QDDresearch

Transcontinental Inc. TCL.A

MaterialsContainers & PackagingCanada

Last close 5.59 CAD on Nov 1, 2026, +808.7% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 1 of 154 in Materials
  1. Growth C 75 of 154
  2. Valuation A 10 of 154
  3. Quality B 31 of 154
  4. Revisions A 14 of 154
  5. Momentum A 2 of 154

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.29)Average target 7.00 CAD +25.2%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)2,7442,8132,9412,9562,643–
Revenue growth−2.5%−4.3%−0.5%11.8%2.7%1.3%
EPS (basic, normalized)2.592.342.032.192.37–
EPS growth10.7%15.3%−7.3%−7.6%––
Gross margin50.1%49.0%46.1%44.8%47.0%47.4%
Net margin6.2%4.3%2.9%4.8%4.9%4.6%
ROE8.9%6.4%4.5%7.8%7.5%7.0%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)14.7
Current ratio1.47x
Long-term debt (mil)411
Net debt (mil)426
Total equity (mil)418
Net debt / equity1.02x
Net debt / EBITDA0.91x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 2,744−2.5%0.3x 466+0.5%1.9x 2.59+10.7%2.2x
2026 1,157−57.8%0.8x 210−55.0%4.3x 1.05−59.6%5.3x
2027 1,156−0.1%0.8x 214+2.1%4.2x 1.16+10.5%4.8x
2028 1,124−2.8%0.8x 221+3.1%4.1x 1.15−0.8%4.9x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20261,1570.0%+1.4%+0.7%1.050.0%−5.1%−2.6%
20271,1560.0%+2.0%+2.5%1.16+1.6%+0.9%+5.1%
20281,124−0.3%−0.8%−3.0%1.15+13.0%+1.5%+5.2%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 1 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedApr 2024Jul 2024Oct 2024Jan 2025Apr 2025Jul 2025Oct 2025Jan 2026Apr 2026Jul 2026
Sales reported (mil)683700749643684684732264269306
Sales mean (mil)718702758649663679743254286295
Surprise−4.8%−0.2%−1.2%−0.9%+3.2%+0.8%−1.4%+3.9%−6.0%+3.6%
EPS reported0.520.600.790.490.580.700.820.080.190.32
EPS mean0.440.560.730.360.540.690.870.160.160.38
Surprise+17.1%+7.9%+8.5%+34.2%+6.7%+1.9%−5.6%−49.4%+15.9%−14.8%

Peer comparison Containers & Packaging

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
TCL.A Transcontinental Inc.478M0.91x6.2%1.12x5.3x4.8x4.3x4.2x
SW Smurfit WestRock PLC31.6B2.70x2.2%1.26x21.2x13.2x7.5x6.2x
PKG Packaging Corp of America32.0B1.82x8.6%4.91x24.3x18.4x12.4x10.3x
AMCRY Amcor PLC30.6B–––––––
IP International Paper Co26.9B2.98x−12.0%1.47x31.4x13.1x8.5x6.2x
BALL Ball Corp24.6B3.16x6.9%3.06x16.5x14.7x11.2x10.6x
Mean2.31x2.4%2.36x19.7x12.8x8.8x7.5x
Median2.70x6.2%1.47x21.2x13.2x8.5x6.2x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+5.1%
  • 3M+3.2%
  • 1Y+942.2%
  • 3Y+2,367.5%

Financial statements in millions of CAD

Income statement, Transcontinental Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue2,7442,8132,9412,9562,6432,574
Cost of revenue1,3691,4351,5851,6321,4021,322
Gross profit1,3751,3781,3551,3241,2421,252
Selling, general & administrative expenses909909909877816812
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization209215235232208217
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)−7.744.746.97.3−12.7−17.1
Other operating expenses000−10.0−3.40
Operating income264210165217234241
Net interest income (expense)−39.6−50.0−55.7−33.9−39.1−44.2
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−2.7−10.0−10.6−6.1−3.2−2.2
Net income before taxes22215098.4177192195
Provision for taxes50.427.612.536.561.063.2
Minority interest−0.4−0.6−0.10.40.1−0.1
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items17112185.8141131132
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income17112185.8141131132
EBIT, normalized256251212225221224
EBITDA, normalized465466446456448462
Basic EPS, normalized2.592.342.032.192.37–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

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Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.