QDDresearch

Grindrod Limited GRDLY

IndustrialsTransport InfrastructureSouth Africa

Last close 13.17 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +32.6% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 249 of 418 in Industrials
  1. Growth C 288 of 418
  2. Valuation D 355 of 418
  3. Quality C 190 of 418
  4. Revisions C 211 of 418
  5. Momentum B 153 of 418

Wall Street consensus Hold (3.00)Average target 1.85 USD −85.9%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)336264265346214–
Revenue growth27.1%−0.4%−23.4%61.9%−16.3%5.6%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.190.030.08–––
EPS growth619.5%−67.2%––––
Gross margin––––––
Net margin37.2%6.3%20.4%13.2%1.7%15.8%
ROE21.9%3.9%11.3%9.5%1.3%9.6%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Current ratio–
Long-term debt (mil)–
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)–
Net debt / equity–
Net debt / EBITDA–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 336+27.1%3.6x 94.5+76.3%12.9x 0.19+619.5%70.3x
2026 364+8.6%3.3x 104+10.5%11.6x 0.11−40.3%117.8x
2027 412+13.0%2.9x 121+15.8%10.0x 0.13+13.9%103.4x
2028 478+16.1%2.5x 140+15.9%8.7x 0.15+17.9%87.7x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20263640.0%−4.2%−5.1%0.110.0%−5.4%−9.2%
20274120.0%−1.5%−2.3%0.130.0%−6.7%−5.4%
20284780.0%+4.1%+3.3%0.150.0%−3.3%−2.2%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
FQ-9FQ-8FQ-7FQ-6FQ-5FQ-4FQ-3FQ-2FQ-1FQ0
Sales reported (mil)––––––––––
Sales mean (mil)––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––
EPS reported––––––––––
EPS mean––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––

FQ0 is the most recent reported quarter, FQ-1 the one before, and so on.

Peer comparison Transport Infrastructure

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
GRDLY Grindrod Limited1.2B–37.2%1.95x117.8x103.4x11.6x10.0x
HUPHY Hutchison Port Holdings Trust1.8B–6.3%0.57x347.0x336.6x5.7x5.5x
TAVHY TAV Havalimanlari Holding AS1.8B2.84x2.8%0.94x55.8x35.4x5.4x5.1x
HHULY Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG1.7B–0.6%2.08x––––
PTJSY Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk PT1.1B6.90x12.2%0.55x117.1x110.9x8.4x7.7x
SIHBY Shenzhen Investment Holdings Bay Area Development Co Ltd817M–59.5%0.95x––––
Mean4.87x19.8%1.18x159.4x146.6x7.8x7.1x
Median4.87x9.3%0.95x117.4x107.2x7.1x6.6x

Technical analysis

  • 1M–
  • 3M0.0%
  • 1Y+52.7%
  • 3Y+100.6%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Grindrod Limited, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue336264265346214255
Cost of revenue––––––
Gross profit336264265346214255
Selling, general & administrative expenses2.75.15.015.71.914.5
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization25.917.721.428.629.735.8
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)2.71.57.9−3.84.712.2
Other operating expenses238243210265154218
Operating income65.9−3.621.240.223.2−25.3
Net interest income (expense)90.839.647.729.75.46.4
Gain (loss) on sale of assets−0.105.52.003.5
Other non-operating income (expense)000−2.7−15.0−4.4
Net income before taxes15736.074.569.313.6−19.8
Provision for taxes27.615.416.520.55.18.2
Minority interest0.100.10.2−1.93.2
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items12920.758.149.06.6−24.8
Extraordinary items––0−10.37.3–
Net income12920.758.138.713.8−24.8
EBIT, normalized68.6−2.129.136.427.9−13.1
EBITDA, normalized94.515.650.565.858.422.7
Basic EPS, normalized0.190.030.08–––

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.