QDDresearch

Nippon Gas Co Ltd NPNGY

UtilitiesNatural Gas UtilitiesJapan

Last close 5.90 USD on Nov 2, 2026, −7.1% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 19 of 89 in Utilities
  1. Growth B 16 of 89
  2. Valuation D 63 of 89
  3. Quality A 2 of 89
  4. Revisions C 48 of 89
  5. Momentum C 59 of 89

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.17)Average target 7.13 USD +20.8%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends March 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202620252024202320225Y avg
Revenue (mil)1,3141,3341,2851,5661,336–
Revenue growth−1.5%3.9%−18.0%17.2%3.1%0.3%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.290.240.200.230.22–
EPS growth21.5%18.5%−12.8%3.5%––
Gross margin––––––
Net margin7.1%5.8%5.6%5.1%6.1%5.9%
ROE22.0%16.5%14.7%14.5%14.1%16.4%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)112
Current ratio1.11x
Long-term debt (mil)192
Net debt (mil)215
Total equity (mil)414
Net debt / equity0.52x
Net debt / EBITDA1.08x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2026 actual 1,314−1.5%1.5x 200−1.7%9.7x 0.29+21.5%20.3x
2027 1,478+12.5%1.3x 200+0.3%9.7x 0.29+1.0%20.1x
2028 1,522+3.0%1.3x 214+7.1%9.0x 0.33+13.8%17.6x
2029 1,560+2.5%1.2x 222+3.7%8.7x 0.36+6.7%16.5x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20271,4780.0%+4.4%+11.1%0.29−0.6%+2.2%−5.4%
20281,5220.0%+4.1%+11.4%0.330.0%+1.6%+0.8%
20291,5600.0%+4.0%+10.6%0.360.0%+1.1%+0.7%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 1 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)59,69144,60141,44851,87062,13845,85942,33653,76466,52149,910
Sales mean (mil)64,44250,90040,65049,85071,40041,10033,20045,80061,90053,000
Surprise−7.4%−12.4%+2.0%+4.1%−13.0%+11.6%+27.5%+17.4%+7.5%−5.8%
EPS reported12.254.340.4712.9517.178.042.4712.8722.398.12
EPS mean16.57––––7.10–––7.63
Surprise−26.1%––––+13.2%–––+6.3%

Peer comparison Natural Gas Utilities

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
NPNGY Nippon Gas Co Ltd1.7B1.08x7.1%4.12x20.1x17.6x9.7x9.0x
CPK Chesapeake Utilities Corporation3.4B4.84x15.1%2.01x21.6x19.0x13.1x11.8x
NWN Northwest Natural Holding Company2.1B5.42x8.8%1.37x16.5x15.8x9.7x9.2x
PPAAY Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk PT1.8B–––––––
SPB Superior Plus Corp.1.1B4.23x2.5%1.23x21.5x10.7x6.3x5.9x
SPRPY Superior Plus Corp.1.1B4.08x2.5%1.23x50.0x24.9x6.3x5.9x
Mean3.93x7.2%1.99x25.9x17.6x9.0x8.4x
Median4.23x7.1%1.37x21.5x17.6x9.7x9.0x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−0.4%
  • 3M+2.1%
  • 1Y−7.1%
  • 3Y−2.3%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Nippon Gas Co Ltd, fiscal years, most recent first
202620252024202320222021
Total revenue1,3141,3341,2851,5661,3361,296
Cost of revenue8308377981,041789684
Gross profit484497487525547612
Selling, general & administrative expenses270285285311330373
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization66.075.173.686.196.999.4
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)1.712.318.12.61.18.0
Other operating expenses13.213.213.014.415.416.9
Operating income13211197.2111104115
Net interest income (expense)−1.3−0.7−0.21.012.41.7
Gain (loss) on sale of assets0.90.31.8−0.10.5−1.7
Other non-operating income (expense)0.91.31.31.71.94.6
Net income before taxes133112100114119120
Provision for taxes39.435.228.534.536.935.1
Minority interest−0.2–0000
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items93.377.071.579.682.084.7
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income93.377.071.579.682.084.7
EBIT, normalized134124115114105123
EBITDA, normalized200199189200203223
Basic EPS, normalized0.290.240.200.230.22–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.