QDDresearch

Shift4 Payments, Inc. FOUR

FinancialsProfessional & Commercial ServicesUnited States of America

Last close 40.03 USD on Nov 1, 2026, −36.4% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 202 of 799 in Financials
  1. Growth A 64 of 799
  2. Valuation A 87 of 799
  3. Quality A 46 of 799
  4. Revisions C 400 of 799
  5. Momentum D 688 of 799

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.40)Average target 52.36 USD +30.8%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)4,1803,3312,5651,9941,368–
Revenue growth25.5%29.9%28.7%45.8%78.3%40.4%
EPS (basic, normalized)5.173.922.831.390.43–
EPS growth31.9%38.5%103.6%223.3%––
Gross margin34.2%29.2%26.8%23.6%20.4%26.8%
Net margin1.9%6.8%3.4%3.8%−3.6%2.5%
ROE10.6%31.5%17.2%24.2%−13.2%14.1%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)356
Current ratio1.21x
Long-term debt (mil)4,501
Net debt (mil)5,283
Total equity (mil)1,618
Net debt / equity3.27x
Net debt / EBITDA5.45x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 4,180+25.5%2.0x 970+42.6%8.7x 5.17+31.9%7.7x
2026 5,106+22.2%1.7x 1,135+17.0%7.4x 5.16−0.1%7.8x
2027 5,801+13.6%1.5x 1,292+13.9%6.5x 6.18+19.7%6.5x
2028 6,504+12.1%1.3x 1,437+11.3%5.9x 7.41+19.8%5.4x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20265,106−0.2%0.0%+0.3%5.16−0.4%−6.9%−7.4%
20275,801−0.4%0.0%−0.4%6.18−0.9%−8.0%−7.4%
20286,504−0.9%−0.6%−3.3%7.41−1.9%−5.0%−7.2%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)7078279098878489661,1771,1891,1211,295
Sales mean (mil)7528599691,0068689771,1691,1991,0891,239
Surprise−5.9%−3.7%−6.2%−11.8%−2.3%−1.1%+0.7%−0.8%+2.9%+4.5%
EPS reported0.540.961.041.351.071.101.471.600.971.32
EPS mean0.620.871.071.140.711.201.431.590.971.25
Surprise−13.2%+11.0%−2.6%+18.2%+49.9%−8.2%+2.9%+0.3%+0.3%+5.4%

Peer comparison Professional & Commercial Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc.3.2B5.45x1.9%1.95x7.8x6.5x7.4x6.5x
V Visa Inc.768.7B0.26x49.6%20.24x27.5x24.1x21.6x19.4x
PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc.47.4B0.44x15.8%2.45x10.2x9.7x6.9x7.4x
XYZ Block, Inc.45.8B−0.17x5.4%2.08x18.9x14.6x9.7x7.9x
CPAY Corpay, Inc.26.3B3.05x23.6%7.43x14.6x12.9x11.8x10.8x
FISV Fiserv Inc26.6B2.80x16.4%0.99x6.9x6.3x6.4x6.3x
Mean1.97x18.8%5.86x14.3x12.4x10.6x9.7x
Median1.62x16.1%2.26x12.4x11.3x8.5x7.7x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+8.1%
  • 3M−27.0%
  • 1Y−46.7%
  • 3Y−8.2%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Shift4 Payments, Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue4,1803,3312,5651,9941,368767
Cost of revenue2,7522,3581,8771,5231,089589
Gross profit1,428973688470278178
Selling, general & administrative expenses670458330284203192
Research & development6.04.31.20.51.81.2
Depreciation/amortization29020015496.562.251.9
Interest expense (income), operating10.0−1.44.0–––
Unusual expense (income)11761.561.131.360.418.8
Other operating expenses−4.04.023.1−36.60−12.4
Operating income33924711594.7−49.4−74.2
Net interest income (expense)−13138.612.0−6.6−28.0−40.2
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−13.0−287−7.3−1.20.30.6
Net income before taxes195−1.612086.9−77.1−114
Provision for taxes48.0−296−3.40.2−3.1−2.4
Minority interest−28.0−64.9−36.7−11.625.893.0
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items11923086.275.1−48.2−18.4
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income11923086.275.1−48.2−18.4
EBIT, normalized46630718012611.0−64.0
EBITDA, normalized89860439427511520.2
Basic EPS, normalized5.173.922.831.390.43–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.