QDDresearch

Bega Cheese Limited BGCHY

Consumer StaplesFood & TobaccoAustralia

Last close 15.00 USD on Nov 3, 2026, −16.6% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating D Rank 138 of 174 in Consumer Staples
  1. Growth B 33 of 174
  2. Valuation D 154 of 174
  3. Quality D 135 of 174
  4. Revisions C 76 of 174
  5. Momentum D 156 of 174

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.30)Average target 5.04 USD −66.4%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends June 30

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202620252024202320225Y avg
Revenue (mil)2,6122,3292,3482,2502,077–
Revenue growth12.2%−0.8%4.3%8.3%33.6%10.9%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.160.110.060.060.10–
EPS growth51.7%64.0%7.0%−42.4%––
Gross margin20.8%20.6%19.8%19.4%22.9%20.7%
Net margin1.5%−0.2%0.9%−6.8%0.8%−0.8%
ROE5.5%−0.9%3.0%−20.3%1.9%−2.1%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Current ratio–
Long-term debt (mil)–
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)–
Net debt / equity–
Net debt / EBITDA–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2026 actual 2,612+12.2%0.6x 160+22.4%9.8x 0.16+51.7%93.3x
2027 2,760+5.7%0.6x 169+5.4%9.3x 0.18+11.1%84.0x
2028 2,881+4.4%0.5x 185+9.5%8.5x 0.21+16.5%72.1x
2029 2,999+4.1%0.5x 196+6.1%8.0x 0.23+11.6%64.6x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20272,760+1.1%+1.7%+1.8%0.18−0.5%+0.2%+0.8%
20282,881+1.1%+2.1%+2.2%0.21−0.4%+0.3%+0.8%
20292,999+1.2%+1.8%+2.2%0.23−0.4%−9.2%−10.0%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
FQ-9FQ-8FQ-7FQ-6FQ-5FQ-4FQ-3FQ-2FQ-1FQ0
Sales reported (mil)––––––––––
Sales mean (mil)––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––
EPS reported––––––––––
EPS mean––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––

FQ0 is the most recent reported quarter, FQ-1 the one before, and so on.

Peer comparison Food & Tobacco

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
BGCHY Bega Cheese Limited1.3B–1.5%1.93x84.0x72.1x9.3x8.5x
AGRO Adecoagro S.A.1.4B7.84x−0.6%0.79x6.2x7.3x5.0x4.9x
JWEL Jamieson Wellness Inc.1.4B3.09x7.6%3.71x21.2x18.3x13.3x11.9x
TPB Turning Point Brands, Inc.1.3B0.42x12.6%3.14x37.8x27.8x18.3x14.6x
HUIHY Huabao International Holdings Limited1.3B–−11.2%0.77x1,354.0x955.8x5.1x4.3x
DMC Del Monte Corporation1.3B1.64x2.1%0.64x12.0x9.9x7.5x6.6x
Mean3.25x2.0%1.83x252.5x181.9x9.8x8.5x
Median2.37x1.8%1.36x29.5x23.0x8.4x7.6x

Technical analysis

  • 1M–
  • 3M–
  • 1Y−16.6%
  • 3Y−16.6%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Bega Cheese Limited, fiscal years, most recent first
202620252024202320222021
Total revenue2,6122,3292,3482,2502,0771,555
Cost of revenue2,0681,8481,8821,8131,6011,206
Gross profit543480466438476349
Selling, general & administrative expenses477442439432425300
Research & development––––––
Interest expense (income), operating19.920.020.713.74.84.1
Unusual expense (income)1.929.8−9.317230.048.3
Other operating expenses−6.7−7.2−11.1−9.2−7.7−78.4
Operating income51.7−4.426.5−17123.374.4
Net interest income (expense)––––––
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)000000
Net income before taxes51.7−4.426.5−17123.374.4
Provision for taxes13.81.26.2−17.96.615.9
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items37.9−5.620.3−15316.758.5
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income37.9−5.620.3−15316.758.5
EBIT, normalized82.169.742.427.558.2128
EBITDA, normalized14712910195.5130183
Basic EPS, normalized0.160.110.060.060.10–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 3, 2026 after market close.