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Winpak Ltd WPK

MaterialsContainers & PackagingCanada

Last close 44.11 CAD on Nov 1, 2026, −0.7% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 34 of 154 in Materials
  1. Growth C 65 of 154
  2. Valuation C 75 of 154
  3. Quality A 19 of 154
  4. Revisions B 55 of 154
  5. Momentum B 45 of 154

Wall Street consensus Hold (3.00)Average target 49.67 CAD +12.6%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)1,5391,6291,5121,6061,284–
Revenue growth−5.6%7.8%−5.9%25.1%17.0%7.0%
EPS (basic, normalized)3.083.393.102.692.02–
EPS growth−9.2%9.6%15.2%33.0%––
Gross margin30.4%32.0%29.3%28.1%27.4%29.4%
Net margin12.2%13.2%13.0%10.9%10.4%11.9%
ROE10.8%11.5%11.6%11.2%9.4%10.9%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)518
Current ratio8.71x
Long-term debt (mil)0
Net debt (mil)−467
Total equity (mil)1,950
Net debt / equity−0.24x
Net debt / EBITDA−1.47x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 1,539−5.6%1.4x 317−5.8%6.7x 3.08−9.2%14.3x
2026 1,688+9.7%1.3x 334+5.3%6.4x 3.35+8.7%13.2x
2027 1,763+4.4%1.2x 353+5.7%6.0x 3.62+8.2%12.2x
2028 1,851+5.0%1.1x 376+6.5%5.7x 3.88+7.1%11.4x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20261,688−1.3%−1.3%−2.7%3.35−0.6%−0.6%+1.7%
20271,763+0.8%+0.8%+1.8%3.62+1.3%+1.3%+2.1%
20281,851–––3.88−0.7%−0.7%−5.5%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 1 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)277283285285285273283285280294
Sales mean (mil)290294282291289294292292289298
Surprise−4.6%−3.5%+1.1%−2.2%−1.4%−7.3%−3.0%−2.4%−3.2%−1.1%
EPS reported0.550.610.610.580.560.490.600.600.530.57
EPS mean0.570.620.620.650.600.630.610.630.590.55
Surprise−3.5%−2.4%−1.6%−10.8%−6.1%−22.2%−1.1%−4.3%−10.7%+3.6%

Peer comparison Containers & Packaging

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
WPK Winpak Ltd2.6B−1.47x12.2%1.34x13.2x12.2x6.4x6.0x
SW Smurfit WestRock PLC31.6B2.70x2.2%1.26x21.2x13.2x7.5x6.2x
PKG Packaging Corp of America32.0B1.82x8.6%4.91x24.3x18.4x12.4x10.3x
AMCRY Amcor PLC30.6B–––––––
IP International Paper Co26.9B2.98x−12.0%1.47x31.4x13.1x8.5x6.2x
BALL Ball Corp24.6B3.16x6.9%3.06x16.5x14.7x11.2x10.6x
Mean1.84x3.6%2.41x21.3x14.3x9.2x7.9x
Median2.70x6.9%1.47x21.2x13.2x8.5x6.2x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+0.8%
  • 3M−4.9%
  • 1Y+0.1%
  • 3Y+35.0%

Financial statements in millions of CAD

Income statement, Winpak Ltd, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue1,5391,6291,5121,6061,2841,097
Cost of revenue1,0711,1081,0691,155932758
Gross profit468521443451352339
Selling, general & administrative expenses198212178187148129
Research & development30.431.127.024.822.821.2
Interest expense (income), operating0.76.7−2.05.01.60.1
Unusual expense (income)01.4––––
Other operating expenses−2.6000−3.20
Operating income242269240234182189
Net interest income (expense)19.338.130.97.40.43.2
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−4.3−5.0−6.0−5.0−1.4−1.9
Net income before taxes257302265237181190
Provision for taxes69.084.869.162.445.249.9
Minority interest0.2−2.30.70.2−3.3−3.3
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items188215196175133137
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income188215196175133137
EBIT, normalized242277238239184189
EBITDA, normalized320359305308246250
Basic EPS, normalized3.083.393.102.692.02–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.