QDDresearch

Wingstop Inc. WING

Consumer DiscretionaryHotels & Entertainment ServicesUnited States of America

Last close 149.73 USD on Nov 1, 2026, −36.8% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 180 of 344 in Consumer Discretionary
  1. Growth B 61 of 344
  2. Valuation D 253 of 344
  3. Quality B 101 of 344
  4. Revisions D 260 of 344
  5. Momentum C 151 of 344

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.79)Average target 185.21 USD +23.7%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)697626460358283–
Revenue growth11.4%36.0%28.7%26.6%13.5%22.9%
EPS (basic, normalized)4.083.682.481.851.35–
EPS growth10.9%48.4%34.1%37.0%––
Gross margin87.2%86.4%85.7%82.3%79.7%84.3%
Net margin25.0%17.4%15.3%14.8%15.1%17.5%
ROE––––––
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)105
Current ratio2.12x
Long-term debt (mil)1,211
Net debt (mil)1,107
Total equity (mil)−773
Net debt / equity−1.43x
Net debt / EBITDA4.53x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 697+11.4%7.4x 244+20.2%21.1x 4.08+10.9%36.7x
2026 748+7.4%6.9x 249+2.1%20.7x 4.16+2.0%36.0x
2027 858+14.6%6.0x 290+16.3%17.8x 5.01+20.5%29.9x
2028 981+14.4%5.3x 337+16.2%15.3x 6.49+29.5%23.1x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
2026748−2.2%−2.5%−4.2%4.16−5.9%−6.9%−9.4%
2027858−3.2%−3.6%−4.9%5.01−6.5%−7.0%−10.9%
2028981−2.4%−2.9%−4.6%6.49−3.1%−2.9%−7.3%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)146156162162171174176176184186
Sales mean (mil)136144162164171173186178189190
Surprise+7.5%+8.1%+0.5%−1.6%+0.1%+0.6%−5.5%−1.0%−2.8%−2.6%
EPS reported0.980.930.880.900.991.001.091.001.181.18
EPS mean0.760.820.950.860.860.870.930.841.031.03
Surprise+29.3%+13.5%−7.8%+4.3%+14.8%+15.4%+17.4%+19.5%+14.5%+14.4%

Peer comparison Hotels & Entertainment Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
WING Wingstop Inc.4.1B4.53x25.0%−5.24x36.0x29.9x20.7x17.8x
MCD McDonald's Corp182.7B2.63x31.9%−178.54x20.1x18.8x14.2x13.6x
SBUX Starbucks Corp118.2B1.58x5.0%−15.40x32.6x27.8x19.2x17.2x
YUM Yum! Brands, Inc.42.4B4.01x19.0%−5.97x24.2x22.2x18.2x17.3x
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.40.3B−0.39x12.9%16.43x29.0x24.0x17.6x15.2x
QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc.25.2B4.76x9.6%8.29x17.8x16.4x12.6x11.8x
Mean2.86x17.2%−30.07x26.6x23.2x17.1x15.5x
Median3.32x15.9%−5.61x26.6x23.1x17.9x16.2x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+47.1%
  • 3M+11.3%
  • 1Y−39.0%
  • 3Y−14.7%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Wingstop Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue697626460358283249
Cost of revenue88.985.365.763.457.448.6
Gross profit608540394294225200
Selling, general & administrative expenses390354263189147138
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization25.119.513.210.97.97.5
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)12.91.05.22.9−3.510.6
Other operating expenses0.900000
Operating income17916611391.173.843.7
Net interest income (expense)−35.8−21.3−18.2−21.2−15.0−16.8
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)93.72.9−0.1−0.60.10
Net income before taxes23714794.369.358.926.9
Provision for taxes62.938.524.116.416.23.6
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items17410970.252.942.723.3
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income17410970.252.942.723.3
EBIT, normalized19216711894.070.354.3
EBITDA, normalized21718613110578.261.8
Basic EPS, normalized4.083.682.481.851.35–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.