QDDresearch

Central Puerto S.A. CEPU

UtilitiesElectric Utilities & IPPsArgentina

Last close 10.61 USD on Nov 1, 2026, −34.0% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 14 of 89 in Utilities
  1. Growth C 53 of 89
  2. Valuation A 3 of 89
  3. Quality A 12 of 89
  4. Revisions B 35 of 89
  5. Momentum D 64 of 89

Wall Street consensus Strong Buy (1.50)Average target 24.76 USD +133.4%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)7567173885741,083–
Revenue growth5.5%84.8%−32.4%−47.0%58.3%2.0%
EPS (basic, normalized)1.860.363.330.97−0.05–
EPS growth414.4%−89.2%245.0%–––
Gross margin27.9%42.5%33.0%46.9%48.1%39.7%
Net margin31.6%6.7%47.2%20.1%−1.3%20.9%
ROE15.9%3.8%27.0%8.0%−0.8%10.8%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)178
Current ratio1.28x
Long-term debt (mil)473
Net debt (mil)579
Total equity (mil)1,998
Net debt / equity0.29x
Net debt / EBITDA1.72x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 756+5.5%3.0x 337+9.0%6.7x 1.86+414.4%5.7x
2026 1,066+40.9%2.1x 466+38.1%4.9x 1.95+5.0%5.4x
2027 1,249+17.2%1.8x 509+9.3%4.4x 1.68−13.9%6.3x
2028 1,281+2.6%1.8x 546+7.2%4.1x 1.94+15.3%5.5x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20261,0660.0%+5.3%−6.7%1.950.0%0.0%+30.0%
20271,2490.0%+5.0%+8.2%1.680.0%+0.6%+6.3%
20281,2810.0%+0.8%−7.3%1.940.0%−0.1%−3.2%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 2 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedFQ-9Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024FQ-5FQ-4FQ-3Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)154173185173200180234173242494
Sales mean (mil)170147163185––196204243337
Surprise−8.9%+17.6%+13.8%−6.4%––+19.1%−15.5%−0.2%+46.7%
EPS reported–0.040.20−0.22–––0.110.880.61
EPS mean––0.040.03–––0.350.350.40
Surprise––+399.8%−768.9%–––−70.1%+148.5%+53.1%

Peer comparison Electric Utilities & IPPs

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
CEPU Central Puerto S.A.1.7B1.72x31.6%–5.4x6.3x4.9x4.4x
AXIA3 Axia Energia SA24.0B2.30x15.9%0.17x11.7x8.2x6.1x4.9x
EQTL3 Equatorial SA7.6B4.70x2.3%1.57x18.6x14.5x8.3x7.7x
CPFE3 CPFL Energia S.A.9.0B2.16x12.4%2.13x9.7x10.8x5.9x5.8x
VST Vistra Corp.46.4B3.86x4.2%8.48x15.5x13.3x9.5x8.6x
TLN Talen Energy Corporation16.2B9.05x−8.5%10.17x18.5x11.1x12.1x9.6x
Mean3.97x9.6%4.50x13.3x10.7x7.8x6.9x
Median3.08x8.3%2.13x13.6x10.9x7.2x6.8x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−12.1%
  • 3M−20.5%
  • 1Y−14.6%
  • 3Y+111.8%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Central Puerto S.A., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue7567173885741,083684
Cost of revenue545412260305562303
Gross profit211304128269521381
Selling, general & administrative expenses67.672.539.742.278.853.4
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization2.62.10.6000
Interest expense (income), operating33.9−86.9−275−192−187−246
Unusual expense (income)−28.0134−60.271.314672.3
Other operating expenses−121−9.44.4−10.0−4.5−0.2
Operating income255191418358488502
Net interest income (expense)56.2−30.0−55.4−27.3−298−282
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)0.8−22.9−160−177−45.4−3.2
Net income before taxes312139203154145217
Provision for taxes69.079.122.238.015791.9
Minority interest−4.5−11.32.6−0.2−1.8−1.2
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items23948.2183115−14.1124
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income23948.2183115−14.1124
EBIT, normalized26123983.2237447328
EBITDA, normalized373349170347650435
Basic EPS, normalized1.860.363.330.97−0.05–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.