QDDresearch

Turk Hava Yollari A.O. TKHVY

IndustrialsPassenger Transportation ServicesTurkey

Last close 50.03 USD on Nov 2, 2026, −21.0% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 282 of 418 in Industrials
  1. Growth C 252 of 418
  2. Valuation B 81 of 418
  3. Quality B 160 of 418
  4. Revisions D 300 of 418
  5. Momentum D 374 of 418

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.00)Average target 9.51 USD −81.0%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)24,09622,66920,94218,42610,686–
Revenue growth6.3%8.2%13.7%72.4%58.7%29.0%
EPS (basic, normalized)2.112.504.362.070.67–
EPS growth−15.7%−42.6%110.4%209.5%––
Gross margin16.1%19.1%23.3%23.8%22.1%20.9%
Net margin12.1%15.1%28.8%14.8%9.0%15.9%
ROE14.3%19.6%47.6%32.9%15.7%26.0%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)6,309
Current ratio0.91x
Long-term debt (mil)15,581
Net debt (mil)13,285
Total equity (mil)21,919
Net debt / equity0.61x
Net debt / EBITDA2.20x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 24,096+6.3%0.9x 6,047+27.6%3.4x 2.11−15.7%23.7x
2026 27,418+13.8%0.7x 3,517−41.8%5.8x 0.99−53.0%50.5x
2027 28,898+5.4%0.7x 4,842+37.7%4.2x 1.48+49.3%33.8x
2028 30,782+6.5%0.7x 5,540+14.4%3.7x 1.83+23.6%27.4x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202627,418+0.3%+2.8%+6.3%0.99−5.7%−2.2%−23.7%
202728,898+0.2%+1.4%+2.4%1.48−7.7%−6.0%−10.2%
202830,782−1.0%+0.5%−0.4%1.83−2.3%−2.3%+12.4%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
FQ-9FQ-8FQ-7FQ-6FQ-5FQ-4FQ-3FQ-2FQ-1FQ0
Sales reported (mil)4,7655,6536,6235,6074,8785,9736,9386,263––
Sales mean (mil)4,688–6,4855,3684,5765,7936,836–––
Surprise+1.6%–+2.1%+4.5%+6.6%+3.1%+1.5%–––
EPS reported––––––––––
EPS mean––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––

FQ0 is the most recent reported quarter, FQ-1 the one before, and so on.

Peer comparison Passenger Transportation Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
TKHVY Turk Hava Yollari A.O.7.2B2.20x12.1%0.33x50.5x33.8x5.8x4.2x
WJRYY West Japan Railway Co9.0B4.05x6.9%1.16x13.4x13.6x8.3x8.0x
AAL American Airlines Group Inc.8.7B5.94x0.2%−2.05x−10.4x16.6x12.6x7.6x
ESYJY easyJet plc6.9B–––120.7x17.8x––
TOKUY TOKYU CORPORATION6.4B7.24x8.0%0.97x11.0x10.7x12.1x11.6x
LZRFY Localiza Rent a Car S.A.5.8B–––6.7x6.3x––
Mean4.86x6.8%0.10x32.0x16.5x9.7x7.9x
Median4.99x7.5%0.65x12.2x15.1x10.2x7.8x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−15.2%
  • 3M−28.8%
  • 1Y−27.5%
  • 3Y−31.2%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Turk Hava Yollari A.O., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue24,09622,66920,94218,42610,6866,734
Cost of revenue20,20818,34716,06014,0368,3226,378
Gross profit3,8884,3224,8824,3902,364356
Selling, general & administrative expenses2,2432,3252,1341,6051,013818
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization93.077.075.069.076.068.0
Interest expense (income), operating−67.0−65.0−100−4.0−21.0−56.0
Unusual expense (income)−77.0−60.0−173−19.0−37.0−58.0
Other operating expenses−527−36887.0−40.0−81.0−161
Operating income2,2232,4132,8592,7791,414−255
Net interest income (expense)1,212934681257−335−635
Gain (loss) on sale of assets47.0−24.0−27.0−6.01.04.0
Other non-operating income (expense)−80.0324128−91.0−57.0−40.0
Net income before taxes3,4023,6473,6412,9391,023−926
Provision for taxes494222−2,38021464.0−90.0
Minority interest2.0–––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items2,9103,4256,0212,725959−836
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income2,9103,4256,0212,725959−836
EBIT, normalized2,0792,2882,5862,7561,356−369
EBITDA, normalized4,4744,4914,6214,6203,0961,290
Basic EPS, normalized2.112.504.362.070.67–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.