QDDresearch

Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV KOF

Consumer StaplesBeveragesMexico

Last close 115.68 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +26.0% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 17 of 174 in Consumer Staples
  1. Growth A 14 of 174
  2. Valuation C 112 of 174
  3. Quality A 15 of 174
  4. Revisions C 101 of 174
  5. Momentum A 13 of 174

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.11)Average target 124.30 USD +7.5%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)16,20413,43914,45611,6439,509–
Revenue growth20.6%−7.0%24.2%22.4%2.9%11.9%
EPS (basic, normalized)5.916.175.254.513.69–
EPS growth−4.2%17.7%16.3%22.3%––
Gross margin45.6%46.0%45.2%44.2%45.5%45.3%
Net margin8.2%8.5%8.0%8.4%8.1%8.2%
ROE16.5%17.5%15.5%15.4%13.2%15.6%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)2,767
Current ratio1.14x
Long-term debt (mil)4,201
Net debt (mil)2,636
Total equity (mil)8,364
Net debt / equity0.32x
Net debt / EBITDA0.86x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 16,204+20.6%1.6x 3,079+12.1%8.6x 5.91−4.2%19.6x
2026 17,321+6.9%1.5x 3,496+13.6%7.6x 6.74+14.0%17.2x
2027 18,666+7.8%1.4x 3,757+7.4%7.1x 7.35+9.1%15.7x
2028 19,772+5.9%1.3x 3,982+6.0%6.7x 7.89+7.3%14.7x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202617,321−1.9%−0.5%−1.5%6.74−2.3%+0.4%−3.1%
202718,666−1.7%−0.3%−1.8%7.35−1.9%−1.5%−6.2%
202819,772−1.7%−0.6%−2.7%7.89−2.1%−1.9%−6.9%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)3,7604,0303,6763,7643,4373,7433,8614,2524,0404,392
Sales mean (mil)3,6553,7883,5383,5033,4783,8873,8754,3164,0294,326
Surprise+2.9%+6.4%+3.9%+7.4%−1.2%−3.7%−0.4%−1.5%+0.3%+1.5%
EPS reported1.401.551.471.731.201.301.511.951.181.70
EPS mean1.207.381.331.401.191.531.341.861.351.54
Surprise+17.1%−79.0%+10.2%+23.6%+1.1%−15.0%+12.2%+4.8%−12.5%+10.7%

Peer comparison Beverages

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
KOF Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV24.2B0.86x8.2%24.16x17.2x15.7x7.6x7.1x
ABEV3 Ambev SA42.0B−0.64x17.6%2.48x14.1x13.3x6.9x6.6x
PEP PepsiCo, Inc.187.2B2.22x8.8%8.40x16.3x16.0x12.0x11.7x
ABI Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA144.6B3.39x11.5%1.70x18.1x16.5x9.3x8.8x
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation92.6B–23.0%9.90x41.0x36.0x29.6x26.4x
CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC49.8B–9.3%5.43x22.1x20.3x14.2x13.4x
Mean1.46x13.1%8.68x21.5x19.7x13.2x12.3x
Median1.54x10.4%6.92x17.6x16.3x10.6x10.3x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+7.4%
  • 3M+7.4%
  • 1Y+38.9%
  • 3Y+72.1%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue16,20413,43914,45611,6439,5099,240
Cost of revenue8,8077,2557,9176,4935,1845,073
Gross profit7,3976,1836,5395,1504,3254,167
Selling, general & administrative expenses5,0944,2324,4883,5422,9642,841
Research & development––––––
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)−58.4−36.325.8−1.38.723.7
Other operating expenses23.170.849.251.830.7158
Operating income2,3391,9171,9751,5581,3211,145
Net interest income (expense)−255−166−252−261−247−355
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−20.1−22.0−25.427.541.118.9
Net income before taxes2,0641,7301,6981,3241,115809
Provision for taxes704565518336323273
Minority interest−65.0−39.4−40.7−30.4−30.4−3.1
Equity in affiliates29.514.712.719.84.3−14.1
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items1,3241,1401,152977767519
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income1,3241,1401,152977767519
EBIT, normalized2,2801,8812,0011,5561,3301,169
EBITDA, normalized3,0492,4632,6222,0921,8101,674
Basic EPS, normalized5.916.175.254.513.69–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.