QDDresearch

Heineken Holding NV HKHHY

Consumer StaplesBeveragesNetherlands

Last close 42.14 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +16.5% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 99 of 174 in Consumer Staples
  1. Growth D 138 of 174
  2. Valuation B 28 of 174
  3. Quality D 153 of 174
  4. Revisions D 123 of 174
  5. Momentum A 18 of 174

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.00)Average target 111.97 USD +165.7%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)33,76230,78433,44730,73524,943–
Revenue growth9.7%−8.0%8.8%23.2%3.6%7.0%
EPS (basic, normalized)8.155.13–10.534.03–
EPS growth59.0%––161.5%––
Gross margin66.0%64.9%63.2%64.4%66.9%65.1%
Net margin3.3%1.7%3.9%4.7%7.6%4.2%
ROE10.5%5.2%12.1%14.7%21.9%12.9%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Current ratio–
Long-term debt (mil)–
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)–
Net debt / equity–
Net debt / EBITDA–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 33,762+9.7%1.7x ––– 8.15+59.0%5.2x
2026 35,647+5.6%1.6x ––– 6.69−17.9%6.3x
2027 37,448+5.1%1.5x ––– 7.41+10.7%5.7x
2028 39,481+5.4%1.5x ––– 8.19+10.6%5.1x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202635,6470.0%0.0%+0.3%6.690.0%0.0%0.0%
202737,4480.0%0.0%+0.4%7.410.0%0.0%0.0%
202839,4810.0%0.0%0.0%8.190.0%0.0%0.0%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
FQ-9FQ-8FQ-7FQ-6FQ-5FQ-4FQ-3FQ-2FQ-1FQ0
Sales reported (mil)––––––––––
Sales mean (mil)––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––
EPS reported––––––––––
EPS mean––––––––––
Surprise––––––––––

FQ0 is the most recent reported quarter, FQ-1 the one before, and so on.

Peer comparison Beverages

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
HKHHY Heineken Holding NV24.0B–3.3%2.27x6.3x5.7x––
KO Coca-Cola Co404.7B1.69x27.3%10.83x28.1x26.6x24.7x23.7x
BUD Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA144.6B3.39x11.5%1.68x18.2x16.5x9.3x8.9x
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation92.6B–23.0%9.90x41.0x36.0x29.6x26.4x
DEO Diageo PLC52.3B–8.8%4.78x13.7x13.1x11.9x11.0x
ABEV Ambev SA42.0B−0.68x17.6%2.45x14.0x13.4x6.7x6.3x
Mean1.47x15.3%5.32x20.2x18.5x16.4x15.3x
Median1.69x14.5%3.62x16.1x14.9x11.9x11.0x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+11.5%
  • 3M+2.1%
  • 1Y+25.6%
  • 3Y+23.3%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Heineken Holding NV, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue33,76230,78433,44730,73524,94324,078
Cost of revenue11,48510,80312,29310,9578,2637,864
Gross profit22,27719,98021,15419,77816,67916,214
Selling, general & administrative expenses15,29013,69014,44413,33411,08511,822
Research & development––––––
Depreciation/amortization2,6232,3232,4302,1502,1142,329
Interest expense (income), operating––−25.4−81.3−1,444–
Unusual expense (income)433240656−30850.01,113
Other operating expenses−10710.4−1.10−2230
Operating income4,0383,7173,6514,6845,096950
Net interest income (expense)−472−1,565−809−223−279−718
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−48.2−73.5−58.51.1109−40.3
Net income before taxes3,5182,0782,7834,4634,927192
Provision for taxes1,0078761341,210908299
Minority interest−1,393−686−1,354−1,815−2,128−17.1
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items1,1185161,2961,4371,891−125
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income1,1185161,2961,4371,891−125
EBIT, normalized4,8394,1624,2904,3243,815813
EBITDA, normalized7,4626,4856,7206,4745,9303,142
Basic EPS, normalized8.155.13–10.534.03–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.