QDDresearch

Imperial Oil Ltd IMO

EnergyOil & GasCanada

Last close 187.28 CAD on Nov 2, 2026, +60.3% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A+ Rank 7 of 73 in Energy
  1. Growth C 54 of 73
  2. Valuation C 55 of 73
  3. Quality A 1 of 73
  4. Revisions A 5 of 73
  5. Momentum B 37 of 73

Wall Street consensus Hold (3.44)Average target 160.59 CAD −14.2%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)46,91851,35950,70259,41337,508–
Revenue growth−8.6%1.3%−14.7%58.4%68.3%16.1%
EPS (basic, normalized)8.539.038.4911.123.65–
EPS growth−5.5%6.4%−23.7%204.7%––
Gross margin21.0%22.5%22.5%24.0%21.4%22.3%
Net margin7.0%9.3%9.6%12.4%6.6%9.0%
ROE14.3%21.0%21.9%33.3%11.5%20.4%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)2,893
Current ratio1.38x
Long-term debt (mil)3,965
Net debt (mil)1,149
Total equity (mil)24,467
Net debt / equity0.05x
Net debt / EBITDA0.15x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 46,918−8.6%1.9x 7,864−3.3%11.4x 8.53−5.5%22.0x
2026 61,569+31.2%1.5x 12,177+54.8%7.4x 16.28+90.9%11.5x
2027 61,015−0.9%1.5x 11,045−9.3%8.1x 15.57−4.4%12.0x
2028 57,302−6.1%1.6x 9,185−16.8%9.8x 12.70−18.4%14.7x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202661,569+4.2%+3.4%+6.2%16.28+9.8%+21.8%+29.1%
202761,015+4.6%+4.4%+11.6%15.57+19.0%+31.8%+42.9%
202857,302+5.7%+12.5%+17.1%12.70+7.3%+14.5%+15.8%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)12,28313,38313,25912,60712,51711,23212,04911,28012,44616,062
Sales mean (mil)17,43815,69916,57617,33413,63212,20714,74412,29512,51916,260
Surprise−29.6%−14.8%−20.0%−27.3%−8.2%−8.0%−18.3%−8.3%−0.6%−1.2%
EPS reported2.232.112.332.372.521.862.171.971.944.52
EPS mean2.031.912.042.122.171.641.921.892.394.13
Surprise+9.6%+10.7%+14.2%+12.1%+16.3%+13.2%+13.1%+4.0%−18.7%+9.4%

Peer comparison Oil & Gas

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
IMO Imperial Oil Ltd88.5B0.15x7.0%3.69x11.5x12.0x7.4x8.1x
XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corp1.02T0.43x8.9%2.76x13.5x14.2x7.5x7.7x
CVX Chevron Corporation621.5B0.85x6.7%2.37x12.7x14.2x6.5x7.0x
SHEL Shell plc418.7B0.73x6.7%1.62x8.2x10.1x4.1x4.5x
PBRa Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras190.7B1.43x22.1%1.54x5.4x5.4x2.9x3.1x
BP BP PLC176.5B1.17x0.4%2.03x6.1x9.1x3.1x3.8x
Mean0.79x8.6%2.33x9.6x10.8x5.3x5.7x
Median0.79x6.8%2.20x9.9x11.0x5.3x5.7x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+4.4%
  • 3M+3.5%
  • 1Y+54.1%
  • 3Y+150.5%

Financial statements in millions of CAD

Income statement, Imperial Oil Ltd, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue46,91851,35950,70259,41337,50822,284
Cost of revenue37,07639,78339,27845,14629,49018,983
Gross profit9,84211,57611,42414,2678,0183,301
Selling, general & administrative expenses3,1013,4803,2593,0612,7122,477
Research & development7.03.05.05.032.013.0
Depreciation/amortization2,5791,9831,9071,8971,9771,742
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)–––––1,396
Other operating expenses41.03.082.017.042.0121
Operating income4,1146,1076,1719,2873,255−2,448
Net interest income (expense)13911412539.0−21.05.0
Gain (loss) on sale of assets−5.018.073.015849.035.0
Other non-operating income (expense)14.000000
Net income before taxes4,2626,2396,3699,4843,283−2,408
Provision for taxes9941,4491,4802,144804−551
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items3,2684,7904,8897,3402,479−1,857
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income3,2684,7904,8897,3402,479−1,857
EBIT, normalized4,9336,1076,1719,2873,255−1,052
EBITDA, normalized6,9428,0908,07811,1845,232690
Basic EPS, normalized8.539.038.4911.123.65–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.