QDDresearch

Ayala Corp AYALY

IndustrialsReal Estate OperationsPhilippines

Last close 8.24 USD on Nov 2, 2026, +14.0% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 208 of 418 in Industrials
  1. Growth B 129 of 418
  2. Valuation D 307 of 418
  3. Quality B 95 of 418
  4. Revisions D 316 of 418
  5. Momentum C 191 of 418

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.57)Average target 10.62 USD +28.9%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)5,7295,6095,2344,7394,424–
Revenue growth2.1%7.2%10.4%7.1%9.7%7.3%
EPS (basic, normalized)1.581.131.060.760.81–
EPS growth40.1%6.7%39.0%−6.1%––
Gross margin29.3%28.9%28.2%22.7%23.9%26.6%
Net margin17.5%12.3%12.5%9.9%12.6%13.0%
ROE13.0%10.1%10.0%7.5%8.4%9.8%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)1,341
Current ratio1.40x
Long-term debt (mil)10,080
Net debt (mil)16,468
Total equity (mil)8,688
Net debt / equity1.90x
Net debt / EBITDA10.67x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 5,729+2.1%3.7x 1,544−3.2%13.8x 1.58+40.1%5.2x
2026 5,970+4.2%3.6x 1,614+4.6%13.2x 1.18−25.3%7.0x
2027 6,464+8.3%3.3x 1,790+10.9%11.9x 1.36+14.5%6.1x
2028 7,355+13.8%2.9x 1,929+7.8%11.0x 1.55+14.2%5.3x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20265,970+3.2%+3.2%0.0%1.18−5.2%−5.8%−15.0%
20276,464+3.8%+3.8%0.0%1.36−7.5%−8.0%−19.4%
20287,355+10.3%+10.3%+37.8%1.55−4.7%−5.3%−6.6%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 2 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)75,72880,91288,51092,86780,89579,39078,31698,28581,65887,614
Sales mean (mil)89,71478,23674,26685,09680,96985,15786,895107,97399,66386,717
Surprise−15.6%+3.4%+19.2%+9.1%−0.1%−6.8%−9.9%−9.0%−18.1%+1.0%
EPS reported20.4414.1918.1811.9220.2016.5435.5122.4718.0216.36
EPS mean18.3417.8518.0024.0619.9019.4616.7821.64–19.82
Surprise+11.5%−20.5%+1.0%−50.5%+1.5%−15.0%+111.6%+3.8%–−17.4%

Peer comparison Real Estate Operations

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
AYALY Ayala Corp5.4B10.67x17.5%0.62x7.0x6.1x13.2x11.9x
CWQXY Castellum AB5.9B8.24x9.8%0.77x31.0x30.8x18.8x20.5x
TKFOY Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation5.6B7.00x7.8%0.97x18.0x17.2x10.1x9.8x
UOLGY UOL Group Ltd5.2B–––––––
CIGI Colliers International Group Inc.5.2B5.31x1.9%3.46x14.0x12.4x10.7x9.6x
CDEVY City Developments Limited5.2B–17.3%0.69x––––
Mean7.80x10.8%1.30x17.5x16.6x13.2x12.9x
Median7.62x9.8%0.77x16.0x14.8x11.9x10.9x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+2.9%
  • 3M−0.8%
  • 1Y−1.9%
  • 3Y−15.8%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Ayala Corp, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue5,7295,6095,2344,7394,4244,033
Cost of revenue4,0533,9913,7583,6653,3692,952
Gross profit1,6771,6181,4761,0741,0551,081
Selling, general & administrative expenses828748800561578582
Research & development5.24.88.64.12.24.3
Depreciation/amortization46.355.352.458.753.169.1
Interest expense (income), operating−795−763−939−769−593−548
Unusual expense (income)27.119112011641.668.8
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income1,5661,3821,4341,104974904
Net interest income (expense)−188−336−302−464−328−499
Gain (loss) on sale of assets2.18.01.7−1.52.32.4
Other non-operating income (expense)29718335.2297190107
Net income before taxes1,6771,2371,169936839515
Provision for taxes19917917311296.3109
Minority interest−433−335−309−332−162−253
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items1,045724687492580153
Extraordinary items––00−35.6204
Net income1,045724687492545357
EBIT, normalized798810615451422425
EBITDA, normalized987998785732653839
Basic EPS, normalized1.581.131.060.760.81–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.