QDDresearch

Mitsui Kinzoku Co Ltd MMSMY

MaterialsMetals & MiningJapan

Last close 12.69 USD on Nov 2, 2026, +13.3% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 32 of 220 in Materials
  1. Growth B 63 of 220
  2. Valuation A 18 of 220
  3. Quality A 2 of 220
  4. Revisions C 128 of 220
  5. Momentum C 106 of 220

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.82)Average target 28.22 USD +122.4%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends March 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202620252024202320225Y avg
Revenue (mil)4,7794,7514,2744,9105,206–
Revenue growth0.6%11.2%−12.9%−5.7%10.2%0.2%
EPS (basic, normalized)1.010.770.290.110.70–
EPS growth31.8%163.4%162.5%−84.2%––
Gross margin26.7%21.1%14.8%12.2%19.4%18.8%
Net margin12.0%9.1%4.0%1.3%8.2%6.9%
ROE24.5%21.2%9.8%3.5%23.8%16.5%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)330
Current ratio2.42x
Long-term debt (mil)417
Net debt (mil)458
Total equity (mil)2,597
Net debt / equity0.18x
Net debt / EBITDA0.45x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2026 actual 4,779+0.6%1.6x 1,026+45.4%7.5x 1.01+31.8%12.6x
2027 5,431+13.6%1.4x 892−13.1%8.7x 0.98−2.6%12.9x
2028 5,683+4.6%1.4x 1,023+14.7%7.6x 1.10+11.9%11.5x
2029 5,927+4.3%1.3x 1,152+12.7%6.7x 1.20+8.9%10.6x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20275,431−0.5%+0.2%+6.5%0.98−1.8%−1.9%+5.7%
20285,6830.0%+0.8%+7.3%1.10−1.5%−0.6%+15.5%
20295,927−0.1%+2.2%+7.6%1.20−1.7%−3.2%+22.4%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)170,175169,869178,257177,765186,453169,040195,272177,895216,325201,597
Sales mean (mil)158,493160,901169,592166,021184,464168,197175,535172,672202,122203,544
Surprise+7.4%+5.6%+5.1%+7.1%+1.1%+0.5%+11.2%+3.0%+7.0%−1.0%
EPS reported18.9138.6726.1126.4121.90−10.4443.7452.4473.7829.41
EPS mean4.6718.6411.0018.677.37−4.8515.3039.8558.0644.86
Surprise+305.0%+107.4%+137.5%+41.5%+197.3%−115.4%+185.9%+31.6%+27.1%−34.5%

Peer comparison Metals & Mining

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
MMSMY Mitsui Kinzoku Co Ltd7.3B0.45x12.0%2.71x12.9x11.5x8.7x7.6x
DPM DPM Metals Inc.7.9B−1.36x38.8%2.74x10.2x8.7x7.4x6.4x
CMC Commercial Metals Co7.2B1.91x7.0%1.55x9.3x9.3x6.4x6.3x
AG First Majestic Silver Corp.7.1B−0.75x13.1%2.38x15.3x14.9x6.3x6.1x
AIAGY Aurubis AG6.9B1.15x3.0%1.02x7.4x6.9x8.6x8.0x
MP MP Materials Corp.6.8B−6.60x−38.3%2.88x515.0x47.2x49.3x19.7x
Mean−0.87x5.9%2.21x95.0x16.4x14.4x9.0x
Median−0.15x9.5%2.55x11.5x10.4x8.0x7.0x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−23.3%
  • 3M−33.2%
  • 1Y+11.7%
  • 3Y+418.7%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Mitsui Kinzoku Co Ltd, fiscal years, most recent first
202620252024202320222021
Total revenue4,7794,7514,2744,9105,2064,724
Cost of revenue3,5033,7493,6444,3124,1983,765
Gross profit1,2771,0026305971,007959
Selling, general & administrative expenses336381313391406397
Research & development91.995.084.885.580.379.2
Depreciation/amortization24.227.023.126.121.620.9
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)13847.347.235.421.165.7
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income68745116259.0478396
Net interest income (expense)33.368.484.151.556.594.6
Gain (loss) on sale of assets14.813.8−0.5−0.21.69.5
Other non-operating income (expense)5.05.28.94.1−6.0−6.1
Net income before taxes740539255114530494
Provision for taxes14688.477.264.395.777.0
Minority interest−18.7−19.0−5.814.0−6.4−12.8
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items57543117264.1428404
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income57543117264.1428404
EBIT, normalized82549820994.3499461
EBITDA, normalized1,012720437348772768
Basic EPS, normalized1.010.770.290.110.70–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.