QDDresearch

Constellium SE CSTM

MaterialsMetals & MiningFrance

Last close 23.03 USD on Nov 3, 2026, +22.2% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 17 of 220 in Materials
  1. Growth C 91 of 220
  2. Valuation A 19 of 220
  3. Quality A 7 of 220
  4. Revisions B 48 of 220
  5. Momentum C 101 of 220

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.17)Average target 33.50 USD +45.5%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)8,4497,3357,8268,5327,273–
Revenue growth15.2%−6.3%−8.3%17.3%30.7%8.7%
EPS (basic, normalized)1.920.380.912.162.07–
EPS growth405.6%−58.2%−58.0%4.6%––
Gross margin14.3%13.1%13.8%11.6%10.8%12.7%
Net margin3.2%0.8%1.9%3.6%4.2%2.7%
ROE32.9%7.9%20.3%57.9%355.3%94.8%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)158
Current ratio1.48x
Long-term debt (mil)1,778
Net debt (mil)1,666
Total equity (mil)1,334
Net debt / equity1.25x
Net debt / EBITDA1.97x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 8,449+15.2%0.6x 846+48.3%5.6x 1.92+405.6%12.0x
2026 10,438+23.5%0.5x 1,119+32.3%4.3x 3.91+103.5%5.9x
2027 10,372−0.6%0.5x 962−14.1%5.0x 2.70−31.0%8.5x
2028 10,433+0.6%0.5x 990+2.9%4.8x 2.87+6.2%8.0x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202610,438+1.1%+1.2%+0.4%3.91+1.0%+0.7%+15.3%
202710,372−0.1%−0.1%−2.2%2.70+2.3%+1.8%+2.1%
202810,433+1.8%+4.3%−1.8%2.87+4.8%+8.1%−4.5%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)1,8791,9321,8001,7211,9792,1012,1662,2012,4612,748
Sales mean (mil)1,7102,0571,9581,6732,0392,2632,3542,1152,5362,732
Surprise+9.9%−6.0%−8.1%+2.9%−2.9%−7.1%−8.0%+4.1%−3.0%+0.6%
EPS reported0.120.520.15−0.340.260.250.350.801.421.04
EPS mean0.270.460.390.040.070.320.390.370.610.86
Surprise−56.6%+11.5%−60.2%−991.4%+255.4%−22.3%−10.0%+115.4%+132.8%+20.9%

Peer comparison Metals & Mining

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
CSTM Constellium SE3.1B1.97x3.2%2.32x5.9x8.5x4.3x5.0x
SCCO Southern Copper Corp148.0B0.00x32.3%11.47x22.0x23.2x13.1x13.5x
GMBXF Grupo Mexico SAB de CV92.4B0.36x19.7%3.49x13.9x13.6x7.4x7.4x
FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc86.5B1.93x8.5%4.23x19.2x14.1x8.3x5.9x
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Limited84.7B−0.41x37.5%2.85x14.4x14.2x7.5x7.2x
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.53.3B1.09x63.6%5.50x25.5x24.7x18.2x16.9x
Mean0.82x27.5%4.98x16.8x16.4x9.8x9.3x
Median0.73x26.0%3.86x16.8x14.2x7.9x7.3x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−5.6%
  • 3M−19.0%
  • 1Y+42.0%
  • 3Y+35.1%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Constellium SE, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue8,4497,3357,8268,5327,2735,565
Cost of revenue7,2386,3746,7477,5456,4885,007
Gross profit1,2119611,079987785558
Selling, general & administrative expenses356336341308285254
Research & development51.049.052.046.040.238.8
Depreciation/amortization33030430029026.021.7
Interest expense (income), operating––––−18120.5
Unusual expense (income)24.033.022.017.076.879.8
Other operating expenses4.01.07.010.0−2.41.1
Operating income446238357316540142
Net interest income (expense)−27.0−87.0−158−160−155−169
Gain (loss) on sale of assets−4.0−4.041.0−5.0––
Other non-operating income (expense)−7.0−12.0−8.0−1.0−10.6−12.5
Net income before taxes408135232150375−38.8
Provision for taxes13375.075.0−16565.0−19.4
Minority interest−2.0−4.0−5.0−7.0−5.9−4.6
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items27356.0152308304−23.9
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income27356.0152308304−23.9
EBIT, normalized470271379333436223
EBITDA, normalized800575679623752519
Basic EPS, normalized1.920.380.912.162.07–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 3, 2026 after market close.