QDDresearch

Ulta Beauty Inc ULTA

Consumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailersUnited States of America

Last close 637.57 USD on Nov 2, 2026, +5.4% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 28 of 344 in Consumer Discretionary
  1. Growth B 90 of 344
  2. Valuation D 268 of 344
  3. Quality A 10 of 344
  4. Revisions B 114 of 344
  5. Momentum A 39 of 344

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.07)Average target 635.77 USD −0.3%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends January 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202620252024202320225Y avg
Revenue (mil)12,39311,29611,20710,2098,631–
Revenue growth9.7%0.8%9.8%18.3%40.3%15.0%
EPS (basic, normalized)25.6425.3426.0324.0117.98–
EPS growth1.2%−2.7%8.4%33.5%––
Gross margin39.1%38.8%39.1%39.6%39.0%39.1%
Net margin9.3%10.6%11.5%12.2%11.4%11.0%
ROE43.6%50.4%60.9%71.1%55.8%56.4%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)213
Current ratio1.35x
Long-term debt (mil)0
Net debt (mil)126
Total equity (mil)2,644
Net debt / equity0.05x
Net debt / EBITDA0.07x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2026 actual 12,393+9.7%2.2x 1,834+4.6%14.9x 25.64+1.2%24.9x
2027 13,276+7.1%2.1x 1,993+8.7%13.7x 29.00+13.1%22.0x
2028 13,966+5.2%2.0x 2,113+6.0%13.0x 32.14+10.9%19.8x
2029 14,611+4.6%1.9x 2,235+5.8%12.3x 35.41+10.2%18.0x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202713,2760.0%0.0%+0.6%29.000.0%+0.8%+1.5%
202813,9660.0%0.0%−0.1%32.140.0%+0.9%+1.6%
202914,6110.0%−0.4%−0.5%35.41+0.7%+1.9%+3.4%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedApr 2024Jul 2024Oct 2024Jan 2025Apr 2025Jul 2025Oct 2025Jan 2026Apr 2026Jul 2026
Sales reported (mil)2,7262,5522,5303,4882,8482,7882,8583,8983,1643,036
Sales mean (mil)2,7212,6132,4953,4622,7942,6752,7073,8043,1012,983
Surprise+0.2%−2.3%+1.4%+0.7%+1.9%+4.2%+5.6%+2.5%+2.0%+1.8%
EPS reported6.475.305.148.466.725.795.148.017.746.55
EPS mean6.245.464.547.125.815.084.648.026.866.19
Surprise+3.8%−2.9%+13.1%+18.8%+15.7%+14.0%+10.8%−0.1%+12.8%+5.9%

Peer comparison Specialty Retailers

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc27.3B0.07x9.3%10.32x22.0x19.8x13.7x13.0x
HD The Home Depot, Inc.340.4B2.03x8.6%20.49x22.7x21.4x15.4x14.8x
LOW Lowe's Companies Inc122.4B2.71x7.7%−16.46x17.8x16.8x12.2x11.9x
ROST Ross Stores Inc73.7B−1.02x9.4%10.93x27.7x25.6x17.6x16.7x
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.73.0B1.89x14.3%−34.87x27.4x24.8x18.4x17.3x
AZO AutoZone, Inc.52.4B1.98x12.6%−21.02x19.2x17.0x12.9x12.2x
Mean1.28x10.3%−5.10x22.8x20.9x15.0x14.3x
Median1.94x9.4%−3.07x22.4x20.6x14.6x13.9x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+17.3%
  • 3M+24.3%
  • 1Y+22.6%
  • 3Y+67.6%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Ulta Beauty Inc, fiscal years, most recent first
202620252024202320222021
Total revenue12,39311,29611,20710,2098,6316,152
Cost of revenue7,5486,9086,8266,1645,2624,203
Gross profit4,8454,3874,3814,0453,3691,949
Selling, general & administrative expenses3,3122,8222,7032,4062,0711,598
Research & development––––––
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)–––00114
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income1,5331,5651,6781,6391,297237
Net interest income (expense)−1.815.117.64.9−1.7−5.7
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)000000
Net income before taxes1,5311,5801,6961,6441,296231
Provision for taxes37437940540131055.2
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates−3.9–––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items1,1531,2011,2911,242986176
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income1,1531,2011,2911,242986176
EBIT, normalized1,5331,5651,6781,6391,297351
EBITDA, normalized1,8341,8321,9221,8801,566649
Basic EPS, normalized25.6425.3426.0324.0117.98–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.