QDDresearch

Saab AB SAABY

IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSweden

Last close 33.60 USD on Nov 2, 2026, +16.4% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A+ Rank 2 of 418 in Industrials
  1. Growth A 13 of 418
  2. Valuation B 157 of 418
  3. Quality A 48 of 418
  4. Revisions B 87 of 418
  5. Momentum A 11 of 418

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.88)Average target 66.86 USD +99.0%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)8,6045,7675,1274,0364,332–
Revenue growth49.2%12.5%27.0%−6.8%−3.2%14.0%
EPS (basic, normalized)1.290.710.600.390.39–
EPS growth82.7%17.5%53.5%1.3%––
Gross margin21.7%21.4%21.8%21.2%21.0%21.4%
Net margin8.0%6.5%6.6%5.2%4.9%6.2%
ROE16.0%12.4%11.0%8.4%8.7%11.3%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)2,165
Current ratio1.22x
Long-term debt (mil)1,667
Net debt (mil)−315
Total equity (mil)5,198
Net debt / equity−0.06x
Net debt / EBITDA−0.25x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 8,604+49.2%4.1x 1,253+67.9%28.2x 1.29+82.7%26.0x
2026 10,113+17.5%3.5x 1,472+17.5%24.0x 1.55+19.8%21.7x
2027 12,376+22.4%2.9x 1,840+25.0%19.2x 2.00+29.2%16.8x
2028 14,495+17.1%2.4x 2,208+20.0%16.0x 2.45+22.7%13.7x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202610,113+0.7%+1.0%+2.9%1.55−0.4%−0.3%+4.8%
202712,376+1.2%+1.7%+5.7%2.00+1.1%+1.5%+7.8%
202814,495+1.6%+2.1%+6.2%2.45+1.7%+1.9%+8.9%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)14,18515,17013,54620,85015,79219,78615,87127,69719,16425,453
Sales mean (mil)13,07314,98313,53119,79416,15318,17915,76926,33319,81923,929
Surprise+8.5%+1.2%+0.1%+5.3%−2.2%+8.8%+0.6%+5.2%−3.3%+6.4%
EPS reported1.431.851.802.662.352.831.774.732.653.96
EPS mean1.411.811.752.781.972.401.903.932.363.45
Surprise+1.6%+2.5%+2.9%−4.4%+19.6%+17.9%−6.7%+20.4%+12.2%+14.7%

Peer comparison Aerospace & Defense

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
SAABY Saab AB35.6B−0.25x8.0%6.78x21.7x16.8x24.0x19.2x
HEI HEICO Corporation39.9B2.46x15.4%9.54x53.2x46.8x28.0x25.1x
HEIa HEICO Corporation39.9B2.46x15.4%9.54x39.8x35.5x28.3x25.6x
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc.34.6B1.46x4.5%9.41x55.7x40.3x37.5x27.8x
KBGGY Kongsberg Gruppen ASA34.2B−0.15x13.2%23.70x24.5x16.2x36.2x23.7x
FINMY Leonardo S.p.A.33.6B–6.3%3.11x––––
Mean1.19x10.5%10.35x39.0x31.1x30.8x24.3x
Median1.46x10.6%9.47x39.8x35.5x28.3x25.1x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+9.7%
  • 3M+7.3%
  • 1Y+22.5%
  • 3Y+399.1%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Saab AB, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue8,6045,7675,1274,0364,3324,475
Cost of revenue6,7374,5314,0083,1823,4243,551
Gross profit1,8661,2361,119854908924
Selling, general & administrative expenses653484469372409456
Research & development315197149121123134
Depreciation/amortization80.165.961.153.260.828.4
Interest expense (income), operating−16.8−4.972.810.27.01.9
Unusual expense (income)−35.0−7.4−47.9−3.41.2190
Other operating expenses−6.7−10.4−9.7−14.6−12.8−45.9
Operating income877512424315319160
Net interest income (expense)14.2−27.519.5−34.1−26.7−12.2
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−19.3−6.2−5.0−9.6−7.7−12.5
Net income before taxes872478439271285135
Provision for taxes18197.696.951.561.12.4
Minority interest−4.6−3.5−6.2−8.5−11.0−2.3
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items686377336211213131
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income686377336211213131
EBIT, normalized848508451321328352
EBITDA, normalized1,182748676526542537
Basic EPS, normalized1.290.710.600.390.39–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.