QDDresearch

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. FIP

IndustrialsFreight & Logistics ServicesUnited States of America

Last close 2.86 USD on Nov 1, 2026, −36.7% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating D Rank 404 of 486 in Industrials
  1. Growth A 13 of 486
  2. Valuation D 396 of 486
  3. Quality D 441 of 486
  4. Revisions C 309 of 486
  5. Momentum D 415 of 486

Wall Street consensus Strong Buy (1.50)Average target 9.44 USD +230.0%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)503331320262120–
Revenue growth51.6%3.4%22.3%117.9%75.3%48.9%
EPS (basic, normalized)−2.20−2.05−1.79−1.73––
EPS growth––––––
Gross margin––––––
Net margin−51.8%−88.8%−57.3%−67.7%−66.4%−66.4%
ROE−12.6%−32.1%−14.9%−13.5%−6.6%−15.9%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)32.6
Current ratio0.28x
Long-term debt (mil)2,287
Net debt (mil)3,699
Total equity (mil)827
Net debt / equity4.47x
Net debt / EBITDA10.24x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 503+51.6%8.0x 361+163.3%11.2x −2.20−7.3%−1.3x
2026 730+45.3%5.5x 239−33.8%16.9x −3.83−74.2%−0.7x
2027 868+18.9%4.7x 387+61.9%10.4x −0.92+75.9%−3.1x
2028 1,175+35.4%3.4x 449+16.0%9.0x 0.12+113.0%23.8x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20267300.0%+2.9%−7.2%−3.83+2.2%−38.6%−176.9%
2027868+12.5%+4.2%−15.5%−0.92+35.4%+2.3%−88.2%
20281,175–––0.12–––

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)82.584.983.380.896.2122141144188187
Sales mean (mil)93.793.894.394.8108136146169182187
Surprise−11.9%−9.5%−11.7%−14.8%−10.8%−9.8%−4.0%−15.1%+3.3%−0.2%
EPS reported−0.54−0.52−0.45−0.570.89−0.65−1.37−1.08−1.00−1.41
EPS mean−0.34−0.36−0.40−0.37−0.29−0.37−0.59−0.43−0.42−0.57
Surprise−58.8%−46.3%−13.4%−55.3%−403.8%−77.4%−132.2%−153.7%−138.7%−148.5%

Peer comparison Freight & Logistics Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc.338M10.24x−51.8%0.41x−0.7x−3.1x16.9x10.4x
UNP Union Pacific Corporation180.7B2.19x29.1%8.20x23.1x21.1x15.2x14.1x
CNR Canadian National Railway Co74.8B2.56x27.3%4.77x21.2x19.3x13.9x13.1x
CSX CSX Corporation95.8B2.70x20.5%6.67x25.3x22.2x15.3x14.0x
NSC Norfolk Southern Corp77.0B2.68x23.6%4.60x26.2x23.5x15.5x14.4x
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.35.8B−0.26x18.6%7.66x29.1x25.6x17.7x16.0x
Mean3.35x11.2%5.39x20.7x18.1x15.8x13.7x
Median2.62x22.0%5.72x24.2x21.7x15.4x14.1x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−1.0%
  • 3M−29.3%
  • 1Y−45.6%
  • 3Y−0.2%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, FTAI Infrastructure Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue50333132026212068.6
Cost of revenue––––––
Gross profit50333132026212068.6
Selling, general & administrative expenses30.926.125.323.924.421.6
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization13279.481.070.754.031.1
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)90.986.76.916.814.86.4
Other operating expenses30024825420898.569.4
Operating income−51.4−108−46.4−57.6−71.5−59.9
Net interest income (expense)−254−178−124−121−29.5−13.9
Gain (loss) on sale of assets1292.46.9−1.600
Other non-operating income (expense)20.820.96.6−3.2−8.90.1
Net income before taxes−155−263−157−183−110−73.7
Provision for taxes−3.33.32.54.5−3.6−2.0
Minority interest44.942.438.433.926.516.5
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items−107−224−121−154−79.9−55.2
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income−107−224−121−154−79.9−55.2
EBIT, normalized41.8−21.7−37.0−40.8−56.7−53.5
EBITDA, normalized17458.945.130.9−2.3−22.4
Basic EPS, normalized−2.20−2.05−1.79−1.73––

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.