QDDresearch

The Simply Good Foods Company SMPL

Consumer StaplesFood & TobaccoUnited States of America

Last close 12.47 USD on Nov 3, 2026, −37.9% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating D Rank 87 of 124 in Consumer Staples
  1. Growth C 71 of 124
  2. Valuation B 19 of 124
  3. Quality C 81 of 124
  4. Revisions D 95 of 124
  5. Momentum D 88 of 124

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.60)Average target 13.94 USD +11.8%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends August 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202620252024202320225Y avg
Revenue (mil)1,4511,3311,2431,1691,006–
Revenue growth9.0%7.1%6.3%16.2%23.1%12.2%
EPS (basic, normalized)1.921.831.631.591.26–
EPS growth4.9%12.3%2.5%26.2%––
Gross margin36.2%38.4%36.5%38.1%40.7%38.0%
Net margin7.1%10.5%10.7%9.3%4.1%8.3%
ROE5.9%8.4%8.9%8.3%3.5%7.0%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)138
Current ratio5.57x
Long-term debt (mil)347
Net debt (mil)209
Total equity (mil)1,452
Net debt / equity0.14x
Net debt / EBITDA0.92x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2026 actual 1,451+9.0%0.9x 226−19.3%5.7x 1.70−11.5%7.3x
2027 1,151−20.6%1.1x 197−12.9%6.6x 1.51−11.0%8.2x
2028 1,156+0.4%1.1x 204+3.6%6.3x 1.61+6.2%7.8x
2029 1,184+2.4%1.1x 213+4.7%6.1x 1.71+6.2%7.3x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20271,151−8.2%−9.6%−14.3%1.51−10.1%−10.5%−15.0%
20281,156−10.4%−11.9%−15.3%1.61−9.6%−10.4%−15.7%
20291,184−7.6%−18.8%−21.4%1.71−9.7%−21.7%−20.7%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedFeb 2024May 2024Aug 2024Nov 2024Feb 2025May 2025Aug 2025Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026
Sales reported (mil)312335376341360381369340326357
Sales mean (mil)317338373347354382369339346333
Surprise−1.5%−0.9%+0.6%−1.8%+1.5%−0.2%+0.1%+0.3%−5.7%+7.3%
EPS reported0.400.500.500.490.460.510.460.390.450.42
EPS mean0.380.480.500.460.400.500.470.360.390.35
Surprise+5.8%+3.7%+0.9%+6.1%+14.6%+1.4%−3.0%+9.6%+14.0%+18.9%

Peer comparison Food & Tobacco

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
SMPL The Simply Good Foods Company1.1B0.92x7.1%0.76x8.2x7.8x6.6x6.3x
MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc.82.4B3.14x6.4%3.11x21.3x19.4x15.2x14.2x
HSY The Hershey Company33.7B1.80x7.6%5.03x19.3x17.6x12.5x11.7x
KHC The Kraft Heinz Company29.1B2.86x−23.4%0.81x12.0x11.8x9.3x9.2x
GIS General Mills Inc18.2B3.92x−0.5%2.45x11.1x10.8x10.2x10.0x
SJM The J. M. Smucker Company13.7B3.31x−1.5%2.38x11.8x11.6x9.4x9.4x
Mean2.66x−0.7%2.42x13.9x13.1x10.5x10.1x
Median3.00x2.9%2.41x11.9x11.7x9.8x9.7x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+26.9%
  • 3M+10.2%
  • 1Y−37.1%
  • 3Y−66.8%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, The Simply Good Foods Company, fiscal years, most recent first
202620252024202320222021
Total revenue1,4511,3311,2431,1691,006817
Cost of revenue925820789723596492
Gross profit526512453446410324
Selling, general & administrative expenses263268227221211191
Research & development5.55.44.34.13.54.0
Depreciation/amortization16.916.917.417.317.015.3
Interest expense (income), operating––––00
Unusual expense (income)83.314.500.1−0.235.7
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income15720620520317978.2
Net interest income (expense)−21.0−21.5−29.3−51.7−97.70.3
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)01.00−0.5−0.10.4
Net income before taxes13618617615180.979.0
Provision for taxes32.346.742.142.040.013.3
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items10413913410940.965.6
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income10413913410940.965.6
EBIT, normalized240225211203181125
EBITDA, normalized261246231219200141
Basic EPS, normalized1.921.831.631.591.26–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 3, 2026 after market close.