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Alibaba Group Holding Limited BABA

Consumer DiscretionarySoftware & IT ServicesHong Kong

Last close 98.04 USD on Nov 1, 2026, −32.5% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 94 of 297 in Consumer Discretionary
  1. Growth B 45 of 297
  2. Valuation C 196 of 297
  3. Quality B 80 of 297
  4. Revisions A 38 of 297
  5. Momentum D 213 of 297

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.83)Average target 184.01 USD +87.7%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends March 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202620252024202320225Y avg
Revenue (mil)148,401137,300130,350126,491134,567–
Revenue growth8.1%5.3%3.1%−6.0%22.9%6.3%
EPS (basic, normalized)3.959.088.607.767.82–
EPS growth−56.5%5.5%10.9%−0.8%––
Gross margin39.8%40.0%37.7%36.9%36.9%38.2%
Net margin10.3%13.0%8.5%8.3%7.3%9.5%
ROE10.2%13.0%8.1%7.5%6.6%9.1%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)56,845
Current ratio1.36x
Long-term debt (mil)34,770
Net debt (mil)−8,004
Total equity (mil)154,609
Net debt / equity−0.05x
Net debt / EBITDA−0.48x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2026 actual 148,401+8.1%1.6x 16,711−39.5%14.1x 3.95−56.5%24.8x
2027 169,176+14.0%1.4x 25,897+55.0%9.1x 6.71+70.0%14.6x
2028 192,347+13.7%1.2x 36,074+39.3%6.5x 9.50+41.6%10.3x
2029 218,897+13.8%1.1x 48,763+35.2%4.8x 12.10+27.3%8.1x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
2027169,176−0.4%+0.2%−0.8%6.71+2.0%+1.8%−9.0%
2028192,347−0.3%+1.3%+0.5%9.50+1.3%+2.5%−5.0%
2029218,897−0.3%+2.7%+3.2%12.10+2.3%+2.2%+10.2%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)221,874243,236236,503280,154236,454247,652247,795284,843243,380268,953
Sales mean (mil)219,661249,050238,919279,614237,244252,915242,651290,693247,220268,883
Surprise+1.0%−2.3%−1.0%+0.2%−0.3%−2.1%+2.1%−2.0%−1.6%0.0%
EPS reported10.1416.4415.0621.3912.5214.754.367.090.628.52
EPS mean10.2115.2414.8819.6112.9415.095.4911.305.7910.53
Surprise−0.7%+7.9%+1.2%+9.1%−3.2%−2.2%−20.5%−37.2%−89.3%−19.1%

Peer comparison Software & IT Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited243.9B−0.48x10.3%1.45x14.6x10.3x9.1x6.5x
GOOGL Alphabet Inc.3.43T−0.67x32.8%5.08x14.1x18.6x14.3x10.9x
0700 Tencent Holdings Limited444.6B0.29x29.9%2.61x11.2x10.8x8.5x7.8x
META Meta Platforms, Inc.1.60T0.01x37.1%5.77x21.3x18.2x11.4x8.9x
NFLX Netflix, Inc.254.9B0.49x24.3%8.70x17.3x16.5x15.3x13.3x
PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc.299.4B−0.31x2.7%10.85x87.5x75.0x60.0x51.7x
Mean−0.11x22.9%5.74x27.7x24.9x19.8x16.5x
Median−0.15x27.1%5.42x16.0x17.4x12.9x9.9x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−9.9%
  • 3M−14.9%
  • 1Y−44.0%
  • 3Y+28.0%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Alibaba Group Holding Limited, fiscal years, most recent first
202620252024202320222021
Total revenue148,401137,300130,350126,491134,567109,480
Cost of revenue89,32182,44681,20579,87784,97964,031
Gross profit59,08054,85449,14546,61449,58945,449
Selling, general & administrative expenses40,31725,94321,76221,21323,93320,871
Research & development9,6457,8767,2378,2638,7498,736
Depreciation/amortization4867861,3171,9661,8371,897
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)1,4406713,2525084,592−692
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income7,19319,57915,57814,66410,47614,638
Net interest income (expense)9,4683,803−1,644−2,775−2,6659,477
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)2,097−1,9601371,0981,5821,157
Net income before taxes18,75721,42214,07112,9869,39425,272
Provision for taxes4,3564,8843,1202,2644,2304,469
Minority interest5484811,1651,0102,3471,072
Equity in affiliates404822−1,071−1,1742,2631,066
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items15,35317,84111,04410,5589,77422,941
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income15,35317,84111,04410,5589,77422,941
EBIT, normalized−96221,28426,71120,41520,8738,856
EBITDA, normalized5,81426,48132,41927,65928,45516,169
Basic EPS, normalized3.959.088.607.767.82–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.