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Carmax Inc KMX

Consumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailersUnited States of America

Last close 55.58 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +43.8% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 97 of 344 in Consumer Discretionary
  1. Growth D 262 of 344
  2. Valuation B 95 of 344
  3. Quality C 230 of 344
  4. Revisions A 4 of 344
  5. Momentum B 130 of 344

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.60)Average target 61.46 USD +10.6%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends February 28

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202620252024202320225Y avg
Revenue (mil)25,88126,35326,53629,68531,900–
Revenue growth−1.8%−0.7%−10.6%−6.9%68.3%6.4%
EPS (basic, normalized)2.913.272.743.036.97–
EPS growth−11.0%19.3%−9.6%−56.5%––
Gross margin10.8%11.0%10.2%9.4%10.3%10.4%
Net margin1.0%1.9%1.8%1.6%3.6%2.0%
ROE4.1%8.1%8.2%8.9%24.0%10.7%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)171
Current ratio2.33x
Long-term debt (mil)16,967
Net debt (mil)17,404
Total equity (mil)6,305
Net debt / equity2.76x
Net debt / EBITDA16.88x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2026 actual 25,881−1.8%1.0x 1,031−5.6%24.5x 2.91−11.0%19.1x
2027 28,706+10.9%0.9x 1,100+6.7%23.0x 3.30+13.5%16.8x
2028 29,539+2.9%0.9x 1,191+8.3%21.2x 3.63+9.8%15.3x
2029 30,079+1.8%0.8x 1,247+4.7%20.3x 4.25+17.3%13.1x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202728,706+2.1%+5.9%+10.9%3.30+5.2%+20.4%+45.8%
202829,539+2.8%+7.0%+11.3%3.63+3.7%+15.9%+31.1%
202930,079+1.2%+5.2%+12.5%4.25+2.9%+12.1%+29.3%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMay 2024Aug 2024Nov 2024Feb 2025May 2025Aug 2025Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026
Sales reported (mil)7,1137,0146,2236,0037,5476,5955,7945,9468,0147,878
Sales mean (mil)7,2056,7866,0425,9147,5157,0245,6405,7027,4247,012
Surprise−1.3%+3.4%+3.0%+1.5%+0.4%−6.1%+2.7%+4.3%+7.9%+12.4%
EPS reported0.970.850.810.641.380.640.510.341.311.16
EPS mean0.960.860.610.651.171.060.380.230.980.74
Surprise+1.4%−0.7%+33.0%−1.1%+18.0%−39.5%+35.9%+48.3%+33.7%+57.7%

Peer comparison Specialty Retailers

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
KMX Carmax Inc7.9B16.88x1.0%1.25x16.8x15.3x23.0x21.2x
HD The Home Depot, Inc.328.4B2.03x8.6%19.77x21.9x20.6x14.9x14.3x
LOW Lowe's Companies Inc117.3B2.71x7.7%−15.77x17.0x16.1x11.8x11.5x
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.70.9B1.89x14.3%−33.88x26.6x24.1x18.0x16.8x
CVNA Carvana Co75.3B1.36x6.9%17.30x42.0x30.2x26.7x20.2x
AZO AutoZone, Inc.51.0B1.98x12.6%−20.49x18.7x16.6x12.6x11.9x
Mean4.48x8.5%−5.30x23.9x20.5x17.8x16.0x
Median2.01x8.1%−7.26x20.3x18.6x16.4x15.6x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−1.7%
  • 3M−5.6%
  • 1Y+25.0%
  • 3Y−8.1%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Carmax Inc, fiscal years, most recent first
202620252024202320222021
Total revenue25,88126,35326,53629,68531,90018,950
Cost of revenue23,07523,45623,82326,88528,61316,571
Gross profit2,8072,8982,7132,8003,2882,379
Selling, general & administrative expenses2,4532,4352,2192,4872,3481,939
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization274255239228212–
Interest expense (income), operating−452−474−444−543−707−477
Unusual expense (income)14112.367.2–−22.6−40.3
Other operating expenses7.1−0.7−10.3−9.4−34.6−8.3
Operating income3836696426371,492965
Net interest income (expense)––––––
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)000000
Net income before taxes3836696426371,492965
Provision for taxes136169162152341218
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items2475014794851,151747
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income2475014794851,151747
EBIT, normalized72.420826593.8762448
EBITDA, normalized4185115423591,036690
Basic EPS, normalized2.913.272.743.036.97–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.