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AerCap Holdings N.V. AER

IndustrialsBanking ServicesIreland

Last close 158.52 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +11.2% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 13 of 418 in Industrials
  1. Growth B 153 of 418
  2. Valuation B 84 of 418
  3. Quality B 66 of 418
  4. Revisions A 52 of 418
  5. Momentum A 26 of 418

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.92)Average target 185.82 USD +17.2%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)7,6977,3467,0916,7855,135–
Revenue growth4.8%3.6%4.5%32.1%16.6%11.8%
EPS (basic, normalized)10.727.527.133.919.08–
EPS growth42.5%5.4%82.3%−56.9%152.6%24.4%
Gross margin91.6%89.0%89.3%87.9%93.8%90.3%
Net margin48.7%28.6%44.2%−10.7%19.5%26.1%
ROE21.1%13.8%14.9%13.4%7.9%14.2%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)2,534
Tier 1 risk-adjusted capital ratio–
Long-term debt (mil)43,272
Net debt (mil)40,739
Total equity (mil)18,622
Net debt / equity2.19x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)Book value per shareEPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthP/BMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 7,697+4.8%8.4x 109.80+23.4%1.4x 21.30+77.4%7.4x
2026 8,891+15.5%7.2x 131.40+19.7%1.2x 19.73−7.4%8.0x
2027 8,503−4.4%7.6x 143.97+9.6%1.1x 18.70−5.2%8.5x
2028 8,540+0.4%7.5x 151.40+5.2%1.0x 19.54+4.5%8.1x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20268,891+3.2%+3.6%+5.4%19.73+6.3%+6.2%+15.3%
20278,503+0.6%+0.7%+1.3%18.70+2.9%+2.7%+9.8%
20288,540+1.0%+1.1%+1.4%19.54+3.0%+1.7%+8.2%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)2,0181,9581,9482,0722,0771,8872,3092,2442,2422,167
Sales mean (mil)1,9371,8891,9191,9622,0132,0201,9782,1002,0542,097
Surprise+4.2%+3.6%+1.5%+5.6%+3.2%−6.6%+16.7%+6.9%+9.2%+3.4%
EPS reported3.293.012.413.313.682.834.973.795.395.14
EPS mean2.412.372.412.572.752.723.083.403.734.10
Surprise+36.6%+27.2%+0.1%+28.6%+34.0%+4.0%+61.3%+11.4%+44.4%+25.3%

Peer comparison Banking Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capTier 1 ratioNet marginDeposits/loansFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 P/BFY2 P/B
AER AerCap Holdings N.V.23.6B–48.7%–8.0x8.5x1.2x1.1x
8306 Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc.259.4B14.9%27.8%1.94x13.6x12.4x1.7x1.6x
8411 Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.118.8B15.7%21.3%1.79x12.8x10.9x1.6x1.4x
HSBA HSBC Holdings PLC292.7B16.3%21.6%1.95x10.1x9.2x1.6x1.5x
CAGR Credit Agricole SA50.7B13.1%12.0%1.73x6.5x6.0x0.6x0.6x
SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc.21.7B18.7%14.3%0.99x27.7x19.0x1.9x1.7x
Mean15.8%24.3%1.68x13.1x11.0x1.4x1.3x
Median15.7%21.4%1.79x11.5x10.1x1.6x1.5x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+8.2%
  • 3M+3.1%
  • 1Y+32.3%
  • 3Y+173.6%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, AerCap Holdings N.V., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Interest income7,6977,3467,0916,7855,1354,404
Total interest expense––––––
Net interest income7,6977,3467,0916,7855,1354,404
Loan loss provision––––––
Net interest income after loan loss provision––––––
Non-interest income––––––
Non-interest expense––––––
Net income before taxes4,0922,2633,272−1,0021,148−315
Provision for taxes555324291−164163−17.2
Minority interest & equity in affiliates21415915511215.1−1.2
Other000000
Net income before extraordinary items3,7512,0993,136−7261,001−299
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income3,7512,0993,136−7261,001−299
Basic weighted average shares (mil)172190224240146128
Diluted weighted average shares (mil)176194228240149128
Basic EPS excluding extraordinary items21.7811.0613.99−3.026.83−2.34
Basic EPS, normalized10.727.527.133.919.083.60

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.