QDDresearch

Heineken NV HEINY

Consumer StaplesBeveragesNetherlands

Last close 43.49 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +11.5% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 75 of 174 in Consumer Staples
  1. Growth C 108 of 174
  2. Valuation C 74 of 174
  3. Quality C 89 of 174
  4. Revisions C 97 of 174
  5. Momentum B 44 of 174

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.00)Average target 51.84 USD +19.2%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)33,76230,96433,56830,73524,943–
Revenue growth9.0%−7.8%9.2%23.2%3.6%7.0%
EPS (basic, normalized)2.702.642.532.582.09–
EPS growth2.0%4.4%−2.1%23.5%––
Gross margin48.1%47.8%46.0%47.4%48.4%47.5%
Net margin6.6%3.3%7.6%9.3%15.1%8.4%
ROE10.0%4.9%11.6%14.5%21.6%12.6%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Current ratio–
Long-term debt (mil)–
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)–
Net debt / equity–
Net debt / EBITDA–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 33,762+9.0%2.2x 6,784−4.8%10.8x 2.70+2.0%16.1x
2026 34,482+2.1%2.1x 7,586+11.8%9.6x 2.98+10.6%14.6x
2027 35,878+4.0%2.0x 8,041+6.0%9.1x 3.23+8.3%13.5x
2028 37,437+4.3%2.0x 8,469+5.3%8.6x 3.54+9.5%12.3x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202634,482−3.1%−1.6%−3.5%2.98−3.6%−2.9%−4.3%
202735,878−2.9%−2.5%−4.1%3.23−3.9%−2.1%−2.8%
202837,437−2.1%−1.9%−3.5%3.54−3.8%+0.6%−0.5%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
FQ-9FQ-8FQ-7FQ-6FQ-5FQ-4FQ-3FQ-2FQ-1FQ0
Sales reported (mil)––––––––––
Sales mean (mil)––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––
EPS reported––––––––––
EPS mean––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––

FQ0 is the most recent reported quarter, FQ-1 the one before, and so on.

Peer comparison Beverages

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
HEINY Heineken NV50.3B–6.6%2.31x14.6x13.5x9.6x9.1x
KO Coca-Cola Co404.7B1.69x27.3%10.83x28.1x26.6x24.7x23.7x
PEP PepsiCo, Inc.187.2B2.22x8.8%8.40x16.3x16.0x12.0x11.7x
BUD Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA144.6B3.39x11.5%1.68x18.2x16.5x9.3x8.9x
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation92.6B–23.0%9.90x41.0x36.0x29.6x26.4x
DGE Diageo PLC52.3B–8.8%4.81x14.1x13.3x11.7x11.1x
Mean2.44x14.3%6.32x22.1x20.3x16.1x15.2x
Median2.22x10.2%6.61x17.3x16.2x11.8x11.4x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+10.0%
  • 3M−1.2%
  • 1Y+14.5%
  • 3Y+7.9%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Heineken NV, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue33,76230,96433,56830,73524,94324,078
Cost of revenue17,52216,17118,13816,15812,86412,507
Gross profit16,24014,79215,43014,57712,07911,571
Selling, general & administrative expenses9,2538,3808,7198,0766,5226,760
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization2,6232,3262,4462,1502,1142,329
Interest expense (income), operating––−25.4−81.3−1,444–
Unusual expense (income)298382748−251−3231,500
Other operating expenses3.554.9−108000
Operating income4,0633,6493,6514,6845,209982
Net interest income (expense)−472−1,565−809−223−279−718
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−72.8−6.2−58.51.1−3.4−72.1
Net income before taxes3,5182,0782,7834,4634,927192
Provision for taxes1,0078761341,210908299
Minority interest−297−189−107−382−240−142
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items2,2141,0132,5432,8703,779−249
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income2,2141,0132,5432,8703,779−249
EBIT, normalized4,7314,2364,5194,3803,9574,284
EBITDA, normalized7,3546,2446,9656,5306,0726,613
Basic EPS, normalized2.702.642.532.582.09–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.