QDDresearch

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP

Consumer StaplesBeveragesUnited States of America

Last close 35.84 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +32.0% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 35 of 124 in Consumer Staples
  1. Growth A 14 of 124
  2. Valuation D 97 of 124
  3. Quality C 75 of 124
  4. Revisions C 52 of 124
  5. Momentum A 6 of 124

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.15)Average target 36.14 USD +0.8%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)16,60315,35114,81414,05712,683–
Revenue growth8.2%3.6%5.4%10.8%9.2%7.4%
EPS (basic, normalized)2.051.921.791.681.60–
EPS growth6.8%7.3%6.5%5.0%––
Gross margin54.2%55.6%54.5%52.2%55.2%54.3%
Net margin12.5%9.4%14.7%10.2%17.0%12.8%
ROE8.4%5.8%8.6%5.7%8.8%7.5%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)1,517
Current ratio0.48x
Long-term debt (mil)22,421
Net debt (mil)39,121
Total equity (mil)29,450
Net debt / equity1.33x
Net debt / EBITDA8.45x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 16,603+8.2%5.3x 4,632+2.2%19.0x 2.05+6.8%17.5x
2026 26,293+58.4%3.3x 6,774+46.2%13.0x 2.29+11.8%15.6x
2027 29,952+13.9%2.9x 7,663+13.1%11.5x 2.53+10.3%14.2x
2028 30,961+3.4%2.8x 8,077+5.4%10.9x 2.73+7.9%13.1x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202626,2930.0%+0.1%+0.1%2.290.0%+0.2%+0.4%
202729,952−0.1%+0.3%+0.4%2.53−0.3%+0.1%+0.2%
202830,9610.0%+0.5%+0.7%2.73−0.1%+0.8%+1.5%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)3,4683,9223,8914,0703,6354,1634,3064,4993,9767,309
Sales mean (mil)3,4073,9153,9264,0213,5684,1374,1514,3613,8387,239
Surprise+1.8%+0.2%−0.9%+1.2%+1.9%+0.6%+3.7%+3.2%+3.6%+1.0%
EPS reported0.380.450.510.580.420.490.540.600.390.57
EPS mean0.350.450.510.570.380.490.540.590.370.54
Surprise+9.9%+0.1%+0.4%+1.3%+9.8%+0.8%+0.6%+1.9%+4.8%+6.1%

Peer comparison Beverages

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc48.8B8.45x12.5%1.66x15.6x14.2x13.0x11.5x
KO Coca-Cola Co404.7B1.69x27.3%10.83x28.1x26.6x24.7x23.7x
PEP PepsiCo, Inc.187.2B2.22x8.8%8.40x16.3x16.0x12.0x11.7x
BUD Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA144.6B3.39x11.5%1.68x18.2x16.5x9.3x8.9x
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation92.6B–23.0%9.90x41.0x36.0x29.6x26.4x
CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC49.8B–9.3%5.43x22.1x20.3x14.2x13.4x
Mean3.94x15.4%6.32x23.6x21.6x17.1x15.9x
Median2.81x12.0%6.92x20.2x18.4x13.6x12.5x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+13.9%
  • 3M+16.2%
  • 1Y+28.2%
  • 3Y+30.9%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue16,60315,35114,81414,05712,68311,618
Cost of revenue7,6046,8226,7346,7255,6805,080
Gross profit8,9998,5298,0807,3327,0036,538
Selling, general & administrative expenses4,8714,5314,5384,0833,5443,275
Research & development70.070.066.065.066.069.0
Depreciation/amortization347321308308311280
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)1418112.0607380579
Other operating expenses−5.0207−26.0−107−70.0−39.0
Operating income3,5752,5893,1922,3762,7722,374
Net interest income (expense)−754−735−496−64324.0−604
Gain (loss) on sale of assets–06.0–––
Other non-operating income (expense)−13460.055.0−14.02.0−17.0
Net income before taxes2,6871,9142,7571,7192,7981,753
Provision for taxes608473576280644397
Minority interest–001.01.00
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items2,0791,4412,1811,4402,1551,356
Extraordinary items–––−4.0−9.0−31.0
Net income2,0791,4412,1811,4362,1461,325
EBIT, normalized3,7163,4003,1942,9833,1522,953
EBITDA, normalized4,3093,9553,7333,5203,6963,448
Basic EPS, normalized2.051.921.791.681.60–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

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Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.