QDDresearch

National Bank of Canada NA

FinancialsBanking ServicesCanada

Last close 210.58 CAD on Nov 1, 2026, +24.4% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A+ Rank 3 of 51 in Financials
  1. Growth B 11 of 51
  2. Valuation A 4 of 51
  3. Quality B 18 of 51
  4. Revisions B 15 of 51
  5. Momentum B 21 of 51

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.67)Average target 228.82 CAD +8.7%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends October 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)21,29819,97116,7779,5456,987–
Revenue growth6.6%19.0%75.8%36.6%−7.8%23.0%
EPS (basic, normalized)11.2110.889.439.458.92–
EPS growth3.0%15.4%−0.2%6.0%5.6%5.8%
Gross margin––––––
Net margin18.1%18.3%18.8%34.3%43.7%26.6%
ROE14.6%17.2%16.8%18.8%18.1%17.1%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Tier 1 risk-adjusted capital ratio15.1%
Long-term debt (mil)4,458
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)34,674
Net debt / equity–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)Book value per shareEPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthP/BMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 21,298+6.6%5.5x 78.39+18.7%2.7x 11.28+5.6%18.7x
2026 15,821−25.7%7.4x 83.18+6.1%2.5x 13.15+16.5%16.0x
2027 16,612+5.0%7.0x 89.06+7.1%2.4x 14.38+9.4%14.6x
2028 17,845+7.4%6.5x 95.64+7.4%2.2x 15.61+8.5%13.5x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202615,8210.0%+1.7%+2.8%13.150.0%+2.2%+4.1%
202716,6120.0%+2.0%+2.3%14.380.0%+1.2%+2.4%
202817,8450.0%+0.2%+6.5%15.610.0%+1.5%+3.9%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedApr 2024Jul 2024Oct 2024Jan 2025Apr 2025Jul 2025Oct 2025Jan 2026Apr 2026Jul 2026
Sales reported (mil)2,8372,9822,9893,2303,6503,4493,6983,8933,9074,053
Sales mean (mil)2,7912,8652,9423,0393,2843,5033,4543,7263,8113,869
Surprise+1.6%+4.1%+1.6%+6.3%+11.1%−1.6%+7.1%+4.5%+2.5%+4.8%
EPS reported2.542.682.582.932.852.682.823.253.233.39
EPS mean2.452.492.572.652.402.692.622.993.133.22
Surprise+3.7%+7.7%+0.5%+10.5%+18.6%−0.5%+7.5%+8.6%+3.3%+5.4%

Peer comparison Banking Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capTier 1 ratioNet marginDeposits/loansFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 P/BFY2 P/B
NA National Bank of Canada80.4B15.1%18.1%1.41x16.0x14.6x2.5x2.4x
RY Royal Bank of Canada393.7B14.9%19.1%1.45x17.3x15.9x2.9x2.7x
TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank286.3B16.1%22.8%1.37x17.2x15.5x2.6x2.5x
WFC Wells Fargo & Company350.2B11.4%23.2%1.47x11.4x10.4x1.5x1.4x
BMO Bank of Montreal166.3B14.7%13.0%1.44x16.1x14.4x2.1x2.0x
BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia159.7B15.1%12.6%1.25x15.3x13.8x2.0x1.9x
Mean14.5%18.1%1.40x15.6x14.1x2.3x2.1x
Median15.0%18.6%1.43x16.1x14.5x2.3x2.2x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+0.2%
  • 3M−8.3%
  • 1Y+38.1%
  • 3Y+171.8%

Financial statements in millions of CAD

Income statement, National Bank of Canada, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Interest income21,29819,97116,7779,5456,9877,578
Total interest expense16,78017,03213,1914,2742,2043,323
Net interest income4,5182,9393,5865,2714,7834,255
Loan loss provision1,2465693971452.089.0
Net interest income after loan loss provision3,2722,3703,1895,1264,7814,166
Non-interest income9,4628,4616,4724,3814,1443,672
Non-interest expense−7,600−6,054−5,753−5,230−4,853−5,302
Net income before taxes5,1344,7773,9084,2774,0722,536
Provision for taxes1,117961619894895453
Minority interest & equity in affiliates01.02.01.00−42.0
Other000000
Net income before extraordinary items4,0173,8173,2913,3843,1772,041
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income4,0173,8173,2913,3843,1772,041
Basic weighted average shares (mil)378340338337337336
Diluted weighted average shares (mil)382343341341341338
Basic EPS excluding extraordinary items10.1810.789.339.729.065.73
Basic EPS, normalized11.2110.889.439.458.928.45

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.