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Atmos Energy Corporation ATO

UtilitiesNatural Gas UtilitiesUnited States of America

Last close 172.41 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +4.6% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 40 of 90 in Utilities
  1. Growth B 30 of 90
  2. Valuation D 66 of 90
  3. Quality A 12 of 90
  4. Revisions C 53 of 90
  5. Momentum C 39 of 90

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.71)Average target 182.63 USD +5.9%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends September 30

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)4,7034,1654,2754,2023,407–
Revenue growth12.9%−2.6%1.8%23.3%20.8%10.8%
EPS (basic, normalized)7.466.836.105.605.12–
EPS growth9.2%12.0%8.9%9.4%––
Gross margin––––––
Net margin25.5%25.0%20.7%18.4%19.5%21.8%
ROE9.3%9.1%8.7%8.9%9.1%9.0%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)521
Current ratio0.81x
Long-term debt (mil)9,812
Net debt (mil)9,803
Total equity (mil)15,258
Net debt / equity0.64x
Net debt / EBITDA4.27x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 4,703+12.9%8.3x 2,295+11.3%17.0x 7.46+9.2%23.1x
2026 5,129+9.1%7.6x 2,686+17.0%14.5x 8.46+13.5%20.4x
2027 5,708+11.3%6.8x 3,021+12.5%12.9x 9.04+6.8%19.1x
2028 6,249+9.5%6.2x 3,455+14.4%11.3x 9.78+8.2%17.6x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20265,129+0.3%−1.0%−3.7%8.460.0%+0.1%+2.6%
20275,708−0.5%−0.1%−2.8%9.04−0.1%+0.1%+2.2%
20286,249−0.5%+0.2%−2.1%9.78−0.1%−0.2%+2.1%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)1,6477026581,1761,9518397371,3431,962879
Sales mean (mil)1,7738749191,3501,8208237211,3832,101929
Surprise−7.1%−19.7%−28.4%−12.9%+7.2%+1.9%+2.2%−2.9%−6.6%−5.4%
EPS reported2.851.080.832.233.031.161.072.443.471.43
EPS mean2.611.050.802.192.871.151.002.423.401.35
Surprise+9.3%+2.8%+3.2%+1.6%+5.4%+1.3%+6.8%+0.6%+2.1%+5.8%

Peer comparison Natural Gas Utilities

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
ATO Atmos Energy Corporation29.1B4.27x25.5%1.91x20.4x19.1x14.5x12.9x
UGI UGI Corporation8.3B3.80x9.3%1.60x13.8x12.0x8.5x7.8x
NFG National Fuel Gas Company7.6B1.65x22.8%1.93x10.8x10.7x6.6x5.8x
SWX Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.6.7B5.02x12.1%1.63x21.6x18.5x11.0x10.0x
NJR New Jersey Resources Corp5.4B6.55x16.5%2.04x15.0x15.4x12.0x11.7x
SR Spire Inc5.2B–10.4%1.45x21.9x16.1x14.3x11.5x
Mean4.26x16.1%1.76x17.2x15.3x11.1x10.0x
Median4.27x14.3%1.77x17.7x15.8x11.5x10.7x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+9.8%
  • 3M−3.3%
  • 1Y+1.1%
  • 3Y+74.7%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Atmos Energy Corporation, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue4,7034,1654,2754,2023,4072,821
Cost of revenue1,0669341,4521,6831,033659
Gross profit3,6373,2312,8232,5192,3752,162
Selling, general & administrative expenses––––––
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization735670604536478430
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)––––––
Other operating expenses1,3421,2061,1521,062992908
Operating income1,5601,3551,067921905824
Net interest income (expense)−142−164−137−103−83.6−84.5
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)59.644.669.833.7−2.17.2
Net income before taxes1,4781,2361,000852819747
Provision for taxes27919311477.5154145
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items1,1991,043886774666601
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income1,1991,043886774666601
EBIT, normalized1,5601,3551,067921905812
EBITDA, normalized2,2952,0251,6711,4571,3831,242
Basic EPS, normalized7.466.836.105.605.12–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.