QDDresearch

Bpost SA BPOSY

IndustrialsFreight & Logistics ServicesBelgium

Last close 1.48 USD on Nov 1, 2026, −36.9% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating D Rank 300 of 418 in Industrials
  1. Growth D 295 of 418
  2. Valuation C 201 of 418
  3. Quality C 244 of 418
  4. Revisions C 200 of 418
  5. Momentum D 349 of 418

Wall Street consensus Hold (2.60)Average target 2.44 USD +65.0%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)5,2484,4824,6994,6794,868–
Revenue growth17.1%−4.6%0.4%−3.9%−3.1%0.9%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.300.640.801.291.38–
EPS growth−53.9%−19.8%−38.0%−6.1%––
Gross margin57.5%58.8%57.6%54.9%53.9%56.5%
Net margin−0.9%−4.7%1.5%5.3%5.9%1.4%
ROE−5.1%−21.7%6.3%23.8%34.2%7.5%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)1,447
Current ratio1.06x
Long-term debt (mil)2,619
Net debt (mil)2,001
Total equity (mil)835
Net debt / equity2.40x
Net debt / EBITDA3.13x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 5,248+17.1%0.4x 640+16.7%3.4x 0.30−53.9%5.0x
2026 5,087−3.1%0.4x 623−2.7%3.5x 0.23−21.1%6.3x
2027 5,198+2.2%0.4x 678+8.9%3.2x 0.42+81.3%3.5x
2028 5,319+2.3%0.4x 716+5.6%3.1x 0.57+34.6%2.6x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20265,0870.0%−1.4%−2.1%0.230.0%−16.9%−31.7%
20275,1980.0%−1.7%−1.9%0.420.0%−5.4%−1.5%
20285,3190.0%−1.8%−2.1%0.570.0%−2.1%+8.5%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025FQ-4FQ-3FQ-2FQ-1FQ0
Sales reported (mil)9919881,0251,3301,1141,0891,0271,237––
Sales mean (mil)1,0111,0071,0551,3651,1501511,0301,242––
Surprise−2.0%−1.8%−2.9%−2.6%−3.1%+621.4%−0.3%−0.4%––
EPS reported0.220.19−0.070.240.00–––––
EPS mean0.240.19–0.220.21–––––
Surprise−10.2%+0.9%–+9.1%−101.9%–––––

Peer comparison Freight & Logistics Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
BPOSY Bpost SA239M3.13x−0.9%0.29x6.3x3.5x3.5x3.2x
SRTA Strata Critical Medical, Inc.393M−1.62x−10.2%1.41x−74.0x59.2x11.1x9.1x
SHIP Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp345M2.99x13.2%1.10x5.0x7.0x4.3x5.0x
FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc.338M10.24x−51.8%0.41x−0.7x−3.1x16.9x10.4x
DSX Diana Shipping Inc311M–5.6%0.56x12.5x3.9x5.9x4.4x
PAMT PAMT Corp243M–−8.8%1.20x––––
Mean3.68x−8.8%0.83x−10.2x14.1x8.4x6.4x
Median3.06x−4.8%0.83x5.0x3.9x5.9x5.0x

Technical analysis

  • 1M0.0%
  • 3M−15.4%
  • 1Y−40.7%
  • 3Y−71.4%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Bpost SA, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue5,2484,4824,6994,6794,8685,026
Cost of revenue2,2281,8471,9942,1122,2432,339
Gross profit3,0192,6352,7042,5672,6252,687
Selling, general & administrative expenses2,3982,0812,1091,9971,9922,091
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization537366350310305307
Interest expense (income), operating–––000
Unusual expense (income)−4.2308−3.4−2.1−20.667.2
Other operating expenses−7.22.271.2−19.5−35.6−23.3
Operating income95.4−122177282384245
Net interest income (expense)−129−24.8−23.0−23.0−18.9−15.3
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−10.3−6.9−23.054.314.0−194
Net income before taxes−44.4−15413231337936.2
Provision for taxes2.057.360.165.194.959.6
Minority interest−0.9−1.01.10.90.7−0.1
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items−47.3−21272.5249285−23.6
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income−47.3−21272.5249285−23.6
EBIT, normalized209231188280364312
EBITDA, normalized747596538589669619
Basic EPS, normalized0.300.640.801.291.38–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.