QDDresearch

VSE Corp VSECU

IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseUnited States of America

Last close 43.17 USD on Nov 3, 2026, −10.4% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 288 of 486 in Industrials
  1. Growth B 79 of 486
  2. Valuation C 279 of 486
  3. Quality C 313 of 486
  4. Revisions B 86 of 486
  5. Momentum D 404 of 486

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.75)Average target 254.36 USD +489.2%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)1,112786544669751–
Revenue growth41.5%44.5%−18.7%−10.8%13.5%10.9%
EPS (basic, normalized)3.923.133.312.912.34–
EPS growth25.2%−5.4%13.7%24.4%––
Gross margin14.2%13.0%12.7%10.9%5.8%11.3%
Net margin4.8%2.5%2.7%4.0%1.1%3.0%
ROE4.4%2.4%2.7%6.2%2.1%3.6%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)75.4
Current ratio3.77x
Long-term debt (mil)915
Net debt (mil)872
Total equity (mil)2,933
Net debt / equity0.30x
Net debt / EBITDA4.76x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 1,112+41.5%4.9x 183+39.7%29.8x 3.92+25.2%11.0x
2026 1,814+63.1%3.0x 338+84.7%16.1x 6.73+71.6%6.4x
2027 2,200+21.3%2.5x 429+27.1%12.7x 8.25+22.6%5.2x
2028 2,394+8.8%2.3x 485+13.0%11.2x 9.44+14.5%4.6x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20261,814+0.1%+2.2%+6.0%6.730.0%+55.8%+55.6%
20272,200+0.2%+2.0%+7.3%8.25−0.1%+45.1%+47.2%
20282,394+0.2%+1.8%+3.1%9.44+0.1%+35.6%+33.8%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)242266274299256272283301325449
Sales mean (mil)237256268288247263277290310425
Surprise+1.8%+3.7%+1.9%+4.0%+3.7%+3.3%+2.3%+4.0%+4.6%+5.7%
EPS reported0.870.640.710.900.780.970.991.161.171.75
EPS mean0.720.650.600.720.580.710.840.890.900.93
Surprise+21.2%−1.8%+18.1%+25.3%+35.3%+36.6%+17.9%+30.0%+30.3%+88.5%

Peer comparison Aerospace & Defense

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
VSECU VSE Corp4.6B4.76x4.8%1.56x6.4x5.2x16.1x12.7x
MRCY Mercury Systems Inc4.9B1.51x−3.0%3.20x48.5x37.1x26.5x20.8x
JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc.4.8B2.84x−1,740.5%2.71x−5.6x−5.5x−4.3x−4.6x
VSEC VSE Corp4.6B4.76x4.8%1.56x24.2x19.8x16.1x12.7x
MDA MDA Space Ltd.4.4B−0.06x6.6%2.81x28.7x21.9x17.3x11.7x
AIR AAR CORP.4.4B1.93x5.7%2.51x18.5x16.5x10.8x10.1x
Mean2.63x−286.9%2.39x20.1x15.8x13.8x10.6x
Median2.39x4.8%2.61x21.4x18.1x16.1x12.2x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−1.2%
  • 3M−16.9%
  • 1Y−10.4%
  • 3Y−10.4%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, VSE Corp, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue1,112786544669751662
Cost of revenue954684475596707586
Gross profit15810269.073.043.675.4
Selling, general & administrative expenses7.85.14.23.72.53.1
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization26.017.611.715.718.517.5
Interest expense (income), operating−0.7−0.6−0.600.6–
Unusual expense (income)6.221.33.5–0.540.8
Other operating expenses29.200000
Operating income89.658.850.153.621.513.9
Net interest income (expense)−20.6−34.9−31.1−17.9−12.1−13.5
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)000000
Net income before taxes69.023.819.135.79.50.4
Provision for taxes15.54.44.59.11.55.6
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items53.519.414.626.78.0−5.2
Extraordinary items−41.8−4.124.61.4–0
Net income11.715.339.128.18.0−5.2
EBIT, normalized95.179.553.053.622.754.8
EBITDA, normalized13510876.579.248.378.9
Basic EPS, normalized3.923.133.312.912.34–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 3, 2026 after market close.