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Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd TVE

EnergyOil & GasCanada

Last close 14.09 CAD on Nov 1, 2026, +78.4% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A+ Rank 12 of 73 in Energy
  1. Growth B 32 of 73
  2. Valuation B 11 of 73
  3. Quality B 21 of 73
  4. Revisions B 42 of 73
  5. Momentum B 27 of 73

Wall Street consensus Buy (1.90)Average target 17.02 CAD +20.8%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)1,3481,4041,4061,180599–
Revenue growth−4.0%−0.2%19.2%97.0%203.2%46.8%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.500.300.170.741.08–
EPS growth66.7%76.5%−77.0%−31.5%––
Gross margin83.2%84.0%82.0%84.1%80.3%82.7%
Net margin−2.7%11.6%6.7%29.3%65.2%22.0%
ROE−1.8%7.6%4.3%20.2%44.1%14.9%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)541
Current ratio1.95x
Long-term debt (mil)327
Net debt (mil)−201
Total equity (mil)1,879
Net debt / equity−0.11x
Net debt / EBITDA−0.35x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 1,348−4.0%4.8x 575−43.1%11.2x 0.50+66.7%28.2x
2026 1,304−3.2%4.9x 1,109+92.8%5.8x 0.86+71.9%16.4x
2027 1,343+3.0%4.8x 1,288+16.2%5.0x 0.99+15.0%14.3x
2028 1,039−22.7%6.2x 1,462+13.5%4.4x 1.00+1.3%14.1x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20261,304−23.8%−28.6%−9.1%0.86+6.3%+4.8%−18.2%
20271,343−23.9%−20.1%−18.4%0.99+6.5%+7.4%+5.1%
20281,039−48.2%––1.00−1.5%−6.5%–

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 2 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025FQ-4FQ-3Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)––––––––––
Sales mean (mil)––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––
EPS reported−0.060.170.170.010.12––0.100.010.43
EPS mean0.160.350.39–0.09––0.020.140.40
Surprise−137.5%−51.4%−56.4%–+33.3%––+400.0%−92.9%+8.9%

Peer comparison Oil & Gas

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
TVE Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd6.7B−0.35x−2.7%3.53x16.4x14.3x5.8x5.0x
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd161.2B0.93x27.9%3.47x12.7x14.3x6.9x7.7x
SU Suncor Energy Inc (Canada)131.2B0.58x12.1%2.71x9.6x12.8x5.4x6.6x
IMO Imperial Oil Ltd91.3B0.15x7.0%3.81x12.3x13.0x7.6x8.4x
CVE Cenovus Energy Incorporation83.2B0.88x7.9%2.48x8.3x9.1x4.4x4.8x
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation32.0B−0.36x60.3%13.68x36.6x33.2x26.7x22.9x
Mean0.30x18.7%4.94x16.0x16.1x9.5x9.2x
Median0.36x10.0%3.50x12.5x13.6x6.4x7.1x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+6.3%
  • 3M+9.6%
  • 1Y+125.8%
  • 3Y+278.7%

Financial statements in millions of CAD

Income statement, Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue1,3481,4041,4061,180599198
Cost of revenue22622525418811886.5
Gross profit1,1221,1791,153992481111
Selling, general & administrative expenses15113815996.152.616.6
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization531588631378212121
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)––−0.2−3.4−395398
Other operating expenses6.45.88.17.74.92.6
Operating income434447355514607−426
Net interest income (expense)−67.3−153−87.6−88.8−95.516.8
Gain (loss) on sale of assets−406−85.1−12619.28.710.7
Other non-operating income (expense)000000
Net income before taxes−40.1209141445520−399
Provision for taxes−3.747.147.299.5129−87.5
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items−36.316294.2345391−311
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income−36.316294.2345391−311
EBIT, normalized434447355511211−28.8
EBITDA, normalized9641,03598688942391.9
Basic EPS, normalized0.500.300.170.741.08–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.