QDDresearch

Mastercard Incorporated MA

FinancialsSoftware & IT ServicesUnited States of America

Last close 638.01 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +12.5% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A+ Rank 2 of 799 in Financials
  1. Growth A 78 of 799
  2. Valuation B 474 of 799
  3. Quality B 325 of 799
  4. Revisions B 128 of 799
  5. Momentum A 114 of 799

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.86)Average target 697.52 USD +9.3%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)32,79128,16725,09822,23718,884–
Revenue growth16.4%12.2%12.9%17.8%23.4%16.5%
EPS (basic, normalized)17.0114.6012.2610.658.40–
EPS growth16.5%19.1%15.1%26.8%––
Gross margin––––––
Net margin45.6%45.7%44.6%44.7%46.0%45.3%
ROE210.5%191.9%169.3%145.9%126.8%168.9%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)10,464
Current ratio1.06x
Long-term debt (mil)22,184
Net debt (mil)13,029
Total equity (mil)6,753
Net debt / equity1.93x
Net debt / EBITDA0.63x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 32,791+16.4%17.3x 20,544+18.8%27.7x 17.01+16.5%37.5x
2026 37,346+13.9%15.2x 23,650+15.1%24.1x 20.02+17.7%31.9x
2027 42,037+12.6%13.5x 26,817+13.4%21.2x 23.17+15.8%27.5x
2028 47,434+12.8%12.0x 30,319+13.1%18.8x 26.91+16.1%23.7x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202637,346+0.2%+0.3%+0.8%20.02+0.3%+0.7%+1.8%
202742,037+0.2%+0.2%+0.7%23.17+0.4%+0.8%+1.7%
202847,434+0.9%+0.9%+1.3%26.91+0.2%+0.8%+1.6%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)6,3486,9617,3697,4897,2508,1338,6028,8068,3989,277
Sales mean (mil)6,3396,8487,2707,3857,1197,9658,5348,7808,2509,068
Surprise+0.1%+1.7%+1.4%+1.4%+1.8%+2.1%+0.8%+0.3%+1.8%+2.3%
EPS reported3.313.593.893.823.734.154.384.764.605.04
EPS mean3.243.513.743.693.574.034.324.254.404.77
Surprise+2.3%+2.2%+4.0%+3.4%+4.5%+3.1%+1.4%+12.0%+4.5%+5.8%

Peer comparison Software & IT Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
MA Mastercard Incorporated555.8B0.63x45.6%99.83x31.9x27.5x24.1x21.2x
ACN Accenture PLC152.6B−0.07x11.3%4.87x17.6x16.2x10.1x9.6x
MSTR Strategy Inc55.8B−2.56x−886.3%0.80x−4.7x11.1x−6.6x9.8x
CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation29.1B0.00x12.4%1.98x11.3x10.4x7.1x6.7x
TOST Toast, Inc.18.3B−2.71x5.6%8.94x32.7x25.9x20.1x15.7x
JKHY Jack Henry & Associates Inc11.3B0.03x19.8%5.51x21.9x20.0x12.8x11.9x
Mean−0.78x−131.9%20.32x18.4x18.5x11.2x12.5x
Median−0.04x11.8%5.19x19.7x18.1x11.5x10.9x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+12.4%
  • 3M+13.5%
  • 1Y+13.5%
  • 3Y+78.4%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Mastercard Incorporated, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue32,79128,16725,09822,23718,88415,301
Cost of revenue––––––
Gross profit32,79128,16725,09822,23718,88415,301
Selling, general & administrative expenses12,13410,7539,6698,6987,9316,558
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization1,143897799750726580
Interest expense (income), operating11365.083.010251.09.0
Unusual expense (income)50487053942394.073.0
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income18,89715,58214,00812,26410,0828,081
Net interest income (expense)−485−348−362−555225−326
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)16620.0−7.023.005.0
Net income before taxes18,57815,25413,63911,73210,3077,760
Provision for taxes3,6102,3802,4441,8021,6201,349
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items14,96812,87411,1959,9308,6876,411
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income14,96812,87411,1959,9308,6876,411
EBIT, normalized19,51416,51714,63012,78910,2278,163
EBITDA, normalized20,65717,41415,42813,53910,9538,743
Basic EPS, normalized17.0114.6012.2610.658.40–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.