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Dutch Bros Inc. BROS

Consumer DiscretionaryHotels & Entertainment ServicesUnited States of America

Last close 42.87 USD on Nov 1, 2026, −30.0% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 168 of 344 in Consumer Discretionary
  1. Growth A 8 of 344
  2. Valuation C 221 of 344
  3. Quality B 127 of 344
  4. Revisions C 160 of 344
  5. Momentum D 246 of 344

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.65)Average target 69.42 USD +61.9%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)1,6381,281966739498–
Revenue growth27.9%32.6%30.7%48.4%52.1%38.0%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.760.490.300.160.30–
EPS growth55.1%63.3%87.5%−46.7%––
Gross margin30.7%31.2%28.9%27.3%31.5%29.9%
Net margin4.9%2.8%0.2%−0.6%−2.5%0.9%
ROE13.1%7.8%0.7%−4.3%−93.9%−15.3%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)269
Current ratio1.35x
Long-term debt (mil)589
Net debt (mil)518
Total equity (mil)798
Net debt / equity0.65x
Net debt / EBITDA1.71x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 1,638+27.9%4.9x 303+38.1%26.5x 0.76+55.1%56.4x
2026 2,131+30.1%3.8x 384+27.1%20.8x 0.97+27.5%44.2x
2027 2,651+24.4%3.0x 485+26.1%16.5x 1.28+31.9%33.5x
2028 3,206+20.9%2.5x 592+22.1%13.5x 1.62+26.8%26.4x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20262,131−0.1%+2.3%+4.1%0.97−0.2%+3.5%+6.9%
20272,651+0.1%+3.1%+5.3%1.28−1.1%+2.6%+6.4%
20283,206−0.3%+2.7%+5.2%1.62−1.6%+2.9%+6.4%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)275325338343355416424444464551
Sales mean (mil)256317325318345404414425450525
Surprise+7.5%+2.5%+4.0%+7.9%+3.0%+3.0%+2.3%+4.4%+3.2%+4.8%
EPS reported0.090.190.160.070.140.260.190.170.160.33
EPS mean0.020.130.120.020.110.180.170.100.160.29
Surprise+438.0%+48.4%+34.1%+230.7%+30.1%+44.2%+10.0%+73.2%+1.8%+12.0%

Peer comparison Hotels & Entertainment Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
BROS Dutch Bros Inc.7.5B1.71x4.9%9.39x44.2x33.5x20.8x16.5x
MCD McDonald's Corp182.7B2.63x31.9%−178.54x20.1x18.8x14.2x13.6x
SBUX Starbucks Corp118.2B1.58x5.0%−15.40x32.6x27.8x19.2x17.2x
YUM Yum! Brands, Inc.42.4B4.01x19.0%−5.97x24.2x22.2x18.2x17.3x
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.40.3B−0.39x12.9%16.43x29.0x24.0x17.6x15.2x
QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc.25.2B4.76x9.6%8.29x17.8x16.4x12.6x11.8x
Mean2.39x13.9%−27.63x28.0x23.8x17.1x15.3x
Median2.17x11.2%1.16x26.6x23.1x17.9x15.9x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+13.6%
  • 3M−33.7%
  • 1Y−27.7%
  • 3Y+73.2%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Dutch Bros Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue1,6381,281966739498327
Cost of revenue1,136881686538341209
Gross profit502400279201157119
Selling, general & administrative expenses328272223197262103
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization4.83.75.06.76.24.1
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)8.218.05.1–––
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income16110646.2−2.6−11111.0
Net interest income (expense)−28.3−27.0−32.3−18.0−7.1−3.7
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)2.75.83.04.0−1.2−0.4
Net income before taxes13684.916.9−16.7−1206.9
Provision for taxes18.318.47.02.6−1.60.8
Minority interest−37.4−31.2−8.214.537.90
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items79.835.31.7−4.8−80.16.1
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income79.835.31.7−4.8−80.16.1
EBIT, normalized16912351.31.2−10819.8
EBITDA, normalized28521612045.9−82.735.4
Basic EPS, normalized0.760.490.300.160.30–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.