0.18−0.13
EPS mean−0.11−0.030.010.03−0.06−0.020.080.060.060.05
Surprise−74.6%+41.4%+1,033.6%+36.4%+100.0%−212.0%−126.2%−84.6%−406.1%−368.5%

Peer comparison Metals & Mining

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
FM First Quantum Minerals Ltd.27.0B4.40x−0.5%1.68x110.3x13.5x11.7x6.4x
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Limited120.6B−0.43x37.5%2.91x14.6x14.9x7.6x7.4x
ABX Barrick Mining Corporation87.5B1.05x29.4%2.29x10.4x8.7x5.1x4.3x
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.75.8B1.09x63.6%5.59x25.8x25.0x18.4x17.1x
FNV Franco-Nevada Corporation62.0B–61.0%5.37x27.4x25.2x19.2x18.0x
TECKb Teck Resources Ltd43.1B0.94x13.0%1.48x13.5x15.7x5.8x6.0x
Mean1.41x34.0%3.22x33.7x17.2x11.3x9.9x
Median1.05x33.5%2.60x20.2x15.3x9.6x6.9x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−17.7%
  • 3M−16.7%
  • 1Y+11.2%
  • 3Y+106.0%

Financial statements in millions of CAD

Income statement, First Quantum Minerals Ltd., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue7,1876,9058,55110,3329,1126,454
Cost of revenue5,1864,9646,8407,3525,8755,083
Gross profit2,0011,9411,7112,9813,2371,371
Selling, general & administrative expenses537577188184149126
Research & development41.234.539.735.225.319.1
Interest expense (income), operating98.8116113−309−296344
Unusual expense (income)−254−1291,257–82.16.4
Other operating expenses28.8−79.110.633.920.2−2.5
Operating income1,5491,4221033,0363,256878
Net interest income (expense)−707−848−709−683−739−844
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−217−171−38.4−363−1156.4
Net income before taxes626403−6441,9902,40240.7
Provision for taxes7155581,0034341,026326
Minority interest50.8158383−156−32556.0
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items−38.42.9−1,2641,4011,051−229
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income−38.42.9−1,2641,4011,051−229
EBIT, normalized1,3941,4091,4732,7273,0421,228
EBITDA, normalized2,3802,3352,9874,3944,5252,778
Basic EPS, normalized0.01−0.030.512.051.50–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.