QDDresearch

Popular, Inc. BPOP

FinancialsBanking ServicesPuerto Rico

Last close 158.96 USD on Nov 2, 2026, +29.8% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 52 of 304 in Financials
  1. Growth B 94 of 304
  2. Valuation C 182 of 304
  3. Quality B 55 of 304
  4. Revisions B 87 of 304
  5. Momentum B 89 of 304

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.80)Average target 194.00 USD +22.0%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)3,7833,6733,2452,4662,123–
Revenue growth3.0%13.2%31.6%16.2%1.5%12.6%
EPS (basic, normalized)12.478.567.7914.7911.54–
EPS growth45.6%9.9%−47.3%28.2%57.4%11.2%
Gross margin––––––
Net margin22.0%16.7%16.6%44.7%44.0%28.8%
ROE14.0%8.7%8.2%18.4%16.2%13.1%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Tier 1 risk-adjusted capital ratio16.1%
Long-term debt (mil)686
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)6,239
Net debt / equity–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)Book value per shareEPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthP/BMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 3,783+3.0%2.9x 94.75+18.1%1.7x 12.30+43.7%12.9x
2026 2,989−21.0%3.7x 102.25+7.9%1.6x 16.15+31.3%9.8x
2027 3,308+10.7%3.3x 114.12+11.6%1.4x 17.75+9.9%9.0x
2028 3,516+6.3%3.1x 129.91+13.8%1.2x 19.77+11.4%8.0x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20262,989−0.1%−1.9%−2.8%16.15+1.2%+1.2%+6.9%
20273,308+1.5%+1.8%+1.0%17.75+1.8%+2.0%+5.3%
20283,516−0.9%+2.1%+2.7%19.77−0.3%+0.5%+4.7%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)551568572732606632647658670693
Sales mean (mil)560588601592608640671699786766
Surprise−1.6%−3.4%−4.7%+23.7%−0.4%−1.3%−3.7%−6.0%−14.7%−9.5%
EPS reported1.882.462.162.512.563.283.143.533.784.35
EPS mean1.862.122.312.062.182.562.953.043.343.73
Surprise+1.0%+16.2%−6.6%+22.1%+17.6%+28.4%+6.5%+16.3%+13.3%+16.7%

Peer comparison Banking Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capTier 1 ratioNet marginDeposits/loansFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 P/BFY2 P/B
BPOP Popular, Inc.10.0B16.1%22.0%1.72x9.8x9.0x1.6x1.4x
SAN Banco Santander S.A.168.7B15.0%12.3%1.14x9.9x8.3x1.4x1.3x
USB U.S. Bancorp94.2B12.2%23.2%1.36x11.4x10.3x1.5x1.4x
CABK CaixaBank SA89.2B14.3%32.7%1.26x12.4x10.6x2.0x1.9x
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp49.9B10.8%24.0%1.43x13.6x11.0x1.5x1.4x
MTB M&T Bank Corporation32.3B11.6%25.7%1.22x11.5x10.7x1.2x1.2x
Mean13.3%23.3%1.36x11.4x10.0x1.5x1.4x
Median13.2%23.6%1.31x11.5x10.5x1.5x1.4x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+0.5%
  • 3M−8.8%
  • 1Y+45.9%
  • 3Y+153.1%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Popular, Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Interest income3,7833,6733,2452,4662,1232,092
Total interest expense1,2421,3911,114299165235
Net interest income2,5412,2822,1322,1671,9581,857
Loan loss provision26025720983.0−193159
Net interest income after loan loss provision2,2812,0251,9232,0842,1511,698
Non-interest income658659651897642512
Non-interest expense−1,932−1,888−1,898−1,746−1,549−1,592
Net income before taxes1,0077976761,2351,244619
Provision for taxes174182134132309112
Minority interest & equity in affiliates––––––
Other000000
Net income before extraordinary items8336145411,103935507
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income8336145411,103935507
Basic weighted average shares (mil)67.671.671.775.181.385.9
Diluted weighted average shares (mil)67.671.671.875.381.486.0
Basic EPS excluding extraordinary items12.318.567.5314.6511.495.88
Basic EPS, normalized12.478.567.7914.7911.547.33

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.