QDDresearch

Swedbank AB SWDBY

FinancialsBanking ServicesSweden

Last close 39.89 USD on Nov 3, 2026, +30.0% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 87 of 304 in Financials
  1. Growth D 230 of 304
  2. Valuation C 194 of 304
  3. Quality B 99 of 304
  4. Revisions A 38 of 304
  5. Momentum B 48 of 304

Wall Street consensus Hold (3.00)Average target 45.65 USD +14.4%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)9,09410,00610,1694,3513,359–
Revenue growth−9.1%−1.6%133.7%29.5%−18.3%17.2%
EPS (basic, normalized)3.232.863.091.912.07–
EPS growth12.9%−7.6%62.3%−8.0%18.7%13.1%
Gross margin––––––
Net margin39.2%31.5%33.3%47.2%68.7%44.0%
ROE15.2%17.1%18.2%13.3%–16.0%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Tier 1 risk-adjusted capital ratio–
Long-term debt (mil)68,825
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)21,589
Net debt / equity–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)Book value per shareEPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthP/BMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 9,094−9.1%13.4x ––– 2.96+1.2%13.5x
2026 7,180−21.0%17.0x 20.04–2.0x 2.82−4.7%14.2x
2027 7,893+9.9%15.5x 21.22+5.9%1.9x 3.18+13.0%12.5x
2028 8,479+7.4%14.4x 22.29+5.1%1.8x 3.77+18.5%10.6x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20267,180−1.2%−2.6%−2.6%2.82−0.5%−1.9%−1.8%
20277,893−0.2%+2.4%+2.4%3.18+0.1%+3.9%+4.3%
20288,479−0.2%+6.1%+6.1%3.77+0.4%+22.2%+22.2%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024FQ-5FQ-4FQ-3FQ-2FQ-1FQ0
Sales reported (mil)––––––––––
Sales mean (mil)––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––
EPS reported0.720.710.800.70––––––
EPS mean––0.680.61––––––
Surprise––+17.2%+14.1%––––––

Peer comparison Banking Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capTier 1 ratioNet marginDeposits/loansFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 P/BFY2 P/B
SWDBY Swedbank AB45.4B–39.2%0.72x14.2x12.5x2.0x1.9x
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co.898.4B15.2%28.8%1.74x13.6x13.3x2.5x2.3x
HSBA HSBC Holdings PLC288.9B16.3%21.6%1.95x10.0x9.1x1.6x1.5x
BNPP BNP Paribas SA107.9B15.6%16.1%1.23x7.5x6.7x0.8x0.7x
NABZY National Australia Bank Limited89.4B–12.0%0.94x19.7x16.5x––
ANZGY ANZ Group Holdings Ltd85.1B–9.2%1.14x––––
Mean15.7%21.1%1.29x13.0x11.6x1.7x1.6x
Median15.6%18.8%1.18x13.6x12.5x1.8x1.7x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−1.5%
  • 3M−1.0%
  • 1Y+46.8%
  • 3Y+211.6%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Swedbank AB, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Interest income9,09410,00610,1694,3513,3594,113
Total interest expense4,3115,5505,1101,167367845
Net interest income4,7834,4565,0593,1852,9923,269
Loan loss provision−3.7−24.216614218.8528
Net interest income after loan loss provision4,7874,4814,8933,0432,9732,741
Non-interest income4,1393,7963,1732,7703,3033,292
Non-interest expense−4,441−4,279−3,732−3,241−3,420−3,991
Net income before taxes4,4853,9974,3332,5712,8562,043
Provision for taxes924843943518547469
Minority interest & equity in affiliates0.30.3−0.2−0.3−0.10
Other000000
Net income before extraordinary items3,5613,1543,3902,0532,3091,574
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income3,5613,1543,3902,0532,3091,574
Basic weighted average shares (mil)1,1241,1251,1251,1231,1211,120
Diluted weighted average shares (mil)1,1311,1301,1271,1261,1251,123
Basic EPS excluding extraordinary items3.172.803.011.832.061.41
Basic EPS, normalized3.232.863.091.912.071.75

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 3, 2026 after market close.