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Lithia Motors Inc LAD

Consumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailersUnited States of America

Last close 299.72 USD on Nov 1, 2026, −9.3% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 229 of 344 in Consumer Discretionary
  1. Growth C 155 of 344
  2. Valuation C 203 of 344
  3. Quality C 171 of 344
  4. Revisions C 237 of 344
  5. Momentum C 217 of 344

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.88)Average target 391.29 USD +30.6%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)37,63536,18831,04228,18822,832–
Revenue growth4.0%16.6%10.1%23.5%74.0%23.5%
EPS (basic, normalized)33.4629.9636.8644.4240.03–
EPS growth11.7%−18.7%−17.0%11.0%––
Gross margin15.4%15.4%16.7%18.3%18.7%16.9%
Net margin2.2%2.2%3.2%4.4%4.6%3.3%
ROE12.4%12.4%17.5%25.4%29.1%19.4%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)117
Current ratio1.00x
Long-term debt (mil)9,574
Net debt (mil)16,166
Total equity (mil)6,615
Net debt / equity2.44x
Net debt / EBITDA9.70x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 37,635+4.0%0.6x 1,666+2.6%13.6x 33.46+11.7%9.0x
2026 38,429+2.1%0.6x 1,738+4.3%13.0x 36.30+8.5%8.3x
2027 39,458+2.7%0.6x 1,832+5.4%12.4x 40.48+11.5%7.4x
2028 41,239+4.5%0.5x 1,987+8.4%11.4x 46.78+15.6%6.4x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202638,429−0.2%+0.3%−0.4%36.30+1.4%+3.0%+4.4%
202739,458−1.3%−0.7%−1.8%40.48−5.0%−2.8%−0.4%
202841,239−3.0%−1.4%−4.0%46.78−6.5%+0.3%+4.3%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)8,5569,2329,2219,2229,1789,5839,6769,1989,2719,791
Sales mean (mil)8,5929,3329,4829,1019,3049,6879,4589,1899,2229,634
Surprise−0.4%−1.1%−2.8%+1.3%−1.4%−1.1%+2.3%+0.1%+0.5%+1.6%
EPS reported6.117.878.217.797.6610.249.506.747.3411.54
EPS mean7.897.037.607.247.719.248.528.116.838.78
Surprise−22.6%+12.0%+8.1%+7.7%−0.6%+10.8%+11.5%−16.9%+7.4%+31.4%

Peer comparison Specialty Retailers

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
LAD Lithia Motors Inc6.5B9.70x2.2%0.98x8.3x7.4x13.0x12.4x
HD The Home Depot, Inc.328.4B2.03x8.6%19.77x21.9x20.6x14.9x14.3x
LOW Lowe's Companies Inc117.3B2.71x7.7%−15.77x17.0x16.1x11.8x11.5x
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.70.9B1.89x14.3%−33.88x26.6x24.1x18.0x16.8x
CVNA Carvana Co75.3B1.36x6.9%17.30x42.0x30.2x26.7x20.2x
AZO AutoZone, Inc.51.0B1.98x12.6%−20.49x18.7x16.6x12.6x11.9x
Mean3.28x8.7%−5.35x22.4x19.2x16.2x14.5x
Median2.01x8.1%−7.39x20.3x18.6x14.0x13.3x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−1.1%
  • 3M−16.2%
  • 1Y−5.1%
  • 3Y+29.3%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Lithia Motors Inc, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue37,63536,18831,04228,18822,83213,124
Cost of revenue31,82730,61925,85923,03918,56210,899
Gross profit5,8085,5695,1835,1484,2702,226
Selling, general & administrative expenses3,9413,7473,2873,0952,4631,443
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization26224619616312592.3
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)9.27.97.4−51.019.8−7.2
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income1,5951,5691,6921,9411,662697
Net interest income (expense)−524−593−344−207−192−64.1
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)38.295.413.9−4.014.415.5
Net income before taxes1,1081,0711,3621,7301,485648
Provision for taxes282255351468422178
Minority interest−6.3−19.6−10.9−10.6−2.6–
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items8207971,0011,2511,060470
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income8207971,0011,2511,060470
EBIT, normalized1,6041,5761,7001,8901,682690
EBITDA, normalized1,9281,8721,9042,0631,810782
Basic EPS, normalized33.4629.9636.8644.4240.03–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.