QDDresearch

AltaGas Ltd. ALA

UtilitiesNatural Gas UtilitiesCanada

Last close 55.52 CAD on Nov 1, 2026, +35.3% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 11 of 16 in Utilities
  1. Growth D 15 of 16
  2. Valuation D 14 of 16
  3. Quality A 2 of 16
  4. Revisions D 15 of 16
  5. Momentum A 2 of 16

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.00)Average target 60.44 CAD +8.9%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)12,70512,44812,99714,08710,573–
Revenue growth2.1%−4.2%−7.7%33.2%89.2%17.9%
EPS (basic, normalized)2.222.171.891.871.76–
EPS growth2.3%14.8%1.1%6.2%––
Gross margin29.0%26.1%22.2%20.9%27.1%25.1%
Net margin5.9%4.6%4.9%2.8%2.2%4.1%
ROE8.7%7.2%8.9%7.3%4.0%7.2%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)219
Current ratio0.85x
Long-term debt (mil)10,278
Net debt (mil)11,503
Total equity (mil)9,373
Net debt / equity1.23x
Net debt / EBITDA6.17x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 12,705+2.1%2.3x 1,863+5.9%15.5x 2.22+2.3%25.0x
2026 14,813+16.6%1.9x 2,131+14.4%13.5x 2.56+15.4%21.7x
2027 15,279+3.1%1.9x 2,230+4.7%12.9x 2.61+1.8%21.3x
2028 15,899+4.1%1.8x 2,370+6.3%12.2x 2.88+10.3%19.3x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202614,813+5.5%+5.5%+12.3%2.56+2.8%+2.9%+5.6%
202715,279+0.8%+0.8%+4.7%2.61−4.7%−5.5%−5.5%
202815,899+1.4%+1.4%+5.3%2.88−5.2%−5.9%−6.4%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)3,6552,7752,7593,2593,9692,8442,5983,2943,9703,979
Sales mean (mil)4,1262,5363,1883,4413,6382,9332,8423,4293,8882,742
Surprise−11.4%+9.4%−13.5%−5.3%+9.1%−3.0%−8.6%−3.9%+2.1%+45.1%
EPS reported1.140.140.140.761.140.270.040.771.330.31
EPS mean1.040.110.090.711.130.230.050.761.240.22
Surprise+9.2%+24.6%+56.1%+7.2%+0.5%+15.9%−26.3%+1.4%+6.9%+43.2%

Peer comparison Natural Gas Utilities

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
ALA AltaGas Ltd.17.3B6.17x5.9%1.85x21.7x21.3x13.5x12.9x
ATO Atmos Energy Corporation40.8B4.27x25.5%1.91x20.4x19.1x14.5x12.9x
HOKCY Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd24.2B–10.5%1.99x––––
UGI UGI Corporation11.6B3.80x9.3%1.60x13.8x12.0x8.5x7.8x
NFG National Fuel Gas Company10.6B1.65x22.8%1.93x10.8x10.7x6.6x5.8x
SWX Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.9.4B5.02x12.1%1.63x21.6x18.5x11.0x10.0x
Mean4.18x14.3%1.82x17.6x16.3x10.8x9.9x
Median4.27x11.3%1.88x20.4x18.5x11.0x10.0x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+5.2%
  • 3M+0.7%
  • 1Y+35.2%
  • 3Y+146.5%

Financial statements in millions of CAD

Income statement, AltaGas Ltd., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue12,70512,44812,99714,08710,5735,587
Cost of revenue9,0189,20110,11211,1387,7083,178
Gross profit3,6873,2472,8852,9492,8652,409
Selling, general & administrative expenses1,8581,7261,5791,5681,4751,267
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization517475441439422414
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)15.066.0−319−3.0−5.0−245
Other operating expenses9.025.011.013.070.0114
Operating income1,2889551,173932903859
Net interest income (expense)−401−369−332−290−521−212
Gain (loss) on sale of assets−3.012.0–––9.0
Other non-operating income (expense)14514871.074.064.043.0
Net income before taxes1,029746912716446699
Provision for taxes250138223143106127
Minority interest−11.0−12.0−16.0−50.0−57.0−20.0
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items768596673523283552
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income768596673523283552
EBIT, normalized1,3141,032890935931686
EBITDA, normalized1,8311,5071,3311,3741,3531,100
Basic EPS, normalized2.222.171.891.871.76–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.