QDDresearch

First National Corp FXNC

FinancialsBanking ServicesUnited States of America

Last close 30.85 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +22.9% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 453 of 799 in Financials
  1. Growth D 578 of 799
  2. Valuation C 462 of 799
  3. Quality C 488 of 799
  4. Revisions C 385 of 799
  5. Momentum B 272 of 799

Wall Street consensus Hold (3.00)Average target 33.00 USD +7.0%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)99.576.357.749.437.1–
Revenue growth30.4%32.2%16.9%33.0%13.1%24.8%
EPS (basic, normalized)2.131.651.532.691.86–
EPS growth28.7%8.0%−43.1%44.3%2.9%3.3%
Gross margin––––––
Net margin17.8%9.1%16.7%34.0%27.9%21.1%
ROE–5.3%8.6%15.9%–9.9%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Tier 1 risk-adjusted capital ratio12.9%
Long-term debt (mil)17.8
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)196
Net debt / equity–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)Book value per shareEPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthP/BMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 99.5+30.4%2.9x 20.63+12.0%1.5x 1.97+97.0%15.7x
2026 96.0−3.6%3.1x 22.03+6.8%1.4x 2.63+33.5%11.7x
2027 101+5.0%2.9x 24.10+9.4%1.3x 2.76+4.8%11.2x
2028 108+7.2%2.7x ––– 2.98+8.3%10.3x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202696.0+0.7%+0.7%+1.1%2.63+9.1%+9.1%+11.7%
2027101+1.4%+1.4%+2.3%2.76+9.0%+9.0%+9.6%
2028108–––2.98–––

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)14.914.215.024.821.122.422.824.022.524.0
Sales mean (mil)––14.821.122.022.322.722.623.323.5
Surprise––+1.0%+17.5%−4.3%+0.6%+0.4%+6.1%−3.4%+2.3%
EPS reported0.510.390.36−0.100.180.560.620.610.540.64
EPS mean0.430.440.36−0.040.540.490.580.600.560.59
Surprise+18.6%−11.4%0.0%−122.2%−66.4%+13.1%+6.9%+0.8%−2.7%+8.5%

Peer comparison Banking Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capTier 1 ratioNet marginDeposits/loansFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 P/BFY2 P/B
FXNC First National Corp276M12.9%17.8%1.25x11.7x11.2x1.4x1.3x
UBSI United Bankshares, Inc.6.5B13.3%27.6%1.11x13.0x12.2x1.2x1.1x
AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation5.5B10.9%14.4%1.11x10.4x9.7x1.1x1.0x
SFBS ServisFirst Bancshares Inc4.4B11.8%27.9%1.05x12.6x11.5x1.6x1.4x
RNST Renasant Corp3.6B11.1%14.4%1.15x10.8x10.2x0.9x0.9x
TOWN TowneBank3.4B12.2%20.0%1.25x11.5x10.4x1.1x1.0x
Mean12.0%20.3%1.15x11.7x10.9x1.2x1.1x
Median12.0%18.9%1.13x11.6x10.8x1.1x1.1x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+1.6%
  • 3M+1.2%
  • 1Y+38.7%
  • 3Y+77.7%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, First National Corp, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Interest income99.576.357.749.437.132.9
Total interest expense26.323.914.33.82.33.4
Net interest income73.252.543.445.634.829.5
Loan loss provision2.97.86.21.9−0.73.0
Net interest income after loan loss provision70.444.637.343.735.526.5
Non-interest income17.016.411.812.610.28.3
Non-interest expense−65.4−52.9−37.2−35.6−32.7−23.8
Net income before taxes21.98.011.820.712.910.9
Provision for taxes4.21.12.24.02.62.0
Minority interest & equity in affiliates––––––
Other000000
Net income before extraordinary items17.77.09.616.810.48.9
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income17.77.09.616.810.48.9
Basic weighted average shares (mil)9.07.06.36.35.64.9
Diluted weighted average shares (mil)9.07.06.36.35.64.9
Basic EPS excluding extraordinary items1.971.001.542.691.871.82
Basic EPS, normalized2.131.651.532.691.861.81

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.