QDDresearch

Lucid Group, Inc. LCID

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomobiles & Auto PartsUnited States of America

Last close 3.02 USD on Nov 3, 2026, −71.4% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating D Rank 311 of 344 in Consumer Discretionary
  1. Growth A 7 of 344
  2. Valuation D 279 of 344
  3. Quality D 269 of 344
  4. Revisions D 265 of 344
  5. Momentum D 337 of 344

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.92)Average target 8.07 USD +167.3%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)1,35480859560827.1–
Revenue growth67.6%35.7%−2.1%2,143.3%581.9%220.9%
EPS (basic, normalized)−11.81−10.40−13.90−15.10−49.20–
EPS growth––––––
Gross margin−92.8%−114.3%−225.2%−170.7%−471.3%−214.9%
Net margin−279.9%−379.0%−475.1%−420.7%−17,509.8%−3,812.9%
ROE−66.0%−54.1%−61.5%−31.6%−101.5%−62.9%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)761
Current ratio1.14x
Long-term debt (mil)2,649
Net debt (mil)5,506
Total equity (mil)1,848
Net debt / equity2.98x
Net debt / EBITDA−1.98x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 1,354+67.6%4.9x −2,788−14.5%−2.4x −11.81−13.6%−0.3x
2026 1,563+15.5%4.3x −2,948−5.7%−2.3x −10.23+13.4%−0.3x
2027 3,482+122.8%1.9x −1,790+39.3%−3.7x −6.15+39.9%−0.5x
2028 6,276+80.2%1.1x −997+44.3%−6.7x −4.16+32.4%−0.7x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20261,563−3.8%−14.8%−24.1%−10.23+0.5%−4.8%−9.4%
20273,482+3.3%−4.8%−16.3%−6.15−4.5%−6.7%−9.7%
20286,276−0.6%−1.0%+1.7%−4.16−3.6%−11.0%−11.1%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)173201200234235259337523282405
Sales mean (mil)157192198214249280379468440416
Surprise+10.0%+4.4%+1.0%+9.5%−5.6%−7.3%−11.2%+11.7%−35.9%−2.6%
EPS reported−3.00−2.90−2.80−2.20−2.00−2.40−2.65−3.62−3.46−3.30
EPS mean−2.49−2.65−3.03−2.54−2.29−2.13−2.25−2.61−2.65−2.46
Surprise−20.6%−9.6%+7.7%+13.4%+12.5%−12.7%−17.7%−38.8%−30.3%−34.4%

Peer comparison Automobiles & Auto Parts

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
LCID Lucid Group, Inc.1.2B−1.98x−279.9%0.64x−0.3x−0.5x−2.3x−3.7x
TSLA Tesla Inc1.58T−2.42x4.0%17.64x237.4x188.9x108.5x88.5x
GM General Motors Co74.5B4.15x1.7%1.19x6.6x6.0x7.8x7.2x
F Ford Motor Co49.2B8.83x−4.4%1.41x6.5x6.6x11.5x11.6x
RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc.19.4B0.45x−67.7%3.42x−5.9x−7.8x−10.1x−19.0x
MGA Magna International Inc.16.4B0.92x2.0%1.41x8.9x8.0x4.6x4.6x
Mean1.66x−57.4%4.29x42.2x33.5x20.0x14.8x
Median0.68x−1.3%1.41x6.5x6.3x6.2x5.9x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−26.9%
  • 3M−60.8%
  • 1Y−81.9%
  • 3Y−93.5%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Lucid Group, Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue1,35480859560827.14.0
Cost of revenue2,6101,7311,9361,6461553.1
Gross profit−1,256−923−1,341−1,038−1280.9
Selling, general & administrative expenses1,03490179773565289.0
Research & development1,2111,176937822750511
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)−12220.324.502.7–
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income−3,380−3,021−3,100−2,594−1,533−599
Net interest income (expense)68533517926.2−456−118
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−5.0−27.492.81,264−591−1.9
Net income before taxes−2,700−2,713−2,827−1,304−2,580−720
Provision for taxes−2.31.21.00.40−0.2
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items−2,698−2,714−2,828−1,304−2,580−719
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income−2,698−2,714−2,828−1,304−2,580−719
EBIT, normalized−3,502−3,001−3,060−2,594−1,530−599
EBITDA, normalized−3,051−2,705−2,826−2,407−1,468−589
Basic EPS, normalized−11.81−10.40−13.90−15.10−49.20–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 3, 2026 after market close.