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Mueller Water Products, Inc. MWA

IndustrialsMachinery, Tools, Heavy Vehicles, Trains & ShipsUnited States of America

Last close 23.57 USD on Nov 3, 2026, −0.3% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 130 of 486 in Industrials
  1. Growth C 320 of 486
  2. Valuation B 96 of 486
  3. Quality A 39 of 486
  4. Revisions C 264 of 486
  5. Momentum C 250 of 486

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.86)Average target 27.46 USD +16.5%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends September 30

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)1,4301,3151,2761,2471,111–
Revenue growth8.7%3.1%2.3%12.3%15.2%8.2%
EPS (basic, normalized)1.310.960.630.580.56–
EPS growth36.5%52.4%8.6%3.6%––
Gross margin36.4%34.9%29.7%29.2%32.3%32.5%
Net margin13.4%8.8%6.7%6.1%6.3%8.3%
ROE21.4%15.2%12.4%11.2%10.5%14.2%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)495
Current ratio4.64x
Long-term debt (mil)451
Net debt (mil)−42.4
Total equity (mil)1,120
Net debt / equity−0.04x
Net debt / EBITDA−0.13x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 1,430+8.7%2.5x 326+19.9%11.2x 1.31+36.5%18.0x
2026 1,476+3.2%2.5x 367+12.5%9.9x 1.55+18.3%15.2x
2027 1,514+2.6%2.4x 383+4.5%9.5x 1.57+1.6%15.0x
2028 1,537+1.5%2.4x 394+2.8%9.2x 1.58+0.5%14.9x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20261,4760.0%−0.6%−0.6%1.55−0.2%+5.0%+5.2%
20271,514−0.3%−1.9%−2.2%1.57−0.7%+0.2%−0.3%
20281,5370.0%−1.9%−2.6%1.580.0%−2.1%−4.0%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)353357348304364380381318384396
Sales mean (mil)300330325290352367362315381391
Surprise+18.0%+8.2%+7.2%+4.9%+3.4%+3.5%+5.1%+1.1%+1.0%+1.2%
EPS reported0.300.320.220.250.340.340.380.290.400.50
EPS mean0.140.220.210.190.310.340.340.260.370.39
Surprise+106.9%+44.4%+2.3%+29.3%+9.7%+0.5%+12.3%+10.1%+7.5%+27.7%

Peer comparison Machinery, Tools, Heavy Vehicles, Trains & Ships

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
MWA Mueller Water Products, Inc.3.7B−0.13x13.4%3.28x15.2x15.0x9.9x9.5x
EMR Emerson Electric Co92.8B2.13x12.7%4.55x25.4x22.9x18.9x17.6x
AME AMETEK Inc57.0B2.55x20.0%5.06x29.4x26.3x21.8x18.6x
IR Ingersoll Rand Inc.32.5B1.65x7.6%3.09x23.3x21.5x16.7x15.5x
DOV Dover Corporation28.4B0.78x13.6%3.72x19.9x18.1x14.6x13.4x
XYL Xylem Inc22.1B1.21x10.6%2.16x17.7x16.5x11.9x11.2x
Mean1.36x13.0%3.64x21.8x20.0x15.7x14.3x
Median1.43x13.0%3.50x21.6x19.8x15.7x14.5x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+8.8%
  • 3M−8.4%
  • 1Y−7.3%
  • 3Y+87.9%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Mueller Water Products, Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue1,4301,3151,2761,2471,111964
Cost of revenue909856896883752636
Gross profit521459380364358328
Selling, general & administrative expenses227225216214202183
Research & development19.920.525.924.517.115.0
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)12.932.110.214.024.713.2
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income261182127112115117
Net interest income (expense)−6.6−12.7−14.7−16.9−23.4−25.5
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)0.2−5.6−3.73.93.33.0
Net income before taxes25416310998.694.994.1
Provision for taxes62.547.523.522.024.522.1
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items19211685.576.670.472.0
Extraordinary items––0000
Net income19211685.576.670.472.0
EBIT, normalized274214138126140130
EBITDA, normalized320280200186200188
Basic EPS, normalized1.310.960.630.580.56–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 3, 2026 after market close.