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Vail Resorts, Inc. MTN

Consumer DiscretionaryHotels & Entertainment ServicesUnited States of America

Last close 154.82 USD on Nov 2, 2026, +22.4% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 225 of 344 in Consumer Discretionary
  1. Growth B 107 of 344
  2. Valuation D 253 of 344
  3. Quality C 222 of 344
  4. Revisions D 254 of 344
  5. Momentum B 111 of 344

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.65)Average target 148.42 USD −4.1%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends July 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202620252024202320225Y avg
Revenue (mil)2,8382,9642,8852,8892,526–
Revenue growth−4.3%2.7%−0.1%14.4%32.3%8.2%
EPS (basic, normalized)4.127.536.076.748.55–
EPS growth−45.3%24.1%−9.9%−21.2%––
Gross margin43.7%44.4%44.6%43.9%48.8%45.1%
Net margin5.2%9.4%8.0%9.2%13.8%9.1%
ROE44.4%49.4%27.0%20.3%21.7%32.5%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)268
Current ratio0.80x
Long-term debt (mil)3,102
Net debt (mil)3,235
Total equity (mil)241
Net debt / equity13.45x
Net debt / EBITDA4.30x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2026 actual 2,838−4.3%3.1x 753−12.4%11.6x 4.12−45.3%37.6x
2027 3,040+7.1%2.9x 816+8.3%10.7x 5.55+34.8%27.9x
2028 3,144+3.4%2.8x 865+6.0%10.1x 6.53+17.7%23.7x
2029 3,234+2.9%2.7x 898+3.9%9.8x 7.44+13.9%20.8x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20273,040+0.4%+1.6%+0.1%5.55−1.6%−13.9%−20.0%
20283,144+0.6%+1.7%+0.2%6.53−0.8%−11.3%−13.6%
20293,234+0.7%––7.44+2.7%––

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedApr 2024Jul 2024Oct 2024Jan 2025Apr 2025Jul 2025Oct 2025Jan 2026Apr 2026Jul 2026
Sales reported (mil)1,2832652601,1371,2962712711,0841,205278
Sales mean (mil)1,3042652541,1381,3052742761,1131,213270
Surprise−1.6%+0.3%+2.5%−0.1%−0.7%−1.0%−1.9%−2.6%−0.6%+3.2%
EPS reported9.54−4.67−4.616.5610.54−5.08−5.205.878.81−5.34
EPS mean9.97−4.24−4.996.319.97−4.73−5.196.108.96−5.27
Surprise−4.3%−10.1%+7.7%+3.9%+5.7%−7.4%−0.2%−3.8%−1.7%−1.3%

Peer comparison Hotels & Entertainment Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
MTN Vail Resorts, Inc.5.5B4.30x5.2%22.94x27.9x23.7x10.7x10.1x
MAR Marriott International, Inc.108.6B3.06x9.9%−24.09x35.1x31.4x20.7x19.3x
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.81.1B3.39x12.1%−12.34x40.0x34.9x23.1x21.0x
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.85.9B3.09x23.8%7.33x17.9x15.8x13.9x12.6x
VIK Viking Holdings Ltd38.9B1.19x17.7%23.53x27.0x20.1x19.7x15.6x
CCL Carnival Corporation Ltd40.4B3.16x10.4%2.86x13.3x11.6x8.8x8.3x
Mean3.03x13.2%3.37x26.9x22.9x16.2x14.5x
Median3.13x11.2%5.10x27.4x21.9x16.8x14.1x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+11.3%
  • 3M+5.2%
  • 1Y+11.4%
  • 3Y−16.4%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Vail Resorts, Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202620252024202320222021
Total revenue2,8382,9642,8852,8892,5261,910
Cost of revenue1,5971,6471,5981,6211,2941,041
Gross profit1,2411,3171,2871,2681,232869
Selling, general & administrative expenses502482460437395322
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization306296279269252253
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)−6.3−30.111.38.2−37.618.2
Other operating expenses19.29.448.049.820.314.4
Operating income421560489504602261
Net interest income (expense)−194−158−149−134−145−136
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)000000
Net income before taxes227402340370457125
Provision for taxes56.210492.887.688.80.7
Minority interest−23.2−18.0−15.9−17.0−20.43.4
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items148280231266348128
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income148280231266348128
EBIT, normalized424545500513564279
EBITDA, normalized730841779782817532
Basic EPS, normalized4.127.536.076.748.55–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.