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Novartis AG NVS

Health CarePharmaceuticalsSwitzerland

Last close 161.52 USD on Nov 2, 2026, +20.7% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 30 of 211 in Health Care
  1. Growth C 104 of 211
  2. Valuation B 79 of 211
  3. Quality A 16 of 211
  4. Revisions C 103 of 211
  5. Momentum B 37 of 211

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.75)Average target 153.86 USD −4.7%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)56,33051,72246,66043,37543,974–
Revenue growth8.9%10.8%7.6%−1.4%−11.9%2.5%
EPS (basic, normalized)8.987.816.906.126.29–
EPS growth15.0%13.2%12.7%−2.7%––
Gross margin75.8%75.2%74.2%74.2%74.1%74.7%
Net margin24.8%23.1%18.4%13.9%52.1%26.5%
ROE31.0%26.3%16.2%9.5%36.9%24.0%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)8,872
Current ratio0.88x
Long-term debt (mil)38,382
Net debt (mil)39,577
Total equity (mil)37,228
Net debt / equity1.06x
Net debt / EBITDA1.69x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 56,330+8.9%6.5x 23,415+16.6%15.5x 8.98+15.0%18.0x
2026 57,207+1.6%6.4x 23,184−1.0%15.7x 8.87−1.2%18.2x
2027 60,929+6.5%6.0x 25,808+11.3%14.1x 9.86+11.2%16.4x
2028 64,923+6.6%5.6x 27,691+7.3%13.1x 10.86+10.1%14.9x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202657,207+0.3%+0.7%+0.7%8.87+0.8%+0.7%+0.1%
202760,929+0.3%+0.8%+1.4%9.86+0.1%+0.1%+0.3%
202864,9230.0%+0.1%+1.5%10.86+0.4%−0.8%+0.4%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)11,82912,51212,82313,15313,23314,05413,90913,33613,11314,408
Sales mean (mil)11,26512,37512,76412,81113,05814,08113,91313,58013,35714,500
Surprise+5.0%+1.1%+0.5%+2.7%+1.3%−0.2%0.0%−1.8%−1.8%−0.6%
EPS reported1.801.972.061.982.282.422.252.031.992.41
EPS mean1.691.891.961.812.132.362.231.992.082.36
Surprise+6.8%+4.2%+5.1%+9.3%+6.9%+2.7%+0.8%+2.0%−4.2%+2.2%

Peer comparison Pharmaceuticals

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
NVS Novartis AG324.4B1.69x24.8%8.19x18.2x16.4x15.7x14.1x
ABBV AbbVie Inc.510.4B2.63x6.8%−86.00x20.7x17.8x17.6x15.4x
Mean2.16x15.8%−38.90x19.4x17.1x16.7x14.7x
Median2.16x15.8%−38.90x19.4x17.1x16.7x14.7x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+14.6%
  • 3M+3.4%
  • 1Y+34.4%
  • 3Y+90.3%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Novartis AG, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue56,33051,72246,66043,37543,97449,898
Cost of revenue13,62012,81512,02011,21111,39114,400
Gross profit42,71038,90734,64032,16432,58335,498
Selling, general & administrative expenses13,23812,56412,48912,19312,75614,093
Research & development10,2959,3028,6009,3788,1508,484
Depreciation/amortization392209411–10964.0
Interest expense (income), operating48.045.0105260−38.0−336
Unusual expense (income)1,1051,9622,9622,1371,0092,503
Other operating expenses93.0512498387605538
Operating income17,53914,3139,5757,8099,99210,152
Net interest income (expense)−1,011−588−392−51714,646−146
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−176−85.0−60.0−115−108−128
Net income before taxes16,35213,6409,1237,17724,5309,878
Provision for taxes2,3851,7015511,1281,6251,807
Minority interest17.02.0−4.003.01.0
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items13,98411,9418,5686,04922,9088,072
Extraordinary items––6,2829061,113–
Net income13,98411,94114,8506,95524,0218,072
EBIT, normalized18,72116,44412,69610,25310,99212,319
EBITDA, normalized23,46521,04317,83115,24715,94117,429
Basic EPS, normalized8.987.816.906.126.29–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

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Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.