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Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc SPCE

IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseUnited States of America

Last close 2.58 USD on Nov 1, 2026, −19.6% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating D Rank 394 of 486 in Industrials
  1. Growth C 220 of 486
  2. Valuation D 457 of 486
  3. Quality D 374 of 486
  4. Revisions C 306 of 486
  5. Momentum D 373 of 486

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.88)Average target 3.51 USD +36.0%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)1.57.06.82.33.3–
Revenue growth−78.1%3.5%194.1%−29.8%1,283.2%45.3%
EPS (basic, normalized)−5.44−13.89−29.80−37.80−28.60–
EPS growth––––––
Gross margin−4,613.0%−1,179.5%−643.2%17.6%91.7%−1,265.3%
Net margin−18,063.9%−4,928.1%−7,387.3%−21,632.9%−10,719.9%−12,546.4%
ROE−93.6%−83.8%−101.9%−72.8%−49.7%−80.3%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)255
Current ratio1.62x
Long-term debt (mil)189
Net debt (mil)−36.0
Total equity (mil)396
Net debt / equity−0.09x
Net debt / EBITDA0.16x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 1.5−78.1%230.0x −226+29.8%−1.6x −5.44+60.8%−0.5x
2026 2.5+59.5%144.2x −207+8.5%−1.7x −2.27+58.3%−1.1x
2027 273+10,995.5%1.3x −42.7+79.3%−8.3x −0.70+69.3%−3.7x
2028 503+84.2%0.7x 81.7+291.2%4.3x 0.05+106.8%54.3x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20262.50.0%−76.5%−93.0%−2.270.0%+8.4%+23.4%
20272730.0%−8.1%−22.3%−0.700.0%−48.5%−224.7%
20285030.0%+0.9%−3.2%0.050.0%−84.6%−89.9%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)2.04.20.40.40.50.40.40.30.20.1
Sales mean (mil)1.93.42.22.20.40.50.40.50.20.1
Surprise+3.5%+25.6%−82.0%−80.5%+15.3%−24.8%−7.8%−37.0%+19.5%+5.8%
EPS reported−5.00−4.36−2.66−2.53−2.38−1.41−1.09−0.98−0.81−0.58
EPS mean−5.78−4.92−4.09−3.12−2.68−2.34−1.44−1.03−0.86−0.64
Surprise+13.4%+11.4%+35.0%+19.0%+11.3%+39.8%+24.2%+5.3%+6.2%+9.8%

Peer comparison Aerospace & Defense

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc391M0.16x−18,063.9%0.92x−1.1x−3.7x−1.7x−8.3x
GE General Electric Company311.9B1.05x19.0%17.80x37.0x32.3x26.4x23.3x
RTX RTX Corporation269.6B1.90x7.6%3.89x25.8x24.7x17.6x16.4x
BA Boeing Co135.9B4.05x2.1%20.75x−84.7x207.3x48.1x28.0x
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation147.1B1.54x6.7%14.56x20.8x19.1x14.4x13.3x
GD General Dynamics Corp100.8B0.42x8.0%3.76x21.8x19.9x15.2x14.0x
Mean1.52x−3,003.4%10.28x3.3x49.9x20.0x14.5x
Median1.30x7.1%9.23x21.3x22.3x16.4x15.2x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−17.8%
  • 3M+3.6%
  • 1Y−36.3%
  • 3Y−90.7%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue1.57.06.82.33.30.2
Cost of revenue72.890.050.51.90.30.2
Gross profit−71.2−83.0−43.70.43.00.1
Selling, general & administrative expenses117125175175173116
Research & development80.5153295314144154
Depreciation/amortization16.515.513.411.15.14.3
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)2.804.4––0.2
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income−288−377−532−500−320−275
Net interest income (expense)9.129.429.40.41.22.2
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)0.20.50.30.1−34.5−372
Net income before taxes−279−347−502−500−353−645
Provision for taxes0.10.10.50.60.10
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items−279−347−502−500−353−645
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income−279−347−502−500−353−645
EBIT, normalized−285−377−527−500−320−275
EBITDA, normalized−269−361−514−489−308−265
Basic EPS, normalized−5.44−13.89−29.80−37.80−28.60–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.