QDDresearch

Altria Group Inc MO

Consumer StaplesFood & TobaccoUnited States of America

Last close 78.03 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +41.9% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 5 of 124 in Consumer Staples
  1. Growth B 49 of 124
  2. Valuation B 49 of 124
  3. Quality B 23 of 124
  4. Revisions A 18 of 124
  5. Momentum A 4 of 124

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.80)Average target 72.75 USD −6.8%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)23,27924,01824,48325,09626,013–
Revenue growth−3.1%−1.9%−2.4%−3.5%−0.5%−2.3%
EPS (basic, normalized)5.425.124.954.844.61–
EPS growth5.9%3.4%2.3%5.0%––
Gross margin62.6%59.7%58.1%56.5%53.6%58.1%
Net margin29.8%46.8%33.1%22.9%9.5%28.4%
ROE––––401.5%401.5%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)2,697
Current ratio0.58x
Long-term debt (mil)22,886
Net debt (mil)21,416
Total equity (mil)−2,225
Net debt / equity−9.63x
Net debt / EBITDA1.70x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 23,279−3.1%6.5x 12,593+3.0%12.0x 5.42+5.9%14.4x
2026 20,681−11.2%7.3x 13,018+3.4%11.6x 5.69+4.9%13.7x
2027 20,892+1.0%7.2x 13,358+2.6%11.3x 5.89+3.6%13.2x
2028 21,061+0.8%7.2x 13,584+1.7%11.1x 6.09+3.3%12.8x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202620,681+0.5%+0.7%+1.5%5.69+0.1%+0.1%+0.3%
202720,892+0.8%+1.0%+2.1%5.89+0.4%+0.3%+0.6%
202821,061+0.9%+1.1%+2.7%6.09+0.7%+0.6%+0.5%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 2 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)4,7175,2775,3445,1064,5195,2905,2515,8464,7585,356
Sales mean (mil)4,7125,3925,3265,0464,6155,1845,3095,0394,5765,346
Surprise+0.1%−2.1%+0.3%+1.2%−2.1%+2.0%−1.1%+16.0%+4.0%+0.2%
EPS reported1.151.311.381.291.231.441.451.301.321.48
EPS mean1.151.341.351.291.191.391.451.321.251.50
Surprise+0.1%−2.6%+2.3%+0.1%+3.6%+3.9%+0.1%−1.4%+5.9%−1.1%

Peer comparison Food & Tobacco

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
MO Altria Group Inc129.8B1.70x29.8%−58.35x13.7x13.2x11.6x11.3x
PM Philip Morris International Inc.325.4B2.33x27.8%−41.00x25.0x23.1x18.9x17.3x
BATS British American Tobacco p.l.c.132.4B–30.3%2.06x12.8x11.9x10.7x10.1x
MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc.82.2B3.14x6.4%3.10x21.3x19.3x15.2x14.2x
HSY The Hershey Company33.3B1.80x7.6%4.97x19.1x17.3x12.4x11.5x
IMB Imperial Brands PLC29.7B–6.4%5.69x8.8x8.0x7.6x7.5x
Mean2.24x18.0%−13.92x16.8x15.5x12.7x12.0x
Median2.06x17.7%2.58x16.4x15.3x12.0x11.4x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+12.9%
  • 3M+5.9%
  • 1Y+31.7%
  • 3Y+148.4%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Altria Group Inc, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue23,27924,01824,48325,09626,01326,153
Cost of revenue8,7179,67810,24910,91312,07312,669
Gross profit14,56214,34014,23414,18313,94013,484
Selling, general & administrative expenses2,2722,6032,2832,1882,1401,644
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization132–––––
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)2,26649640476.08893,567
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income9,89211,24111,54711,91910,9118,273
Net interest income (expense)−562−385−746−4,714−7,289−1,460
Gain (loss) on sale of assets02,700––––
Other non-operating income (expense)59.010212718420277.0
Net income before taxes9,38913,65810,9287,3893,8246,890
Provision for taxes2,4422,3942,7981,6251,3492,413
Minority interest–––0013.0
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items6,94711,2648,1305,7642,4754,490
Extraordinary items–––––−23.0
Net income6,94711,2648,1305,7642,4754,467
EBIT, normalized12,1909,21011,90311,99311,78611,844
EBITDA, normalized12,4569,49612,17512,21912,03012,101
Basic EPS, normalized5.425.124.954.844.61–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

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Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.