QDDresearch

Ambev SA ABEV

Consumer StaplesBeveragesBrazil

Last close 2.69 USD on Nov 2, 2026, +10.5% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 13 of 174 in Consumer Staples
  1. Growth B 55 of 174
  2. Valuation B 32 of 174
  3. Quality A 1 of 174
  4. Revisions C 73 of 174
  5. Momentum C 95 of 174

Wall Street consensus Hold (3.10)Average target 3.14 USD +16.8%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)16,11114,48016,43315,07913,079–
Revenue growth11.3%−11.9%9.0%15.3%16.4%7.5%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.170.170.190.180.15–
EPS growth−0.6%−9.1%3.3%18.4%––
Gross margin51.4%51.2%50.7%49.3%51.1%50.7%
Net margin17.6%16.1%18.2%18.1%17.4%17.5%
ROE16.6%16.3%18.0%17.6%16.2%16.9%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)4,235
Current ratio1.06x
Long-term debt (mil)332
Net debt (mil)−3,605
Total equity (mil)17,568
Net debt / equity−0.21x
Net debt / EBITDA−0.68x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 16,111+11.3%2.4x 5,278+5.0%7.2x 0.17−0.6%16.0x
2026 17,416+8.1%2.2x 5,861+11.0%6.5x 0.20+19.0%13.5x
2027 18,231+4.7%2.1x 6,148+4.9%6.2x 0.21+4.9%12.8x
2028 19,354+6.2%2.0x 6,498+5.7%5.9x 0.23+9.3%11.7x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202617,416−0.8%−1.9%−5.1%0.20+0.6%+1.2%+3.8%
202718,231−0.3%−2.2%−5.7%0.21−1.2%−1.1%−0.3%
202819,354−0.7%−1.7%−5.3%0.230.0%−0.2%+0.9%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)4,0963,8443,9844,6293,8453,5473,8264,5944,2723,991
Sales mean (mil)3,8853,5844,0924,3743,8303,7773,4823,7734,2814,023
Surprise+5.4%+7.3%−2.6%+5.8%+0.4%−6.1%+9.9%+21.8%−0.2%−0.8%
EPS reported0.050.030.040.050.040.030.040.050.040.04
EPS mean0.040.030.050.050.040.040.040.050.040.04
Surprise+6.2%−14.0%−13.2%+0.9%−6.6%−15.1%+11.9%+1.6%+6.9%+20.9%

Peer comparison Beverages

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
ABEV Ambev SA41.6B−0.68x17.6%2.48x13.5x12.8x6.5x6.2x
KO Coca-Cola Co412.3B1.69x27.3%11.03x28.7x27.1x25.1x24.1x
BUD Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA148.4B3.39x11.5%1.75x19.0x17.2x9.5x9.1x
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation93.9B–23.0%10.05x41.5x36.4x30.0x26.8x
CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC50.8B–9.3%5.53x23.0x21.2x14.4x13.6x
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc50.1B8.45x12.5%1.70x16.1x14.6x13.2x11.6x
Mean3.21x16.9%5.42x23.6x21.6x16.4x15.2x
Median2.54x15.0%4.01x21.0x19.2x13.8x12.6x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−9.4%
  • 3M−12.5%
  • 1Y+23.2%
  • 3Y+25.1%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Ambev SA, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue16,11114,48016,43315,07913,07911,240
Cost of revenue7,8267,0608,0987,6476,4025,211
Gross profit8,2857,4208,3367,4326,6776,029
Selling, general & administrative expenses4,0163,7654,2434,0593,5492,963
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization574507587476372420
Interest expense (income), operating−19.3−0.638.25.520.88.3
Unusual expense (income)−14.771.4−56.5−485−93.50.9
Other operating expenses−429−344−355−267−381−516
Operating income4,1583,4213,8793,6443,2103,153
Net interest income (expense)−39441.6−630−745−575−369
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−219−308−150−206−164−186
Net income before taxes3,5463,1543,0992,6932,4702,598
Provision for taxes62775115.6−124114339
Minority interest−88.6−66.3−94.5−82.0−81.1−67.9
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items2,8312,3372,9892,7352,2752,191
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income2,8312,3372,9892,7352,2752,191
EBIT, normalized4,1783,5133,9773,2763,0232,749
EBITDA, normalized5,4374,6685,3114,3214,0213,709
Basic EPS, normalized0.170.170.190.180.15–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.