QDDresearch

Securitas AB SCTBY

IndustrialsProfessional & Commercial ServicesSweden

Last close 15.95 USD on Nov 2, 2026, +1.8% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 124 of 418 in Industrials
  1. Growth B 120 of 418
  2. Valuation B 163 of 418
  3. Quality B 144 of 418
  4. Revisions C 187 of 418
  5. Momentum C 176 of 418

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.75)Average target 17.03 USD +6.8%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)16,86214,64715,62012,80211,915–
Revenue growth15.1%−6.2%22.0%7.4%−9.3%5.1%
EPS (basic, normalized)1.290.990.920.990.95–
EPS growth29.7%8.3%−7.3%4.3%––
Gross margin21.4%21.0%20.4%19.6%18.4%20.2%
Net margin3.3%3.2%0.8%3.2%2.9%2.7%
ROE12.5%13.0%3.5%15.1%16.3%12.1%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)832
Current ratio1.15x
Long-term debt (mil)3,073
Net debt (mil)3,214
Total equity (mil)4,427
Net debt / equity0.73x
Net debt / EBITDA1.92x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 16,862+15.1%0.7x 1,676+29.1%7.1x 1.29+29.7%12.4x
2026 15,408−8.6%0.8x 1,523−9.1%7.8x 1.31+1.5%12.2x
2027 16,080+4.4%0.7x 1,625+6.7%7.3x 1.42+8.9%11.2x
2028 16,713+3.9%0.7x 1,703+4.8%7.0x 1.53+7.3%10.5x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202615,4080.0%−0.1%+0.5%1.31−0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
202716,080+0.1%+0.3%+2.0%1.42−0.5%−0.1%+0.6%
202816,713+0.5%+0.7%+2.3%1.53+0.2%+0.6%+0.8%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 1 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)39,26040,63840,22941,79439,60638,56438,52138,42236,21137,843
Sales mean (mil)38,78941,47240,89441,12240,88239,23939,12738,99836,43537,685
Surprise+1.2%−2.0%−1.6%+1.6%−3.1%−1.7%−1.5%−1.5%−0.6%+0.4%
EPS reported2.122.603.053.052.362.793.343.062.752.94
EPS mean2.272.673.052.972.672.783.183.162.813.12
Surprise−6.7%−2.5%0.0%+2.8%−11.7%+0.3%+5.1%−3.1%−2.0%−5.8%

Peer comparison Professional & Commercial Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
SCTBY Securitas AB8.6B1.92x3.3%2.00x12.2x11.2x7.8x7.3x
MORN Morningstar, Inc.8.9B1.62x15.3%8.64x19.1x16.8x11.8x10.7x
RANJY Randstad N.V.8.3B1.45x1.3%1.83x7.7x7.2x9.3x8.9x
BZ KANZHUN LIMITED8.0B−5.24x33.1%2.49x12.6x11.5x7.8x6.5x
TOPPY TOPPAN Holdings Inc.7.9B–3.6%0.87x––––
DNPLY Dai Nippon Printing Co., Ltd.7.9B–6.9%0.99x––––
Mean−0.06x10.6%2.80x12.9x11.7x9.2x8.4x
Median1.54x5.2%1.92x12.4x11.4x8.6x8.1x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−2.8%
  • 3M+0.1%
  • 1Y+9.6%
  • 3Y+104.7%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Securitas AB, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue16,86214,64715,62012,80211,91513,141
Cost of revenue13,25911,57212,42910,2939,71910,840
Gross profit3,6033,0743,1912,5092,1952,302
Selling, general & administrative expenses2,1511,8801,9901,5871,3851,585
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization278252257200191166
Interest expense (income), operating−7.4−6.0−6.1−4.8−4.8−5.5
Unusual expense (income)19410346510911094.6
Other operating expenses−7.7−6.4−6.4−5.0−4.8−4.7
Operating income995853492623519466
Net interest income (expense)07.1−117−36.6−40.2−59.4
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−202−225−93.0−36.2−0.1−1.5
Net income before taxes793635281550479405
Provision for taxes234167153135132111
Minority interest−3.2−1.1−1.2−0.6−0.10.4
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items556467128414347294
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income556467128414347294
EBIT, normalized1,237949949721564555
EBITDA, normalized1,6851,3441,3641,061895883
Basic EPS, normalized1.290.990.920.990.95–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.