QDDresearch

Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX

MaterialsMetals & MiningUnited States of America

Last close 62.47 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +24.1% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 15 of 151 in Materials
  1. Growth A 5 of 151
  2. Valuation C 69 of 151
  3. Quality B 60 of 151
  4. Revisions A 12 of 151
  5. Momentum B 44 of 151

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.15)Average target 78.41 USD +25.5%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)25,91525,45522,85522,78022,845–
Revenue growth1.8%11.4%0.3%−0.3%60.9%12.8%
EPS (basic, normalized)1.771.481.542.443.13–
EPS growth19.6%−3.9%−36.9%−22.0%––
Gross margin29.0%30.8%32.1%34.3%39.0%33.1%
Net margin8.5%7.4%8.1%15.2%18.8%11.6%
ROE12.1%11.0%11.5%23.5%35.7%18.7%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)4,335
Current ratio2.02x
Long-term debt (mil)8,676
Net debt (mil)18,653
Total equity (mil)20,981
Net debt / equity0.89x
Net debt / EBITDA1.93x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 25,915+1.8%4.1x 9,658−2.5%11.0x 1.77+19.6%35.3x
2026 30,012+15.8%3.5x 12,703+31.5%8.4x 3.23+82.3%19.4x
2027 36,670+22.2%2.9x 17,706+39.4%6.0x 4.36+35.1%14.3x
2028 38,686+5.5%2.7x 19,800+11.8%5.4x 4.84+11.1%12.9x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202630,012+1.6%+1.3%+6.2%3.23+7.0%+7.2%+28.3%
202736,670+3.0%+2.0%+7.6%4.36+3.5%+3.8%+18.6%
202838,686+5.4%+4.0%+9.2%4.84+6.1%+6.2%+20.5%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)6,3216,6246,7905,7205,7287,5826,9725,6336,2347,029
Sales mean (mil)5,6605,9936,4705,8755,4387,2196,7055,3555,8116,760
Surprise+11.7%+10.5%+5.0%−2.6%+5.3%+5.0%+4.0%+5.2%+7.3%+4.0%
EPS reported0.320.460.380.310.240.540.500.470.570.74
EPS mean0.260.380.350.200.240.450.410.290.460.59
Surprise+24.2%+19.5%+7.8%+52.5%+0.8%+19.0%+22.6%+63.6%+24.3%+25.4%

Peer comparison Metals & Mining

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc87.5B1.93x8.5%4.28x19.4x14.3x8.4x6.0x
BHP BHP Group Ltd205.7B–16.7%4.04x16.2x16.1x6.9x6.9x
RIO Rio Tinto Limited140.8B–17.3%2.57x12.9x12.6x5.7x5.4x
SCCO Southern Copper Corp149.9B0.09x32.3%12.58x22.2x23.6x13.3x13.8x
NEM Newmont Corporation110.8B−0.23x31.3%3.12x11.6x10.7x6.4x6.1x
RIO Rio Tinto plc140.8B–17.3%2.03x10.0x10.0x5.7x5.4x
Mean0.60x20.6%4.77x15.4x14.5x7.7x7.3x
Median0.09x17.3%3.58x14.5x13.4x6.6x6.1x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−13.0%
  • 3M+1.6%
  • 1Y+53.2%
  • 3Y+92.6%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Freeport-McMoRan Inc, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue25,91525,45522,85522,78022,84514,198
Cost of revenue18,39517,60515,52114,95913,92611,421
Gross profit7,5207,8507,3347,8218,9192,777
Selling, general & administrative expenses768703653550487354
Research & development19215613711555.042.0
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)61.045.0183−33.0−80.0−114
Other operating expenses−19.082.019512191.0159
Operating income6,5186,8646,1667,0688,3662,336
Net interest income (expense)−335−302−495−415−536−598
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)18934533562.0−17159.0
Net income before taxes6,3726,9076,0066,7157,6591,797
Provision for taxes2,2212,5232,2702,2672,299944
Minority interest−1,948−2,510−1,903−1,011−1,059−266
Equity in affiliates1.015.015.031.05.012.0
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items2,2041,8891,8483,4684,306599
Extraordinary items––––00
Net income2,2041,8891,8483,4684,306599
EBIT, normalized6,5796,9096,3497,0358,2862,222
EBITDA, normalized8,8239,1508,4179,05410,2843,718
Basic EPS, normalized1.771.481.542.443.13–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.