QDDresearch

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. AVAL

FinancialsBanking ServicesColombia

Last close 4.43 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +12.5% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 137 of 304 in Financials
  1. Growth C 158 of 304
  2. Valuation B 55 of 304
  3. Quality D 253 of 304
  4. Revisions B 76 of 304
  5. Momentum C 171 of 304

Wall Street consensus Sell (4.00)

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)6,8196,1277,4684,0033,146–
Revenue growth11.3%−18.0%86.5%27.2%−46.9%2.9%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.020.010.010.020.02–
EPS growth109.3%−30.2%−28.8%−13.1%−30.3%−8.8%
Gross margin––––––
Net margin6.6%3.7%5.0%10.9%14.6%8.1%
ROE–6.8%4.5%14.0%15.1%10.1%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Tier 1 risk-adjusted capital ratio–
Long-term debt (mil)12,900
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)5,457
Net debt / equity–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)Book value per shareEPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthP/BMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 6,819+11.3%3.8x ––– 0.36+70.5%12.4x
2026 5,728−16.0%4.5x 4.74–0.9x 0.53+48.0%8.4x
2027 6,013+5.0%4.3x 4.93+4.0%0.9x 0.64+20.8%6.9x
2028 6,516+8.4%4.0x 5.19+5.3%0.9x 0.69+7.8%6.4x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20265,7280.0%+11.5%+15.2%0.530.0%+6.0%+10.4%
20276,0130.0%+4.3%+12.2%0.640.0%+10.3%+16.4%
20286,5160.0%+3.1%–0.690.0%−1.4%–

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 2 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025FQ-1Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)–8149957761,0601,0591,1211,482–3,870
Sales mean (mil)–9989281,0391,0721,0811,0581,194–1,262
Surprise–−18.4%+7.2%−25.3%−1.1%−2.0%+6.0%+24.1%–+206.6%
EPS reported0.030.040.090.050.070.100.110.08–0.14
EPS mean0.050.040.070.080.100.100.100.10–0.12
Surprise−50.0%+10.0%+21.4%−32.5%−29.0%−1.0%+9.0%−24.0%–+17.5%

Peer comparison Banking Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capTier 1 ratioNet marginDeposits/loansFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 P/BFY2 P/B
AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A.5.5B–6.6%1.13x8.4x6.9x0.9x0.9x
IDCBY Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd441.5B–––130.8x124.4x11.6x10.9x
CMWAY Commonwealth Bank of Australia196.1B–––25.7x24.8x––
UNCRY Unicredit, SpA123.1B–39.8%1.01x9.8x8.5x––
MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.118.8B––1.70x4.7x4.1x––
BNPQY BNP Paribas SA105.5B–––6.9x6.2x––
Mean–23.2%1.28x31.0x29.2x6.3x5.9x
Median–23.2%1.13x9.1x7.7x6.3x5.9x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−7.2%
  • 3M−8.3%
  • 1Y+13.5%
  • 3Y+129.5%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Interest income6,8196,1277,4684,0033,1465,923
Total interest expense4,7934,5545,8442,4071,1462,420
Net interest income2,0261,5741,6231,5972,0003,503
Loan loss provision1,1331,0491,2276447851,835
Net interest income after loan loss provision8935253979531,2151,667
Non-interest income3,4062,6253,3082,3332,4843,906
Non-interest expense−3,072−2,444−2,804−1,991−2,133−3,677
Net income before taxes1,2277069011,2941,5661,896
Provision for taxes380214338469572540
Minority interest & equity in affiliates−397−267−191−390−536−668
Other000000
Net income before extraordinary items450225371436458688
Extraordinary items7.15.8056.2125–
Net income457231371492583688
Basic weighted average shares (mil)23,74323,74323,74323,14222,28122,281
Diluted weighted average shares (mil)23,74323,74323,74323,14222,28122,281
Basic EPS excluding extraordinary items0.020.010.020.020.020.03
Basic EPS, normalized0.020.010.010.020.020.03

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.