QDDresearch

Maple Leaf Foods Inc. MFI

Consumer StaplesFood & TobaccoCanada

Last close 27.32 CAD on Nov 3, 2026, +12.0% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating D Rank 15 of 21 in Consumer Staples
  1. Growth C 14 of 21
  2. Valuation C 11 of 21
  3. Quality D 15 of 21
  4. Revisions D 15 of 21
  5. Momentum D 16 of 21

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.00)Average target 33.80 CAD +23.7%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)3,9133,6334,8414,7394,521–
Revenue growth7.7%−24.9%2.2%4.8%5.1%−1.9%
EPS (basic, normalized)1.090.780.09−0.261.03–
EPS growth39.7%766.7%––––
Gross margin16.9%15.3%9.7%9.3%14.7%13.2%
Net margin1.1%−0.3%−2.6%−6.6%2.3%−1.2%
ROE3.1%−0.8%−7.9%−16.9%5.2%−3.4%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)168
Current ratio1.56x
Long-term debt (mil)1,306
Net debt (mil)1,157
Total equity (mil)1,360
Net debt / equity0.85x
Net debt / EBITDA2.43x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 3,913+7.7%1.2x 476−12.3%9.6x 1.09+39.7%25.1x
2026 4,065+3.9%1.1x 527+10.8%8.7x 1.57+44.2%17.4x
2027 4,245+4.4%1.1x 571+8.4%8.0x 1.80+14.3%15.2x
2028 4,407+3.8%1.0x 604+5.7%7.6x 2.01+11.9%13.6x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20264,065−0.1%−0.8%−1.4%1.570.0%−0.8%−1.8%
20274,245−0.2%−1.1%−1.5%1.80−0.1%−1.9%−2.8%
20284,407−1.5%−2.6%−3.1%2.01−0.4%−3.0%−6.9%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)1,1531,2611,2601,2371,2411,3621,3569919631,020
Sales mean (mil)1,1981,2871,2451,2161,1931,3311,1689889571,040
Surprise−3.7%−2.0%+1.2%+1.8%+4.0%+2.3%+16.1%+0.3%+0.6%−1.9%
EPS reported0.040.180.180.380.430.560.490.320.340.44
EPS mean0.120.190.230.240.270.440.350.260.300.42
Surprise−68.0%−6.5%−20.0%+56.7%+59.3%+27.8%+39.4%+23.1%+14.8%+3.9%

Peer comparison Food & Tobacco

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
MFI Maple Leaf Foods Inc.3.4B2.43x1.1%2.51x17.4x15.2x8.7x8.0x
SAP Saputo Inc.16.2B1.49x3.9%2.31x20.2x17.9x11.1x10.6x
KWPCY Kewpie Corp5.7B−0.42x5.9%–26.9x24.4x––
TATYY Tate & Lyle PLC4.7B–4.4%1.57x15.5x12.0x8.7x7.5x
FRPT Freshpet, Inc.4.7B0.39x12.6%2.73x32.3x34.4x16.0x13.1x
CALM Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.4.3B−1.60x10.9%1.21x−23.9x67.2x−71.8x11.0x
Mean0.46x6.5%2.07x14.7x28.5x−5.5x10.0x
Median0.39x5.2%2.31x18.8x21.1x8.7x10.6x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+10.3%
  • 3M−3.7%
  • 1Y+11.0%
  • 3Y+39.6%

Financial statements in millions of CAD

Income statement, Maple Leaf Foods Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue3,9133,6334,8414,7394,5214,304
Cost of revenue3,2503,0764,3704,3003,8563,601
Gross profit663557471439666702
Selling, general & administrative expenses397392405432467491
Research & development––––––
Interest expense (income), operating−0.90––––
Unusual expense (income)97.719.945.323611.43.6
Other operating expenses−30.2−4.112.414.414.516.8
Operating income1991508.2−243173191
Net interest income (expense)−86.7−148−142−49.6−17.5−22.8
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−8.5−10.4−9.1−6.4−5.4−8.7
Net income before taxes104−8.3−143−299150160
Provision for taxes59.63.6−17.612.946.946.6
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items43.9−11.9−125−312103113
Extraordinary items498108––––
Net income54296.6−125−312103113
EBIT, normalized29617053.6−6.8184195
EBITDA, normalized531435325227385391
Basic EPS, normalized1.090.780.09−0.261.03–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 3, 2026 after market close.